Football · El Salvador Apertura · 25/10, 22:00

Prediction: CD Platense Zacatecoluca vs CD Luis Angel Firpo

Team pages: CD Platense Zacatecoluca · CD Luis Angel Firpo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.99Total

CD Platense Zacatecoluca1.22

CD Luis Angel Firpo1.77

1X2

25% 25% 49%

CD Platense Zacatecoluca Draw CD Luis Angel Firpo

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Platense Zacatecoluca 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLLDLWWW

CD Luis Angel Firpo 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

CD Platense Zacatecoluca 0–6 CD Luis Angel Firpo (6 last)

CD Luis Angel Firpo1-0CD Platense Zacatecoluca
CD Platense Zacatecoluca0-1CD Luis Angel Firpo
CD Luis Angel Firpo3-1CD Platense Zacatecoluca
CD Luis Angel Firpo6-2CD Platense Zacatecoluca
CD Platense Zacatecoluca0-2CD Luis Angel Firpo
CD Platense Zacatecoluca1-3CD Luis Angel Firpo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Platense Zacatecoluca 1455 · CD Luis Angel Firpo 1588

	CD Platense Zacatecoluca	Draw	CD Luis Angel Firpo
Our model	25%	26%	49%
Market	26%	25%	50%

Estimated total (ours) 2.99 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Luis Angel Firpo (rating 1455 vs 1588).
H2H favours CD Luis Angel Firpo: 6-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Platense Zacatecoluca	CD Luis Angel Firpo
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.6	2 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.5	1.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.4	2.4 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.8 / 0.7	4.3 / 0.7

Odds Bet365

13.50

X3.60

21.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.95

2 (-0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.88

Under 2.51.93

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 14:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.25 → 3.50▲	Pinn 3.68 ★
X	3.50 → 3.60▲	Pinn 3.70
2	1.91 → 1.80▼	Pinn 1.86

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 11.9% Pinnacle margin 7.9%

Time*	1	X	2
03:50 +23’	3.25	3.50	1.91
13:21 +11’	3.70▲	3.60▲	1.75▼
08:00 +10’	3.40▼	3.60	1.83▲
14:02 +7’	3.50▲	3.60	1.80▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
04:52 +28’	4.06	3.38	1.82
06:45 +95’	4.07▲	3.40▲	1.81▼
10:20 +2’	4.25▲	3.55▲	1.74▼
19:51 +146’	3.64▼	3.63▲	1.85▲
16:56 +59’	3.62▼	3.64▲	1.85
20:02 +1’	3.68▲	3.70▲	1.86▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Platense Zacatecoluca 0–0–6 CD Luis Angel Firpo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/08/26 El Salvador Apertura	CD Luis Angel Firpo	1-0 HT 1-0	CD Platense Zacatecoluca
12/04/26 El Salvador Clausura	CD Platense Zacatecoluca	0-1 HT 0-1	CD Luis Angel Firpo
15/02/26 El Salvador Clausura	CD Luis Angel Firpo	3-1 HT 1-0	CD Platense Zacatecoluca
30/11/25 El Salvador Apertura	CD Luis Angel Firpo	6-2 HT 2-2	CD Platense Zacatecoluca
23/11/25 El Salvador Apertura	CD Platense Zacatecoluca	0-2 HT 0-1	CD Luis Angel Firpo
26/10/25 El Salvador Apertura	CD Platense Zacatecoluca	1-3 HT 0-1	CD Luis Angel Firpo

Standings · El Salvador Apertura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Luis Angel Firpo	15	9	4	2	28	11	31
2	CD FAS	17	9	4	4	28	18	31
3	AD Isidro Metapan	17	9	3	5	23	18	30
4	CD Aguila	17	7	6	4	30	21	27
5	Internacional Santa Tecla	17	6	8	3	24	16	26
6	Alianza FC	16	5	8	3	23	21	23
7	CD Platense Zacatecoluca	16	6	4	6	22	22	22
8	Municipal Limeno	17	6	3	8	26	26	21
9	CD INCA Aruba	17	4	4	9	13	31	16
10	Atlético Balboa	16	3	5	8	17	25	14
11	CD Cacahuatique	17	2	7	8	18	29	13
12	Fuerte San Francisco	16	2	6	8	13	27	12

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Platense Zacatecoluca	CD Luis Angel Firpo
CD FAS	3-2 W	1-3 L
CD INCA Aruba	4-1 W	2-0 W
Municipal Limeno	2-1 W	3-2 W
Alianza FC	1-2 L	2-2 D
Fuerte San Francisco	0-0 D	3-0 W
CD Aguila	0-1 L	2-0 W
Atlético Balboa	1-3 L	3-1 W
CD Cacahuatique	2-1 W	0-0 D
Internacional Santa Tecla	0-3 L	3-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 4 L	6 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: CD Luis Angel Firpo (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Platense Zacatecoluca

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/10	CD FAS El Salvador Apertura	1-1	3-2	3	8	W
10/10	CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Apertura	3-1	4-1	5	7	W
04/10	Municipal Limeno El Salvador Apertura	1-0	2-1	7	5	W
01/10	Alianza FC El Salvador Apertura	1-1	1-2	9	6	L
27/09	Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
20/09	CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura	0-1	0-1	2	7	L
12/09	Atlético Balboa El Salvador Apertura	1-0	1-3	4	5	L
09/09	AD Isidro Metapan El Salvador Apertura	1-1	1-2	3	5	L
05/09	CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Apertura	2-0	2-1	4	10	W
29/08	Internacional Santa Tecla El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-3	3	8	L

CD Luis Angel Firpo

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Apertura	2-0	2-0	9	3	W
11/10	Municipal Limeno El Salvador Apertura	2-1	3-2	6	4	W
04/10	Alianza FC El Salvador Apertura	1-1	2-2	5	5	D
01/10	Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Apertura	1-0	3-0	6	4	W
27/09	CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura	1-0	2-0	3	12	W
24/09	CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	8	6	D
21/09	Atlético Balboa El Salvador Apertura	1-1	3-1	4	5	W
07/09	Internacional Santa Tecla El Salvador Apertura	3-0	3-0	6	5	W
31/08	CD FAS El Salvador Apertura	0-3	1-3	12	5	L
24/08	CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura	1-0	1-0	0	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Platense Zacatecoluca vs CD Luis Angel Firpo?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CD Luis Angel Firpo win (49%). Probabilities: CD Platense Zacatecoluca 25%, draw 25%, CD Luis Angel Firpo 49%.

How many goals are expected in CD Platense Zacatecoluca vs CD Luis Angel Firpo?

The model expects 2.99 goals (CD Platense Zacatecoluca 1.22 · CD Luis Angel Firpo 1.77), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Platense Zacatecoluca vs CD Luis Angel Firpo?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.