Football · Honduras Liga Nacional · 02/11, 02:30
Prediction: Olancho FC vs CD Platense
Team pages: Olancho FC · CD Platense
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.72Total
Olancho FC1.98
CD Platense0.74
1X2
Olancho FC
Draw
CD Platense
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
2-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Olancho FC
1-7-2 (W-D-L)
CD Platense
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Olancho FC
3–1–2
CD Platense
(6 last)
- CD Platense1-0Olancho FC
- Olancho FC2-1CD Platense
- Olancho FC3-1CD Platense
- CD Platense1-1Olancho FC
- CD Platense2-0Olancho FC
- Olancho FC2-1CD Platense
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Olancho FC 1488 · CD Platense 1443
| Olancho FC | Draw | CD Platense | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 22% | 12% |
| Market | 67% | 19% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.72 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Olancho FC (rating 1488 vs 1443).
- H2H favours Olancho FC: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Olancho FC | CD Platense | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.1 | 1.1 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.2 | 0.6 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.9 | 1.9 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.2 | 5.1 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Olancho FC 3–1–2 CD Platense
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Honduras Liga Nacional | CD Platense | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Olancho FC |
| 08/03/26 Honduras Liga Nacional | Olancho FC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | CD Platense |
| 26/12/25 Honduras Liga Nacional | Olancho FC | 3-1 HT 1-0 | CD Platense |
| 14/12/25 Honduras Liga Nacional | CD Platense | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Olancho FC |
| 26/11/25 Honduras Liga Nacional | CD Platense | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Olancho FC |
| 15/09/25 Honduras Liga Nacional | Olancho FC | 2-1 HT 0-1 | CD Platense |
Standings · Honduras Liga Nacional
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Olimpia | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 8 | 29 |
| 2 | Real Espana | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 10 | 27 |
| 3 | CD Marathon | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 22 |
| 4 | Motagua | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 22 |
| 5 | Estrella Roja | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 22 | 16 |
| 6 | Lobos UPNFM | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 15 |
| 7 | Olancho FC | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 13 |
| 8 | Atletico Choloma | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 13 |
| 9 | Genesis de Comayagua | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 16 | 11 |
| 10 | CA Independiente Siguatepeque | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 11 |
| 11 | CD Platense | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 25 | 8 |
| 12 | Juticalpa | 12 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 11 | 28 | 6 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Olancho FC | CD Platense |
|---|---|---|
| Estrella Roja | 3-3 D | 2-2 D |
| CD Marathon | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| CA Independiente Siguatepeque | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Genesis de Comayagua | 0-0 D | 0-3 L |
| Real Espana | 1-1 D | 3-4 L |
| Atletico Choloma | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Motagua | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| CD Olimpia | 1-1 D | 1-4 L |
| Juticalpa | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Lobos UPNFM | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 7 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Olancho FC (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Olancho FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Estrella Roja Honduras Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 16/10 | CD Marathon Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 12/10 | CA Independiente Siguatepeque Honduras Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 19/09 | Genesis de Comayagua Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 13/09 | Real Espana Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 10 | D |
| 05/09 | Atletico Choloma Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 30/08 | Motagua Honduras Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 24/08 | CD Olimpia Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 17/08 | Juticalpa Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 09/08 | Lobos UPNFM Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
CD Platense
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Real Espana Honduras Liga Nacional |
1-3 | 3-4 | 9 | 8 | L |
| 17/10 | Motagua Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 09/10 | Juticalpa Honduras Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 18/09 | Lobos UPNFM Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-2 | 0-2 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | Estrella Roja Honduras Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 04/09 | CD Olimpia Honduras Liga Nacional |
1-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | CA Independiente Siguatepeque Honduras Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 23/08 | Atletico Choloma Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-2 | 0-2 | 9 | 9 | L |
| 15/08 | Genesis de Comayagua Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | CD Marathon Honduras Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Olancho FC vs CD Platense?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Olancho FC win (67%). Probabilities: Olancho FC 67%, draw 20%, CD Platense 13%.
How many goals are expected in Olancho FC vs CD Platense?
The model expects 2.72 goals (Olancho FC 1.98 · CD Platense 0.74), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Olancho FC vs CD Platense?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.