Football · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · 24/10, 10:00

Prediction: Bari U19 vs Pescara U19

Team pages: Bari U19 · Pescara U19

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.5Total

Bari U191.79

Pescara U191.71

1X2

39% 25% 36%

Bari U19 Draw Pescara U19

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Bari U19 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

DDWWLWWDDD

Pescara U19 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

LWWDDLWDWD

Head-to-head

Bari U19 1–2–3 Pescara U19 (6 last)

Pescara U191-0Bari U19
Bari U193-3Pescara U19
Pescara U193-2Bari U19
Bari U191-3Pescara U19
Bari U192-2Pescara U19
Pescara U191-2Bari U19

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bari U19 1552 · Pescara U19 1526

	Bari U19	Draw	Pescara U19
Our model	39%	24%	36%
Market	39%	25%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 3.5 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Pescara U19: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bari U19	Pescara U19
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.1	2.6 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.6	1.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	44/44/11%	70/10/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.1	1.9 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.3	2.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.50

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.82

2 (0)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 1.2 · xG: 3.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
11:54 +18’	2.30	3.50	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bari U19 1–2–3 Pescara U19

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/01/26 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Pescara U19	1-0 HT 1-0	Bari U19
29/11/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Bari U19	3-3 HT 2-2	Pescara U19
15/03/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Pescara U19	3-2	Bari U19
18/01/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Bari U19	1-3 HT 0-1	Pescara U19
24/02/24 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Bari U19	2-2 HT 0-2	Pescara U19
30/09/23 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Pescara U19	1-2 HT 1-1	Bari U19

Standings · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · Primavera 2 26/27, Girone B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Catanzaro U19	5	5	0	0	15	3	15
2	Perugia U19	5	4	0	1	13	3	12
3	Palermo U19	5	3	2	0	9	5	11
4	Benevento U19	5	3	1	1	14	5	10
5	Bari U19	5	2	3	0	9	4	9
6	Avellino U19	5	3	0	2	9	6	9
7	Pescara U19	5	2	2	1	14	11	8
8	Monopoli U19	5	2	2	1	10	7	8
9	Latina U19	5	2	1	2	10	7	7
10	Pisa U19	5	2	0	3	9	10	6
11	Napoli U19	5	1	2	2	7	9	5
12	Spezia U19	5	1	1	3	7	11	4
13	Frosinone U19	5	1	1	3	4	13	4
14	Ascoli U19	5	0	2	3	7	14	2
15	Salernitana U19	5	0	1	4	4	20	1
16	Cosenza U19	5	0	0	5	2	15	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bari U19	Pescara U19
Palermo U19	2-2 D	1-3 L
Ascoli U19	2-1 W	5-2 W
Salernitana U19	4-0 W	3-3 D
Benevento U19	1-2 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bari U19

DDWWLWWDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Napoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-1	1-1	3	3	D
10/10	Latina U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	0-0	6	8	D
19/09	Palermo U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	2-1	2-2	3	3	D
12/09	Ascoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	2-1	6	5	W
05/09	Salernitana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	2-0	4-0	4	3	W
09/05	Benevento U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-1	1-2	1	2	L
02/05	Salernitana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	–	3-2	–	–	W
25/04	Crotone U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	4-0	6	1	W
18/04	Avellino U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	1-1	3	5	D
11/04	Cosenza U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-2	2-2	14	6	D

Pescara U19

LWWDDLWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Salernitana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	2-0	3-3	3	6	D
10/10	Ascoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	2-1	5-2	2	3	W
19/09	Monopoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-2	2-2	4	4	D
12/09	Benevento U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	2-1	3-1	3	2	W
08/09	Palermo U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	1-3	2	0	L
16/05	Albinoleffe U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-1	1-1	8	3	D
09/05	Ternana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	2-2	3	3	D
02/05	Benevento U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	5-2	3	5	W
24/04	Ascoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	2-0	3-2	7	1	W
18/04	Monopoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-1	1-4	4	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bari U19 vs Pescara U19?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bari U19 win (39%). Probabilities: Bari U19 39%, draw 25%, Pescara U19 36%.

How many goals are expected in Bari U19 vs Pescara U19?

The model expects 3.5 goals (Bari U19 1.79 · Pescara U19 1.71), with a 57% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Bari U19 vs Pescara U19?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.