Football · El Salvador Apertura · 24/10, 23:00
Prediction: Alianza FC vs AD Isidro Metapan
Team pages: Alianza FC · AD Isidro Metapan
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.49Total
Alianza FC1.07
AD Isidro Metapan1.42
1X2
Alianza FC
Draw
AD Isidro Metapan
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Alianza FC
3-6-1 (W-D-L)
AD Isidro Metapan
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Alianza FC
2–2–2
AD Isidro Metapan
(6 last)
- AD Isidro Metapan2-0Alianza FC
- AD Isidro Metapan1-1Alianza FC
- Alianza FC3-1AD Isidro Metapan
- AD Isidro Metapan0-0Alianza FC
- Alianza FC2-1AD Isidro Metapan
- AD Isidro Metapan1-0Alianza FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alianza FC 1511 · AD Isidro Metapan 1506
| Alianza FC | Draw | AD Isidro Metapan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 29% | 44% |
| Market | 28% | 27% | 45% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.49 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 12 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Alianza FC | AD Isidro Metapan | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.4 | 1.3 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 4.8 | 3.2 / 7.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.5 | 4.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alianza FC 2–2–2 AD Isidro Metapan
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/26 El Salvador Apertura | AD Isidro Metapan | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Alianza FC |
| 22/04/26 El Salvador Cup | AD Isidro Metapan | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Alianza FC |
| 08/04/26 El Salvador Cup | Alianza FC | 3-1 HT 2-0 | AD Isidro Metapan |
| 02/04/26 El Salvador Clausura | AD Isidro Metapan | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Alianza FC |
| 05/02/26 El Salvador Clausura | Alianza FC | 2-1 HT 0-0 | AD Isidro Metapan |
| 12/10/25 El Salvador Clausura | AD Isidro Metapan | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Alianza FC |
Standings · El Salvador Apertura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Luis Angel Firpo | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 31 |
| 2 | CD FAS | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | AD Isidro Metapan | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 17 | 30 |
| 4 | Internacional Santa Tecla | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 26 |
| 5 | CD Aguila | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 24 |
| 6 | CD Platense Zacatecoluca | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 22 | 22 |
| 7 | Alianza FC | 15 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 22 | 21 | 20 |
| 8 | Municipal Limeno | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 20 |
| 9 | CD INCA Aruba | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 31 | 16 |
| 10 | Atlético Balboa | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 25 | 14 |
| 11 | CD Cacahuatique | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 26 | 12 |
| 12 | Fuerte San Francisco | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 27 | 12 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Alianza FC | AD Isidro Metapan |
|---|---|---|
| CD Cacahuatique | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Internacional Santa Tecla | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| CD FAS | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| CD Platense Zacatecoluca | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| CD INCA Aruba | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Fuerte San Francisco | 2-2 D | 3-2 W |
| Municipal Limeno | 3-2 W | 1-3 L |
| CD Aguila | 2-2 D | 0-3 L |
| Atlético Balboa | 2-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 5 D 1 L | 4 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Alianza FC (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alianza FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 12/10 | Internacional Santa Tecla El Salvador Apertura |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 09/10 | CD FAS El Salvador Apertura |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 04/10 | CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Apertura |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 01/10 | CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 27/09 | CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Apertura |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 24/09 | Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Apertura |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 20/09 | Municipal Limeno El Salvador Apertura |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 30/08 | Atlético Balboa El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 4 | W |
AD Isidro Metapan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | CD FAS El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 18/10 | Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Apertura |
1-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 11/10 | CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 04/10 | Atlético Balboa El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 3-2 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 27/09 | CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Apertura |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 20/09 | Internacional Santa Tecla El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 09/09 | CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Apertura |
0-1 | 0-1 | 12 | 6 | L |
| 29/08 | Municipal Limeno El Salvador Apertura |
0-1 | 1-3 | 13 | 3 | L |
| 23/08 | Alianza FC El Salvador Apertura |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alianza FC vs AD Isidro Metapan?
According to our model, the most likely result is an AD Isidro Metapan win (44%). Probabilities: Alianza FC 28%, draw 28%, AD Isidro Metapan 44%.
How many goals are expected in Alianza FC vs AD Isidro Metapan?
The model expects 2.49 goals (Alianza FC 1.07 · AD Isidro Metapan 1.42), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Alianza FC vs AD Isidro Metapan?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.