Football · El Salvador Apertura · 25/10, 02:00

Prediction: Municipal Limeno vs CD Cacahuatique

Team pages: Municipal Limeno · CD Cacahuatique

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.18Total

Municipal Limeno2.16

CD Cacahuatique1.02

1X2

62% 23% 15%

Municipal Limeno Draw CD Cacahuatique

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Municipal Limeno 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WWDWLLLLLW

CD Cacahuatique 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

DLLLDLWLLD

Head-to-head

Municipal Limeno 4–2 CD Cacahuatique (6 last)

CD Cacahuatique1-3Municipal Limeno
Municipal Limeno2-3CD Cacahuatique
CD Cacahuatique0-5Municipal Limeno
Municipal Limeno4-1CD Cacahuatique
CD Cacahuatique2-1Municipal Limeno
CD Cacahuatique0-2Municipal Limeno

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Municipal Limeno 1512 · CD Cacahuatique 1422

	Municipal Limeno	Draw	CD Cacahuatique
Our model	62%	22%	16%
Market	61%	24%	15%

Estimated total (ours) 3.18 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Municipal Limeno (rating 1512 vs 1422).
H2H favours Municipal Limeno: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Municipal Limeno	CD Cacahuatique
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.5	0.6 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	0.2 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.1	2.4 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.6	4.7 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.45

X3.75

26.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)2.00

2 (+1.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 17:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.45▼	Pinn 1.82 ★
X	3.50 → 3.75▲	Bet365 3.75
2	4.10 → 6.00▲	Bet365 6.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.3% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
23:48 +4’	1.70	3.50	4.10
16:59 +4’	1.45▼	3.75▲	6.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
23:56 +88’	1.88	3.31	3.88
15:11 +112’	1.82▼	3.37▲	4.08▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Municipal Limeno 4–0–2 CD Cacahuatique

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/08/26 El Salvador Apertura	CD Cacahuatique	1-3 HT 1-2	Municipal Limeno
01/05/26 El Salvador Clausura	Municipal Limeno	2-3 HT 0-1	CD Cacahuatique
08/03/26 El Salvador Clausura	CD Cacahuatique	0-5 HT 0-3	Municipal Limeno
16/11/25 El Salvador Apertura	Municipal Limeno	4-1 HT 2-1	CD Cacahuatique
14/09/25 El Salvador Clausura	CD Cacahuatique	2-1 HT 0-0	Municipal Limeno
10/04/25 El Salvador Clausura	CD Cacahuatique	0-2 HT 0-2	Municipal Limeno

Standings · El Salvador Apertura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Luis Angel Firpo	15	9	4	2	28	11	31
2	CD FAS	16	9	4	3	27	15	31
3	AD Isidro Metapan	16	9	3	4	23	17	30
4	Internacional Santa Tecla	17	6	8	3	24	16	26
5	CD Aguila	16	6	6	4	27	20	24
6	CD Platense Zacatecoluca	16	6	4	6	22	22	22
7	Alianza FC	15	4	8	3	22	21	20
8	Municipal Limeno	16	6	2	8	23	23	20
9	CD INCA Aruba	17	4	4	9	13	31	16
10	Atlético Balboa	16	3	5	8	17	25	14
11	CD Cacahuatique	16	2	6	8	15	26	12
12	Fuerte San Francisco	16	2	6	8	13	27	12

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Municipal Limeno	CD Cacahuatique
Internacional Santa Tecla	2-1 W	0-2 L
CD Luis Angel Firpo	2-3 L	0-0 D
CD Platense Zacatecoluca	1-2 L	1-2 L
CD INCA Aruba	1-2 L	1-1 D
CD FAS	1-3 L	0-2 L
Alianza FC	2-3 L	0-0 D
Fuerte San Francisco	2-0 W	1-2 L
CD Aguila	0-0 D	1-4 L
Atlético Balboa	2-0 W	2-0 W
AD Isidro Metapan	3-1 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 5 L	1 W 3 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Municipal Limeno (4 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Municipal Limeno

WWDWLLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Internacional Santa Tecla El Salvador Apertura	1-1	2-1	0	3	W
11/10	CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Apertura	1-2	2-3	4	4	L
04/10	CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura	0-1	1-2	5	5	L
02/10	CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Apertura	1-2	1-2	8	6	L
28/09	CD FAS El Salvador Apertura	0-0	1-3	–	–	L
20/09	Alianza FC El Salvador Apertura	1-1	2-3	7	2	L
13/09	Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Apertura	1-0	2-0	5	3	W
10/09	CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	6	10	D
06/09	Atlético Balboa El Salvador Apertura	0-0	2-0	8	8	W
29/08	AD Isidro Metapan El Salvador Apertura	1-0	3-1	3	3	W

CD Cacahuatique

DLLLDLWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Alianza FC El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	7	7	D
10/10	Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Apertura	1-1	1-2	5	3	L
03/10	CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura	0-2	1-4	6	5	L
29/09	Atlético Balboa El Salvador Apertura	1-0	2-0	1	6	W
27/09	AD Isidro Metapan El Salvador Apertura	0-1	0-2	8	3	L
24/09	CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	2	6	D
19/09	CD FAS El Salvador Apertura	0-1	0-2	5	5	L
13/09	Internacional Santa Tecla El Salvador Apertura	0-1	0-2	4	2	L
05/09	CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura	0-2	1-2	6	10	L
29/08	CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Apertura	0-0	1-1	4	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Municipal Limeno vs CD Cacahuatique?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Municipal Limeno win (62%). Probabilities: Municipal Limeno 62%, draw 23%, CD Cacahuatique 15%.

How many goals are expected in Municipal Limeno vs CD Cacahuatique?

The model expects 3.18 goals (Municipal Limeno 2.16 · CD Cacahuatique 1.02), with a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Municipal Limeno vs CD Cacahuatique?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.