Football · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · 24/10, 12:00

Prediction: Pro Vercelli U19 vs Renate U19

Team pages: Pro Vercelli U19 · Renate U19

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.94Total

Pro Vercelli U191.36

Renate U191.58

1X2

32% 26% 42%

Pro Vercelli U19 Draw Renate U19

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Pro Vercelli U19 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

WLDLDLDLDW

Renate U19 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

WDDDLWDWDW

Head-to-head

Pro Vercelli U19 3–1–2 Renate U19 (6 last)

Pro Vercelli U192-2Renate U19
Renate U190-2Pro Vercelli U19
Renate U190-1Pro Vercelli U19
Pro Vercelli U191-2Renate U19
Pro Vercelli U191-2Renate U19
Renate U190-4Pro Vercelli U19

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pro Vercelli U19 1484 · Renate U19 1560

	Pro Vercelli U19	Draw	Renate U19
Our model	32%	27%	42%
Market	32%	25%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 2.94 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Renate U19 (rating 1484 vs 1560).
H2H favours Pro Vercelli U19: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Pro Vercelli U19	Renate U19
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2.1	1.9 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.2	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	44/33/22%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 3.8	2.1 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0.1	2.8 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.75

X3.50

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.85

2 (-0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
10:56 +15’	2.75	3.50	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Pro Vercelli U19 3–1–2 Renate U19

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Pro Vercelli U19	2-2 HT 1-2	Renate U19
20/12/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Renate U19	0-2 HT 0-2	Pro Vercelli U19
27/04/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Renate U19	0-1 HT 0-0	Pro Vercelli U19
14/12/24 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Pro Vercelli U19	1-2	Renate U19
04/03/23 Italy Campionato Primavera 3	Pro Vercelli U19	1-2 HT 1-2	Renate U19
29/05/21 Italy Campionato Primavera 3	Renate U19	0-4 HT 0-1	Pro Vercelli U19

Standings · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · Primavera 2 26/27, Girone A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sampdoria U19	5	3	2	0	16	6	11
2	Vicenza U19	5	3	2	0	9	2	11
3	Renate U19	5	3	2	0	11	5	11
4	Cremonese U19	5	3	0	2	11	7	9
5	Virtus Entella U19	5	2	2	1	10	7	8
6	Venezia U19	5	2	1	2	9	8	7
7	Cittadella U19	5	2	1	2	11	12	7
8	Union Brescia U19	5	2	1	2	9	12	7
9	Mantova U19	5	1	3	1	7	5	6
10	Padova U19	5	2	0	3	7	10	6
11	Udinese U19	5	2	0	3	8	13	6
12	Pro Vercelli U19	5	1	2	2	5	9	5
13	Lecco U19	5	1	2	2	4	10	5
14	Modena U19	5	1	1	3	11	12	4
15	Sudtirol U19	5	0	4	1	3	6	4
16	Reggiana U19	5	0	1	4	2	9	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Pro Vercelli U19	Renate U19
Reggiana U19	3-1 W	3-1 W
Vicenza U19	0-2 L	1-1 D
Lecco U19	0-0 D	4-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Renate U19 (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pro Vercelli U19

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Reggiana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	2-0	3-1	5	5	W
10/10	Mantova U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-1	2-2	1	3	D
19/09	Vicenza U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-2	0-2	7	1	L
12/09	Lecco U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	0-0	5	1	D
05/09	Modena U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-3	0-4	2	5	L
09/05	Albinoleffe U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	2-2	4	4	D
02/05	Sampdoria U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-2	1-4	2	3	L
25/04	Renate U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-2	2-2	0	2	D
18/04	Udinese U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-2	0-4	11	1	L
11/04	Sudtirol U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	1-0	1	1	W

Renate U19

WDDDLWDWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Padova U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	2-1	8	0	W
10/10	Cittadella U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	–	1-1	–	–	D
19/09	Lecco U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	4-1	2	6	W
12/09	Vicenza U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	1-1	7	1	D
05/09	Reggiana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	3-1	5	2	W
09/05	Venezia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
02/05	Vicenza U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	1-1	5	6	D
25/04	Pro Vercelli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	2-1	2-2	3	2	D
18/04	Lecco U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-2	3-3	6	6	D
11/04	Union Brescia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	1-0	6	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pro Vercelli U19 vs Renate U19?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Renate U19 win (42%). Probabilities: Pro Vercelli U19 32%, draw 26%, Renate U19 42%.

How many goals are expected in Pro Vercelli U19 vs Renate U19?

The model expects 2.94 goals (Pro Vercelli U19 1.36 · Renate U19 1.58), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Pro Vercelli U19 vs Renate U19?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.