Football · England National League South · 24/10, 16:00

Prediction: Hampton & Richmond vs Truro City

Team pages: Hampton & Richmond · Truro City

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.07Total

Hampton & Richmond1.04

Truro City2.03

1X2

18% 23% 60%

Hampton & Richmond Draw Truro City

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Hampton & Richmond 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLWDLLWDLL

Truro City 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWWLWDLWDW

Head-to-head

Hampton & Richmond 3–1–2 Truro City (6 last)

Hampton & Richmond1-3Truro City
Truro City3-0Hampton & Richmond
Hampton & Richmond2-1Truro City
Truro City1-2Hampton & Richmond
Hampton & Richmond2-2Truro City
Truro City0-2Hampton & Richmond

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hampton & Richmond 1440 · Truro City 1579

	Hampton & Richmond	Draw	Truro City
Our model	18%	23%	59%
Market	18%	22%	60%

Estimated total (ours) 3.07 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Truro City (rating 1440 vs 1579).
H2H favours Hampton & Richmond: 3-1-2.
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hampton & Richmond	Truro City
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2.1	1.5 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.7	0.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.7	2.4 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.1	3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

15.00

X4.00

21.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.95

2 (-1)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 32.02

Under 31.77

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
13:14 +5’	5.00	4.00	1.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Hampton & Richmond 3–1–2 Truro City

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/02/25 England National League South	Hampton & Richmond	1-3 HT 0-1	Truro City
19/10/24 England National League South	Truro City	3-0 HT 0-0	Hampton & Richmond
03/02/24 England National League South	Hampton & Richmond	2-1 HT 1-0	Truro City
19/08/23 England National League South	Truro City	1-2 HT 1-1	Hampton & Richmond
22/04/19 England National League South	Hampton & Richmond	2-2 HT 1-0	Truro City
15/09/18 England National League South	Truro City	0-2 HT 0-2	Hampton & Richmond

Standings · England National League South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Maidstone Utd	12	8	1	3	22	13	25
2	Ebbsfleet United	10	6	4	0	22	6	22
3	Salisbury FC	11	6	3	2	20	8	21
4	Billericay Town	11	6	3	2	25	14	21
5	Truro City	11	6	3	2	17	8	21
6	Tonbridge Angels	12	6	2	4	21	11	20
7	Dag & Red	12	6	2	4	10	9	20
8	Weston Super Mare	12	5	3	4	20	17	18
9	Dover	11	5	3	3	18	17	18
10	Dorking Wanderers	11	4	5	2	23	17	17
11	Farnham	11	5	2	4	17	16	17
12	Folkestone Invicta	12	4	4	4	18	14	16
13	Torquay	11	4	4	3	18	15	16
14	Horsham	12	3	6	3	14	15	15
15	Chelmsford	10	2	8	0	14	8	14
16	Hemel Hempstead	12	3	5	4	10	11	14
17	Farnborough	11	4	2	5	10	17	14
18	Maidenhead Utd	12	3	4	5	13	14	13
19	Chesham	11	3	1	7	16	24	10
20	Braintree Town	11	3	1	7	18	27	10
21	AFC Totton	12	3	1	8	9	23	10
22	Hampton & Richmond	11	2	2	7	11	26	8
23	Walton & Hersham	11	2	2	7	10	27	8
24	Slough	12	1	1	10	12	31	4

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hampton & Richmond	Truro City
Dag & Red	0-1 L	3-0 W
Chelmsford	1-1 D	0-0 D
Maidstone Utd	1-4 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Truro City (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hampton & Richmond

LLWDLLWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Ebbsfleet United England National League South	0-0	0-2	8	2	L
26/09	Dag & Red England National League South	0-0	0-1	11	3	L
12/09	Chelmsford England National League South	0-0	1-1	2	5	D
08/09	Farnborough England National League South	1-0	2-0	2	3	W
05/09	AFC Totton England National League South	0-3	1-4	1	7	L
31/08	Maidstone Utd England National League South	0-1	1-4	7	3	L
29/08	Torquay England National League South	1-1	1-1	4	3	D
22/08	Slough England National League South	1-0	5-3	5	2	W
18/08	Horsham England National League South	0-1	0-2	2	9	L
15/08	Weston Super Mare England National League South	0-1	0-3	5	3	L

Truro City

DWWLWDLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Braintree Town England National League South	1-1	2-1	8	6	W
06/10	Farnham England National League South	2-0	2-2	7	2	D
26/09	Maidstone Utd England National League South	0-1	2-1	3	2	W
15/09	Salisbury FC England National League South	0-1	0-1	9	2	L
12/09	Walton & Hersham England National League South	0-0	1-1	7	4	D
05/09	Chesham England National League South	1-1	3-1	11	1	W
31/08	Dorking Wanderers England National League South	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
29/08	Dag & Red England National League South	1-0	3-0	6	5	W
22/08	Tonbridge Angels England National League South	0-0	2-0	4	3	W
15/08	Chelmsford England National League South	0-0	0-0	4	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hampton & Richmond vs Truro City?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Truro City win (60%). Probabilities: Hampton & Richmond 18%, draw 23%, Truro City 60%.

How many goals are expected in Hampton & Richmond vs Truro City?

The model expects 3.07 goals (Hampton & Richmond 1.04 · Truro City 2.03), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Hampton & Richmond vs Truro City?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.