Football · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · 24/10, 10:00

Prediction: Benevento U19 vs Avellino U19

Team pages: Benevento U19 · Avellino U19

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.78Total

Benevento U191.65

Avellino U191.13

1X2

49% 25% 26%

Benevento U19 Draw Avellino U19

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Benevento U19 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LWWLWWLWWD

Avellino U19 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DDWLDWWWLL

Head-to-head

Benevento U19 4–2–0 Avellino U19 (6 last)

Avellino U192-2Benevento U19
Benevento U191-0Avellino U19
Avellino U193-3Benevento U19
Benevento U192-1Avellino U19
Benevento U195-3Avellino U19
Avellino U191-2Benevento U19

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Benevento U19 1545 · Avellino U19 1519

	Benevento U19	Draw	Avellino U19
Our model	48%	27%	25%
Market	50%	24%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.78 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Benevento U19: 4-2-0.
High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Benevento U19	Avellino U19
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.3	1.3 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.7	0.1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/33/33%	0/57/43%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 6.9	1.6 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.1	5 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.80

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.82

2 (+0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 13:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.80▼	Bet365 1.80
X	3.70 → 3.80▲	Bet365 3.80
2	3.00 → 3.40▲	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
12:04 +9’	1.95	3.70	3.00
12:59 +15’	1.80▼	3.80▲	3.40▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Benevento U19 4–2–0 Avellino U19

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/03/26 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Avellino U19	2-2 HT 0-2	Benevento U19
20/12/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Benevento U19	1-0 HT 0-0	Avellino U19
15/03/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Avellino U19	3-3 HT 2-2	Benevento U19
18/01/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Benevento U19	2-1 HT 2-0	Avellino U19
31/03/18 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Benevento U19	5-3	Avellino U19
18/11/17 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Avellino U19	1-2	Benevento U19

Standings · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · Primavera 2 26/27, Girone B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Catanzaro U19	5	5	0	0	15	3	15
2	Perugia U19	5	4	0	1	13	3	12
3	Palermo U19	5	3	2	0	9	5	11
4	Benevento U19	5	3	1	1	14	5	10
5	Bari U19	5	2	3	0	9	4	9
6	Avellino U19	5	3	0	2	9	6	9
7	Pescara U19	5	2	2	1	14	11	8
8	Monopoli U19	5	2	2	1	10	7	8
9	Latina U19	5	2	1	2	10	7	7
10	Pisa U19	5	2	0	3	9	10	6
11	Napoli U19	5	1	2	2	7	9	5
12	Spezia U19	5	1	1	3	7	11	4
13	Frosinone U19	5	1	1	3	4	13	4
14	Ascoli U19	5	0	2	3	7	14	2
15	Salernitana U19	5	0	1	4	4	20	1
16	Cosenza U19	5	0	0	5	2	15	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Benevento U19	Avellino U19
Monopoli U19	2-2 D	0-0 D
Salernitana U19	3-0 W	0-1 L
Cosenza U19	5-0 W	2-1 W
Bari U19	2-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Benevento U19 (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Benevento U19

LWWLWWLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Monopoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	2-1	2-2	3	7	D
10/10	Salernitana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	2-0	3-0	11	3	W
19/09	Cosenza U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	–	5-0	–	–	W
12/09	Pescara U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-2	1-3	10	2	L
05/09	Frosinone U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	2-0	3-0	8	6	W
09/05	Bari U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-1	2-1	8	2	W
02/05	Pescara U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-1	2-5	5	5	L
25/04	Spezia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
18/04	Pisa U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	1-0	5	2	W
11/04	Ternana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-1	1-2	8	7	L

Avellino U19

DDWLDWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Catanzaro U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-1	1-2	0	8	L
10/10	Perugia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	–	0-1	–	–	L
20/09	Latina U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-1	3-1	8	6	W
12/09	Cosenza U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	–	2-1	–	–	W
05/09	Napoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	–	3-1	–	–	W
16/05	Modena U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
09/05	Salernitana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	0-1	7	5	L
02/05	Palermo U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-1	3-1	4	6	W
25/04	Monopoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
18/04	Bari U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-1	1-1	7	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Benevento U19 vs Avellino U19?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Benevento U19 win (49%). Probabilities: Benevento U19 49%, draw 25%, Avellino U19 26%.

How many goals are expected in Benevento U19 vs Avellino U19?

The model expects 2.78 goals (Benevento U19 1.65 · Avellino U19 1.13), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Benevento U19 vs Avellino U19?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.