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Football · El Salvador Apertura · 18/10, 03:00

Prediction: AD Isidro Metapan vs Fuerte San Francisco

Team pages: AD Isidro Metapan · Fuerte San Francisco

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.55Total
AD Isidro Metapan1.79
Fuerte San Francisco0.76
1X2
61% 24% 15%
AD Isidro Metapan Draw Fuerte San Francisco
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
AD Isidro Metapan 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
WLWLLWDWWL
Fuerte San Francisco 1-3-6 (W-D-L)
LLLLLDDLDW
Head-to-head
AD Isidro Metapan 1–5 Fuerte San Francisco (6 last)
  • Fuerte San Francisco1-0AD Isidro Metapan
  • AD Isidro Metapan1-3Fuerte San Francisco
  • Fuerte San Francisco1-2AD Isidro Metapan
  • AD Isidro Metapan1-2Fuerte San Francisco
  • Fuerte San Francisco1-0AD Isidro Metapan
  • AD Isidro Metapan0-1Fuerte San Francisco
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AD Isidro Metapan 1497 · Fuerte San Francisco 1461
AD Isidro MetapanDrawFuerte San Francisco
Our model61%25%14%
Market62%23%15%
Estimated total (ours) 2.55 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Fuerte San Francisco: 5-0-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

AD Isidro MetapanFuerte San Francisco
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.20.7 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.50.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)3.1 / 7.22 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 0.14.8 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · AD Isidro Metapan 1–0–5 Fuerte San Francisco

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DateHomeScoreAway
15/08/26
El Salvador Apertura
Fuerte San Francisco1-0
HT 1-0
AD Isidro Metapan
26/04/26
El Salvador Clausura
AD Isidro Metapan1-3
HT 0-2
Fuerte San Francisco
01/03/26
El Salvador Clausura
Fuerte San Francisco1-2
HT 0-0
AD Isidro Metapan
09/11/25
El Salvador Apertura
AD Isidro Metapan1-2
HT 1-1
Fuerte San Francisco
07/09/25
El Salvador Clausura
Fuerte San Francisco1-0
HT 0-0
AD Isidro Metapan
03/05/25
El Salvador Clausura
AD Isidro Metapan0-1
HT 0-0
Fuerte San Francisco

Standings · El Salvador Apertura

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 CD Luis Angel Firpo 15942 281131
2 CD FAS 14932 251230
3 AD Isidro Metapan 14824 201526
4 CD Aguila 15654 251823
5 Internacional Santa Tecla 16583 221623
6 Municipal Limeno 16628 232320
7 Alianza FC 14473 222119
8 CD Platense Zacatecoluca 15546 192019
9 CD INCA Aruba 16448 132916
10 Atlético Balboa 15348 152313
11 Fuerte San Francisco 15267 112412
12 CD Cacahuatique 15258 152611

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAD Isidro MetapanFuerte San Francisco
CD Aguila 0-3 L 1-4 L
Atlético Balboa 3-2 W 0-1 L
CD Cacahuatique 2-0 W 2-1 W
Internacional Santa Tecla 0-0 D 1-1 D
CD Platense Zacatecoluca 2-1 W 0-0 D
CD INCA Aruba 0-1 L 1-2 L
Municipal Limeno 1-3 L 0-2 L
Alianza FC 2-0 W 2-2 D
Record vs common 4 W 1 D 3 L 1 W 3 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: AD Isidro Metapan (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AD Isidro Metapan

WLWLLWDWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/10 CD Aguila
El Salvador Apertura
 0-1 0-3 24 L
04/10 Atlético Balboa
El Salvador Apertura
 0-0 3-2 104 W
27/09 CD Cacahuatique
El Salvador Apertura
 1-0 2-0 53 W
20/09 Internacional Santa Tecla
El Salvador Apertura
 0-0 0-0 85 D
09/09 CD Platense Zacatecoluca
El Salvador Apertura
 1-1 2-1 45 W
06/09 CD INCA Aruba
El Salvador Apertura
 0-1 0-1 126 L
29/08 Municipal Limeno
El Salvador Apertura
 0-1 1-3 133 L
23/08 Alianza FC
El Salvador Apertura
 1-0 2-0 65 W
15/08 Fuerte San Francisco
El Salvador Apertura
 0-1 0-1 80 L
08/08 CD Aguila
El Salvador Apertura
 0-0 2-1 47 W

Fuerte San Francisco

LLLLLDDLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/10 CD Cacahuatique
El Salvador Apertura
 1-1 2-1 43 W
05/10 Internacional Santa Tecla
El Salvador Apertura
 0-0 1-1 37 D
01/10 CD Luis Angel Firpo
El Salvador Apertura
 0-1 0-3 14 L
27/09 CD Platense Zacatecoluca
El Salvador Apertura
 0-0 0-0 74 D
24/09 Alianza FC
El Salvador Apertura
 0-1 2-2 47 D
19/09 CD INCA Aruba
El Salvador Apertura
 1-0 1-2 49 L
13/09 Municipal Limeno
El Salvador Apertura
 0-1 0-2 23 L
05/09 CD FAS
El Salvador Apertura
 0-0 0-1 11 L
30/08 CD Aguila
El Salvador Apertura
 1-1 1-4 26 L
23/08 Atlético Balboa
El Salvador Apertura
 0-0 0-1 47 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AD Isidro Metapan vs Fuerte San Francisco?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AD Isidro Metapan win (61%). Probabilities: AD Isidro Metapan 61%, draw 24%, Fuerte San Francisco 15%.

How many goals are expected in AD Isidro Metapan vs Fuerte San Francisco?

The model expects 2.55 goals (AD Isidro Metapan 1.79 · Fuerte San Francisco 0.76), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in AD Isidro Metapan vs Fuerte San Francisco?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.