Football · England National League South · 24/10, 16:00

Prediction: Slough vs Dorking Wanderers

Team pages: Slough · Dorking Wanderers

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.89Total

Slough1.35

Dorking Wanderers2.53

1X2

18% 20% 62%

Slough Draw Dorking Wanderers

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Slough 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLLWLDLL

Dorking Wanderers 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

DWLWWDDDWD

Head-to-head

Slough 2–4 Dorking Wanderers (6 last)

Slough1-2Dorking Wanderers
Dorking Wanderers2-0Slough
Dorking Wanderers3-1Slough
Slough3-2Dorking Wanderers
Dorking Wanderers5-0Slough
Slough2-1Dorking Wanderers

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Slough 1374 · Dorking Wanderers 1553

	Slough	Draw	Dorking Wanderers
Our model	18%	19%	62%
Market	18%	20%	62%

Estimated total (ours) 3.89 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dorking Wanderers (rating 1374 vs 1553).
H2H favours Dorking Wanderers: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Slough	Dorking Wanderers
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 2.5	2.3 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.9	1.2 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4	1.9 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.4	4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

15.00

X4.50

21.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)1.85

2 (-1.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.80

Under 3.52.00

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	1.45 → 1.45	Bet365 1.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
12:04 +15’	5.00	4.50	1.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Slough 2–0–4 Dorking Wanderers

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/12/25 England National League South	Slough	1-2 HT 1-0	Dorking Wanderers
19/08/25 England National League South	Dorking Wanderers	2-0 HT 1-0	Slough
01/02/25 England National League South	Dorking Wanderers	3-1 HT 2-1	Slough
12/11/24 England National League South	Slough	3-2 HT 2-1	Dorking Wanderers
02/04/22 England National League South	Dorking Wanderers	5-0 HT 2-0	Slough
13/11/21 England National League South	Slough	2-1 HT 2-0	Dorking Wanderers

Standings · England National League South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Maidstone Utd	12	8	1	3	22	13	25
2	Ebbsfleet United	10	6	4	0	22	6	22
3	Salisbury FC	11	6	3	2	20	8	21
4	Billericay Town	11	6	3	2	25	14	21
5	Truro City	11	6	3	2	17	8	21
6	Tonbridge Angels	12	6	2	4	21	11	20
7	Dag & Red	12	6	2	4	10	9	20
8	Weston Super Mare	12	5	3	4	20	17	18
9	Dover	11	5	3	3	18	17	18
10	Dorking Wanderers	11	4	5	2	23	17	17
11	Farnham	11	5	2	4	17	16	17
12	Folkestone Invicta	12	4	4	4	18	14	16
13	Torquay	11	4	4	3	18	15	16
14	Horsham	12	3	6	3	14	15	15
15	Chelmsford	10	2	8	0	14	8	14
16	Hemel Hempstead	12	3	5	4	10	11	14
17	Farnborough	11	4	2	5	10	17	14
18	Maidenhead Utd	12	3	4	5	13	14	13
19	Chesham	11	3	1	7	16	24	10
20	Braintree Town	11	3	1	7	18	27	10
21	AFC Totton	12	3	1	8	9	23	10
22	Hampton & Richmond	11	2	2	7	11	26	8
23	Walton & Hersham	11	2	2	7	10	27	8
24	Slough	12	1	1	10	12	31	4

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Slough	Dorking Wanderers
Torquay	1-5 L	2-2 D
AFC Totton	1-0 W	3-0 W
Braintree Town	1-2 L	4-3 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Dorking Wanderers (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Slough

LLLLLWLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Horsham England National League South	1-1	1-2	5	6	L
10/10	Torquay England National League South	0-0	1-5	5	4	L
29/09	Ebbsfleet United England National League South	0-0	1-1	1	4	D
26/09	Hemel Hempstead England National League South	0-1	0-2	6	3	L
12/09	AFC Totton England National League South	0-0	1-0	9	2	W
08/09	Salisbury FC England National League South	1-2	1-5	4	3	L
05/09	Braintree Town England National League South	1-1	1-2	4	8	L
31/08	Dag & Red England National League South	0-1	0-1	0	6	L
29/08	Folkestone Invicta England National League South	0-2	0-2	1	0	L
22/08	Hampton & Richmond England National League South	0-1	3-5	5	2	L

Dorking Wanderers

DWLWWDDDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Dover England National League South	0-0	1-1	3	2	D
26/09	Braintree Town England National League South	2-2	4-3	3	5	W
12/09	Torquay England National League South	1-1	2-2	8	8	D
08/09	Chelmsford England National League South	2-3	3-3	3	5	D
05/09	Billericay Town England National League South	2-2	3-3	7	4	D
31/08	Truro City England National League South	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
29/08	Walton & Hersham England National League South	2-1	4-1	6	3	W
22/08	Maidstone Utd England National League South	1-1	2-3	8	3	L
18/08	AFC Totton England National League South	2-0	3-0	7	4	W
15/08	Maidenhead Utd England National League South	0-0	0-0	5	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Slough vs Dorking Wanderers?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Dorking Wanderers win (62%). Probabilities: Slough 18%, draw 20%, Dorking Wanderers 62%.

How many goals are expected in Slough vs Dorking Wanderers?

The model expects 3.89 goals (Slough 1.35 · Dorking Wanderers 2.53), with a 53% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Slough vs Dorking Wanderers?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.