Football · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · 17/10, 10:00
Prediction: Palermo U19 vs Perugia U19
Team pages: Palermo U19 · Perugia U19
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.89Total
Palermo U191.31
Perugia U191.58
1X2
Palermo U19
Draw
Perugia U19
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Palermo U19
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Perugia U19
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Palermo U19
1–1–4
Perugia U19
(6 last)
- Palermo U190-1Perugia U19
- Perugia U192-1Palermo U19
- Perugia U191-0Palermo U19
- Palermo U192-1Perugia U19
- Palermo U191-1Perugia U19
- Perugia U193-0Palermo U19
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Palermo U19 1521 · Perugia U19 1584
| Palermo U19 | Draw | Perugia U19 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 27% | 42% |
| Market | 31% | 26% | 43% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.89 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Perugia U19 (rating 1521 vs 1584).
- H2H favours Perugia U19: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Palermo U19 | Perugia U19 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.2 | 2.4 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.6 | 1.1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 44/33/22% | 29/57/14% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 3.9 | 4.4 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0.3 | 3.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Palermo U19 1–1–4 Perugia U19
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Palermo U19 | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Perugia U19 |
| 25/10/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Perugia U19 | 2-1 | Palermo U19 |
| 12/04/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Perugia U19 | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Palermo U19 |
| 11/01/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Palermo U19 | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Perugia U19 |
| 24/02/24 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Palermo U19 | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Perugia U19 |
| 21/10/23 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Perugia U19 | 3-0 | Palermo U19 |
Standings · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · Primavera 2 26/27, Girone B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Perugia U19 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Catanzaro U19 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | Avellino U19 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Bari U19 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | Palermo U19 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
| 6 | Benevento U19 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Spezia U19 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
| 8 | Monopoli U19 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 9 | Pescara U19 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| 10 | Latina U19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| 11 | Pisa U19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
| 12 | Ascoli U19 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| 13 | Napoli U19 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 1 |
| 14 | Frosinone U19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 | Cosenza U19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 | Salernitana U19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Palermo U19 | Perugia U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Avellino U19 | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Monopoli U19 | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Perugia U19 (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Palermo U19
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Frosinone U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 19/09 | Bari U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 12/09 | Spezia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 08/09 | Pescara U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 09/05 | Perugia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Avellino U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | Catanzaro U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | Crotone U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
3-1 | 7-1 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 11/04 | Monopoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 02/04 | Ternana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Perugia U19
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Avellino U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/09 | Salernitana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
5-0 | 6-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 12/09 | Monopoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/09 | Pisa U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | Modena U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | Reggiana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Palermo U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | Ascoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Pisa U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Salernitana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Palermo U19 vs Perugia U19?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Perugia U19 win (43%). Probabilities: Palermo U19 31%, draw 27%, Perugia U19 43%.
How many goals are expected in Palermo U19 vs Perugia U19?
The model expects 2.89 goals (Palermo U19 1.31 · Perugia U19 1.58), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Palermo U19 vs Perugia U19?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.