Football · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · 17/10, 12:00
Prediction: Renate U19 vs Padova U19
Team pages: Renate U19 · Padova U19
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.75Total
Renate U191.71
Padova U191.04
1X2
Renate U19
Draw
Padova U19
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Renate U19
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Padova U19
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Renate U19
3–1–2
Padova U19
(6 last)
- Renate U190-3Padova U19
- Padova U191-1Renate U19
- Renate U191-0Padova U19
- Padova U191-2Renate U19
- Renate U192-0Padova U19
- Padova U193-1Renate U19
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Renate U19 1549 · Padova U19 1512
| Renate U19 | Draw | Padova U19 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 26% | 22% |
| Market | 53% | 25% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.75 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Renate U19: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Renate U19 | Padova U19 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.5 | 1.4 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 38/38/25% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.9 | 2.3 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.6 | 2.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Renate U19 3–1–2 Padova U19
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Renate U19 | 0-3 | Padova U19 |
| 17/01/26 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Padova U19 | 1-1 | Renate U19 |
| 29/03/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Renate U19 | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Padova U19 |
| 09/11/24 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Padova U19 | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Renate U19 |
| 27/01/24 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Renate U19 | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Padova U19 |
| 11/11/23 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Padova U19 | 3-1 HT 3-0 | Renate U19 |
Standings · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · Primavera 2 26/27, Girone A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Renate U19 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Vicenza U19 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Cremonese U19 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 6 |
| 3 | Virtus Entella U19 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 6 |
| 5 | Padova U19 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Mantova U19 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | Sampdoria U19 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 5 |
| 8 | Modena U19 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 4 |
| 9 | Venezia U19 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 4 |
| 10 | Union Brescia U19 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| 11 | Cittadella U19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 3 |
| 12 | Udinese U19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 3 |
| 13 | Sudtirol U19 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| 14 | Reggiana U19 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 15 | Pro Vercelli U19 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 1 |
| 16 | Lecco U19 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 1 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Renate U19 | Padova U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Reggiana U19 | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Venezia U19 | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Renate U19
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Cittadella U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 19/09 | Lecco U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 12/09 | Vicenza U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 05/09 | Reggiana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Venezia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 02/05 | Vicenza U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 25/04 | Pro Vercelli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | Lecco U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 11/04 | Union Brescia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 04/04 | Padova U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
Padova U19
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Sampdoria U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-3 | 0-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 19/09 | Virtus Entella U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | Reggiana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Udinese U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
4-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Venezia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 16/05 | Venezia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 13 | 2 | D |
| 09/05 | Udinese U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Reggiana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 25/04 | Albinoleffe U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 18/04 | Sampdoria U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Renate U19 vs Padova U19?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Renate U19 win (52%). Probabilities: Renate U19 52%, draw 25%, Padova U19 22%.
How many goals are expected in Renate U19 vs Padova U19?
The model expects 2.75 goals (Renate U19 1.71 · Padova U19 1.04), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Renate U19 vs Padova U19?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.