Football · England National League South · 17/10, 16:00

Prediction: Tonbridge Angels vs Hemel Hempstead

Team pages: Tonbridge Angels · Hemel Hempstead

See it on the live radar ↗

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.38Total

Tonbridge Angels1.3

Hemel Hempstead1.08

1X2

40% 30% 30%

Tonbridge Angels Draw Hemel Hempstead

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Tonbridge Angels 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWLDWWLDLW

Hemel Hempstead 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WLWLLDDDWD

Head-to-head

Tonbridge Angels 1–1–4 Hemel Hempstead (6 last)

Hemel Hempstead1-1Tonbridge Angels
Hemel Hempstead1-0Tonbridge Angels
Tonbridge Angels1-3Hemel Hempstead
Hemel Hempstead2-0Tonbridge Angels
Tonbridge Angels2-0Hemel Hempstead
Hemel Hempstead2-0Tonbridge Angels

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Hemel Hempstead: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tonbridge Angels	Hemel Hempstead
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.1	0.9 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.5	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.6	2.1 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.2	2.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.02

Under 2.751.83

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:44

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.18 → 2.18	Pinn 2.18
X	3.46 → 3.46	Pinn 3.46
2	3.15 → 3.15	Pinn 3.15

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.5%

Time*	1	X	2
14:03 +41’	2.18	3.46	3.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tonbridge Angels 1–1–4 Hemel Hempstead

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
12/09/26 England National League South	Hemel Hempstead	1-1 HT 0-1	Tonbridge Angels
28/02/26 England National League South	Hemel Hempstead	1-0 HT 0-0	Tonbridge Angels
29/11/25 England National League South	Tonbridge Angels	1-3 HT 1-0	Hemel Hempstead
01/03/25 England National League South	Hemel Hempstead	2-0 HT 0-0	Tonbridge Angels
23/11/24 England National League South	Tonbridge Angels	2-0 HT 0-0	Hemel Hempstead
13/01/24 England National League South	Hemel Hempstead	2-0 HT 0-0	Tonbridge Angels

Standings · England National League South

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Maidstone Utd	11	7	1	3	20	12	22
2	Salisbury FC	11	6	3	2	20	8	21
3	Billericay Town	11	6	3	2	25	14	21
4	Truro City	11	6	3	2	17	8	21
5	Dag & Red	11	6	2	3	10	7	20
6	Ebbsfleet United	8	5	3	0	14	3	18
7	Weston Super Mare	11	5	3	3	19	11	18
8	Dover	11	5	3	3	18	17	18
9	Tonbridge Angels	11	5	2	4	20	11	17
10	Dorking Wanderers	11	4	5	2	23	17	17
11	Farnham	11	5	2	4	17	16	17
12	Torquay	11	4	4	3	18	15	16
13	Chelmsford	10	2	8	0	14	8	14
14	Hemel Hempstead	11	3	5	3	10	10	14
15	Folkestone Invicta	11	3	4	4	16	13	13
16	Maidenhead Utd	11	3	4	4	12	12	13
17	Horsham	10	2	5	3	10	12	11
18	Farnborough	10	3	2	5	8	17	11
19	Chesham	11	3	1	7	16	24	10
20	Braintree Town	11	3	1	7	18	27	10
21	AFC Totton	11	3	1	7	8	21	10
22	Hampton & Richmond	11	2	2	7	11	26	8
23	Walton & Hersham	11	2	2	7	10	27	8
24	Slough	11	1	1	9	11	29	4

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tonbridge Angels	Hemel Hempstead
Maidenhead Utd	1-0 W	0-1 L
Ebbsfleet United	1-2 L	0-0 D
Farnborough	4-0 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Tonbridge Angels (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tonbridge Angels

LWLDWWLDLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Maidenhead Utd England National League South	0-0	1-0	5	9	W
26/09	Ebbsfleet United England National League South	1-2	1-2	5	6	L
12/09	Hemel Hempstead England National League South	1-0	1-1	5	3	D
08/09	Maidstone Utd England National League South	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
05/09	Farnborough England National League South	2-0	4-0	2	3	W
31/08	Walton & Hersham England National League South	3-0	5-1	9	2	W
29/08	Billericay Town England National League South	1-2	2-2	9	6	D
22/08	Truro City England National League South	0-0	0-2	6	3	L
18/08	Dover England National League South	0-0	1-0	3	7	W
15/08	Torquay England National League South	0-1	1-2	8	9	L

Hemel Hempstead

WLWLLDDDWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Dag & Red England National League South	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
26/09	Slough England National League South	1-0	2-0	8	3	W
12/09	Tonbridge Angels England National League South	0-1	1-1	2	3	D
08/09	Ebbsfleet United England National League South	0-0	0-0	1	3	D
05/09	Farnham England National League South	1-1	1-1	11	3	D
31/08	Folkestone Invicta England National League South	0-1	0-2	2	4	L
29/08	Weston Super Mare England National League South	1-0	1-3	3	3	L
22/08	Salisbury FC England National League South	0-1	2-1	7	1	W
18/08	Maidenhead Utd England National League South	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
15/08	Farnborough England National League South	2-0	2-0	3	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tonbridge Angels vs Hemel Hempstead?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tonbridge Angels win (40%). Probabilities: Tonbridge Angels 40%, draw 30%, Hemel Hempstead 30%.

How many goals are expected in Tonbridge Angels vs Hemel Hempstead?

The model expects 2.38 goals (Tonbridge Angels 1.3 · Hemel Hempstead 1.08), with a 58% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Tonbridge Angels vs Hemel Hempstead?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.