Football · Honduras Liga Nacional · 01/11, 00:15
Prediction: Real Espana vs Juticalpa
Team pages: Real Espana · Juticalpa
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.33Total
Real Espana2.45
Juticalpa0.88
1X2
Real Espana
Draw
Juticalpa
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Real Espana
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Juticalpa
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Real Espana
2–2–2
Juticalpa
(6 last)
- Real Espana1-1Juticalpa
- Juticalpa1-1Real Espana
- Juticalpa4-3Real Espana
- Real Espana0-2Juticalpa
- Real Espana3-0Juticalpa
- Juticalpa0-1Real Espana
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Real Espana 1549 · Juticalpa 1429
| Real Espana | Draw | Juticalpa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 18% | 11% |
| Market | 72% | 16% | 12% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.33 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Real Espana (rating 1549 vs 1429).
- Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Real Espana | Juticalpa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.9 | 1 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 3.6 | 3 / 6.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.9 / 0.4 | 4.7 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Espana 2–2–2 Juticalpa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/04/26 Honduras Liga Nacional | Real Espana | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Juticalpa |
| 12/02/26 Honduras Liga Nacional | Juticalpa | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Real Espana |
| 02/11/25 Honduras Liga Nacional | Juticalpa | 4-3 HT 1-2 | Real Espana |
| 25/08/25 Honduras Liga Nacional | Real Espana | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Juticalpa |
| 04/04/25 Honduras Liga Nacional | Real Espana | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Juticalpa |
| 26/02/25 Honduras Liga Nacional | Juticalpa | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Real Espana |
Standings · Honduras Liga Nacional
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Olimpia | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 8 | 26 |
| 2 | Real Espana | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
| 3 | CD Marathon | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 22 |
| 4 | Motagua | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 22 |
| 5 | Estrella Roja | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 22 | 16 |
| 6 | Atletico Choloma | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 13 |
| 7 | Olancho FC | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 13 |
| 8 | Lobos UPNFM | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 12 |
| 9 | Genesis de Comayagua | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 11 |
| 10 | CA Independiente Siguatepeque | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 11 |
| 11 | CD Platense | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 25 | 8 |
| 12 | Juticalpa | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 10 | 25 | 6 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Real Espana | Juticalpa |
|---|---|---|
| CD Platense | 4-3 W | 1-2 L |
| CD Olimpia | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Estrella Roja | 1-0 W | 2-5 L |
| Motagua | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Olancho FC | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Lobos UPNFM | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Atletico Choloma | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| CD Marathon | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| CA Independiente Siguatepeque | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Genesis de Comayagua | 2-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 6 W 3 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 8 L |
Better against common opponents: Real Espana (9 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Real Espana
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | CD Platense Honduras Liga Nacional |
3-1 | 4-3 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 16/10 | CD Olimpia Honduras Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 11 | L |
| 11/10 | Estrella Roja Honduras Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 20/09 | Motagua Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Olancho FC Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 10 | D |
| 07/09 | Lobos UPNFM Honduras Liga Nacional |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 31/08 | Atletico Choloma Honduras Liga Nacional |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 23/08 | CD Marathon Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 16/08 | CA Independiente Siguatepeque Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 09/08 | Genesis de Comayagua Honduras Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
Juticalpa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Motagua Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 18/10 | Atletico Choloma Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 09/10 | CD Platense Honduras Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 21/09 | CD Marathon Honduras Liga Nacional |
2-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 14/09 | CA Independiente Siguatepeque Honduras Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 07/09 | Genesis de Comayagua Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 29/08 | Lobos UPNFM Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 23/08 | Estrella Roja Honduras Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-5 | – | – | L |
| 17/08 | Olancho FC Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 09/08 | CD Olimpia Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-2 | 1-3 | 14 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Real Espana vs Juticalpa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Real Espana win (72%). Probabilities: Real Espana 72%, draw 17%, Juticalpa 11%.
How many goals are expected in Real Espana vs Juticalpa?
The model expects 3.33 goals (Real Espana 2.45 · Juticalpa 0.88), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Real Espana vs Juticalpa?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.