Football · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · 24/10, 14:30

Prediction: Modena U19 vs Reggiana U19

Team pages: Modena U19 · Reggiana U19

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.19Total

Modena U191.84

Reggiana U191.34

1X2

48% 25% 27%

Modena U19 Draw Reggiana U19

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Modena U19 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WDDWLWLDLL

Reggiana U19 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

WLDWLLLDLL

Head-to-head

Modena U19 2–1–1 Reggiana U19 (4 last)

Reggiana U191-2Modena U19
Modena U192-2Reggiana U19
Modena U199-0Reggiana U19
Reggiana U192-0Modena U19

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Modena U19 1480 · Reggiana U19 1438

	Modena U19	Draw	Reggiana U19
Our model	48%	25%	27%
Market	48%	25%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 3.19 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Modena U19 (rating 1480 vs 1438).
H2H favours Modena U19: 2-1-1.
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Modena U19	Reggiana U19
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.8	1.3 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.6	0.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 6.4	2.3 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.1	2.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.60

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.93

2 (+0.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
12:11 +8’	1.85	3.60	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Modena U19 2–1–1 Reggiana U19

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/04/26 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Reggiana U19	1-2 HT 0-0	Modena U19
27/09/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Modena U19	2-2 HT 1-1	Reggiana U19
25/01/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Modena U19	9-0 HT 7-0	Reggiana U19
23/11/24 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Reggiana U19	2-0 HT 1-0	Modena U19

Standings · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · Primavera 2 26/27, Girone A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sampdoria U19	5	3	2	0	16	6	11
2	Vicenza U19	5	3	2	0	9	2	11
3	Renate U19	5	3	2	0	11	5	11
4	Cremonese U19	5	3	0	2	11	7	9
5	Virtus Entella U19	5	2	2	1	10	7	8
6	Venezia U19	5	2	1	2	9	8	7
7	Cittadella U19	5	2	1	2	11	12	7
8	Union Brescia U19	5	2	1	2	9	12	7
9	Mantova U19	5	1	3	1	7	5	6
10	Padova U19	5	2	0	3	7	10	6
11	Udinese U19	5	2	0	3	8	13	6
12	Pro Vercelli U19	5	1	2	2	5	9	5
13	Lecco U19	5	1	2	2	4	10	5
14	Modena U19	5	1	1	3	11	12	4
15	Sudtirol U19	5	0	4	1	3	6	4
16	Reggiana U19	5	0	1	4	2	9	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Modena U19	Reggiana U19
Union Brescia U19	1-2 L	4-1 W
Pro Vercelli U19	4-0 W	1-3 L
Perugia U19	2-1 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Modena U19 (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Modena U19

WDDWLWLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Cremonese U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	0-2	8	2	L
10/10	Union Brescia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-1	1-2	6	5	L
19/09	Sampdoria U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	3-1	4-4	8	3	D
12/09	Cittadella U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	2-1	2-4	6	3	L
05/09	Pro Vercelli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	3-0	4-0	3	5	W
30/05	Albinoleffe U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-2	2-3	6	1	L
23/05	Perugia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-1	2-1	4	6	W
16/05	Avellino U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	0-0	14	6	D
09/05	Cittadella U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	1-1	5	2	D
02/05	Como U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	2-0	3-1	4	3	W

Reggiana U19

WLDWLLLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Pro Vercelli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-2	1-3	3	5	L
10/10	Vicenza U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-2	0-2	9	4	L
19/09	Sudtirol U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
12/09	Padova U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
05/09	Renate U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	1-3	3	2	L
16/05	Perugia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	0-2	2	5	L
09/05	Vicenza U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	3-1	5-1	–	–	W
02/05	Padova U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-1	1-1	8	0	D
25/04	Virtus Entella U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-2	1-2	4	4	L
18/04	Union Brescia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	4-1	6	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Modena U19 vs Reggiana U19?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Modena U19 win (48%). Probabilities: Modena U19 48%, draw 25%, Reggiana U19 27%.

How many goals are expected in Modena U19 vs Reggiana U19?

The model expects 3.19 goals (Modena U19 1.84 · Reggiana U19 1.34), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Modena U19 vs Reggiana U19?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.