Football · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · 24/10, 14:30

Prediction: Catanzaro U19 vs Pisa U19

Team pages: Catanzaro U19 · Pisa U19

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.25Total

Catanzaro U192.07

Pisa U191.19

1X2

57% 23% 21%

Catanzaro U19 Draw Pisa U19

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Catanzaro U19 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

LWDWDWWWWW

Pisa U19 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWLWDLWLLW

Head-to-head

Catanzaro U19 1–1 Pisa U19 (2 last)

Pisa U192-1Catanzaro U19
Catanzaro U192-1Pisa U19

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Catanzaro U19 1576 · Pisa U19 1480

	Catanzaro U19	Draw	Pisa U19
Our model	57%	23%	20%
Market	57%	22%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 3.25 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Catanzaro U19 (rating 1576 vs 1480).
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Catanzaro U19	Pisa U19
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 1	1.6 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.3	0.9 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.6	2.3 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.1	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.57

X4.00

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)2.00

2 (+1)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
12:02 +17’	1.57	4.00	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Catanzaro U19 1–0–1 Pisa U19

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Pisa U19	2-1 HT 0-0	Catanzaro U19
17/01/26 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Catanzaro U19	2-1 HT 1-1	Pisa U19

Standings · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · Primavera 2 26/27, Girone B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Catanzaro U19	5	5	0	0	15	3	15
2	Perugia U19	5	4	0	1	13	3	12
3	Palermo U19	5	3	2	0	9	5	11
4	Benevento U19	5	3	1	1	14	5	10
5	Bari U19	5	2	3	0	9	4	9
6	Avellino U19	5	3	0	2	9	6	9
7	Pescara U19	5	2	2	1	14	11	8
8	Monopoli U19	5	2	2	1	10	7	8
9	Latina U19	5	2	1	2	10	7	7
10	Pisa U19	5	2	0	3	9	10	6
11	Napoli U19	5	1	2	2	7	9	5
12	Spezia U19	5	1	1	3	7	11	4
13	Frosinone U19	5	1	1	3	4	13	4
14	Ascoli U19	5	0	2	3	7	14	2
15	Salernitana U19	5	0	1	4	4	20	1
16	Cosenza U19	5	0	0	5	2	15	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Catanzaro U19	Pisa U19
Frosinone U19	6-0 W	3-2 W
Napoli U19	3-2 W	0-1 L
Ascoli U19	3-2 W	4-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Catanzaro U19 (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Catanzaro U19

LWDWDWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Avellino U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-1	2-1	4	8	W
10/10	Cosenza U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	2-0	6	2	W
19/09	Frosinone U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	3-0	6-0	7	1	W
12/09	Napoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	2-0	3-2	4	7	W
05/09	Latina U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	2-0	8	6	W
09/05	Crotone U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
02/05	Monopoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	3-0	7	2	W
25/04	Palermo U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
18/04	Ascoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-1	3-2	4	5	W
11/04	Pisa U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	1-2	5	1	L

Pisa U19

LWLWDLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Ascoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	3-1	4-1	3	4	W
10/10	Napoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	0-1	2	0	L
19/09	Spezia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-2	0-3	6	3	L
12/09	Frosinone U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	3-2	3	2	W
04/09	Perugia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-2	2-3	2	5	L
16/05	Lecco U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-1	2-2	4	6	D
09/05	Spezia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	2-1	6	7	W
02/05	Empoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-1	1-3	9	1	L
25/04	Perugia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	2-1	5	3	W
18/04	Benevento U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	0-1	4	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Catanzaro U19 vs Pisa U19?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Catanzaro U19 win (57%). Probabilities: Catanzaro U19 57%, draw 23%, Pisa U19 21%.

How many goals are expected in Catanzaro U19 vs Pisa U19?

The model expects 3.25 goals (Catanzaro U19 2.07 · Pisa U19 1.19), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Catanzaro U19 vs Pisa U19?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.