Football · El Salvador Apertura · 24/10, 23:00

Prediction: CD Aguila vs CD FAS

Team pages: CD Aguila · CD FAS

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.64Total

CD Aguila1.32

CD FAS1.32

1X2

36% 28% 36%

CD Aguila Draw CD FAS

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Aguila 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WDDWWLWWWD

CD FAS 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WWDWWDWWLD

Head-to-head

CD Aguila 1–1–4 CD FAS (6 last)

CD FAS1-0CD Aguila
CD Aguila0-3CD FAS
CD Aguila3-0CD FAS
CD FAS3-0CD Aguila
CD Aguila1-1CD FAS
CD FAS1-0CD Aguila

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Aguila 1538 · CD FAS 1575

	CD Aguila	Draw	CD FAS
Our model	36%	29%	36%
Market	36%	27%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.64 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours CD FAS: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Aguila	CD FAS
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1	1.7 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.3	1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5	2.9 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.4	5 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.30

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.45 → 2.45	Pinn 2.94 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
21:09 +19’	2.45	3.30	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
21:24 +3’	2.35	3.11	2.91
15:27 +84’	2.38▲	3.02▼	2.94▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Aguila 1–1–4 CD FAS

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/08/26 El Salvador Apertura	CD FAS	1-0 HT 0-0	CD Aguila
24/05/26 El Salvador Clausura	CD Aguila	0-3 HT 0-3	CD FAS
29/03/26 El Salvador Clausura	CD Aguila	3-0 HT 2-0	CD FAS
01/02/26 El Salvador Clausura	CD FAS	3-0 HT 2-0	CD Aguila
23/10/25 El Salvador Clausura	CD Aguila	1-1 HT 1-0	CD FAS
03/08/25 El Salvador Clausura	CD FAS	1-0 HT 0-0	CD Aguila

Standings · El Salvador Apertura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Luis Angel Firpo	15	9	4	2	28	11	31
2	CD FAS	16	9	4	3	27	15	31
3	AD Isidro Metapan	16	9	3	4	23	17	30
4	Internacional Santa Tecla	17	6	8	3	24	16	26
5	CD Aguila	16	6	6	4	27	20	24
6	CD Platense Zacatecoluca	16	6	4	6	22	22	22
7	Alianza FC	15	4	8	3	22	21	20
8	Municipal Limeno	16	6	2	8	23	23	20
9	CD INCA Aruba	17	4	4	9	13	31	16
10	Atlético Balboa	16	3	5	8	17	25	14
11	CD Cacahuatique	16	2	6	8	15	26	12
12	Fuerte San Francisco	16	2	6	8	13	27	12

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Aguila	CD FAS
Atlético Balboa	2-2 D	1-0 W
AD Isidro Metapan	3-0 W	0-0 D
CD Cacahuatique	4-1 W	2-0 W
Internacional Santa Tecla	2-1 W	2-2 D
CD Luis Angel Firpo	0-2 L	3-1 W
CD Platense Zacatecoluca	1-0 W	2-3 L
CD INCA Aruba	3-1 W	1-1 D
Municipal Limeno	0-0 D	3-1 W
Alianza FC	2-2 D	2-1 W
Fuerte San Francisco	4-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	6 W 3 D 1 L	6 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: CD Aguila (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Aguila

WDDWWLWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Atlético Balboa El Salvador Apertura	1-0	2-2	2	3	D
11/10	AD Isidro Metapan El Salvador Apertura	1-0	3-0	6	4	W
03/10	CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Apertura	2-0	4-1	3	5	W
30/09	Internacional Santa Tecla El Salvador Apertura	0-0	2-1	4	1	W
27/09	CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Apertura	0-1	0-2	9	12	L
20/09	CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura	1-0	1-0	4	7	W
12/09	CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Apertura	1-0	3-1	3	0	W
10/09	Municipal Limeno El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	7	10	D
06/09	Alianza FC El Salvador Apertura	1-1	2-2	4	9	D
30/08	Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Apertura	1-1	4-1	8	6	W

CD FAS

WWDWWDWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/10	AD Isidro Metapan El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	6	6	D
19/10	CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura	1-1	2-3	7	8	L
11/10	Atlético Balboa El Salvador Apertura	0-0	1-0	6	7	W
09/10	Alianza FC El Salvador Apertura	2-1	2-1	7	4	W
05/10	CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Apertura	1-0	1-1	5	7	D
28/09	Municipal Limeno El Salvador Apertura	0-0	3-1	–	–	W
19/09	CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Apertura	1-0	2-0	0	5	W
17/09	Internacional Santa Tecla El Salvador Apertura	2-1	2-2	2	6	D
05/09	Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Apertura	0-0	1-0	4	1	W
31/08	CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Apertura	3-0	3-1	9	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Aguila vs CD FAS?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Aguila win (36%). Probabilities: CD Aguila 36%, draw 28%, CD FAS 36%.

How many goals are expected in CD Aguila vs CD FAS?

The model expects 2.64 goals (CD Aguila 1.32 · CD FAS 1.32), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Aguila vs CD FAS?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.