Football · Northern Ireland Championship · 17/10, 20:45

Prediction: Armagh City vs Annagh United

Team pages: Armagh City · Annagh United

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.95Total

Armagh City0.8

Annagh United2.15

1X2

12% 20% 68%

Armagh City Draw Annagh United

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

0-2 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Armagh City 0-4-6 (W-D-L)

LLDLDLDLDL

Annagh United 6-4-0 (W-D-L)

WDWWWWDWDD

Head-to-head

Armagh City 2–4 Annagh United (6 last)

Annagh United3-0Armagh City
Annagh United2-0Armagh City
Armagh City1-2Annagh United
Armagh City0-6Annagh United
Armagh City3-1Annagh United
Annagh United1-2Armagh City

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Armagh City 1413 · Annagh United 1591

	Armagh City	Draw	Annagh United
Our model	12%	21%	68%
Market	13%	19%	69%

Estimated total (ours) 2.95 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Annagh United (rating 1413 vs 1591).
H2H favours Annagh United: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 11.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Armagh City	Annagh United
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.7	2.4 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 0.5	0.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/67/33%	25/50/25%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 4	2.5 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0	6.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

17.00

X4.75

21.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.88

2 (-1.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	1.30 → 1.30	Bet365 1.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.3%

Time*	1	X	2
15:19 +5’	7.00	4.75	1.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Armagh City 2–0–4 Annagh United

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
14/02/26 Northern Ireland Championship	Annagh United	3-0	Armagh City
22/11/25 Northern Ireland Championship	Annagh United	2-0 HT 2-0	Armagh City
15/08/25 Northern Ireland Championship	Armagh City	1-2	Annagh United
28/02/25 Northern Ireland Championship	Armagh City	0-6 HT 0-3	Annagh United
26/12/24 Northern Ireland Championship	Armagh City	3-1	Annagh United
27/08/24 Northern Ireland Championship	Annagh United	1-2	Armagh City

Standings · Northern Ireland Championship

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Annagh United	11	6	4	1	25	14	22
2	Glenavon	11	6	3	2	26	14	21
3	Newington FC	11	6	2	3	24	20	20
4	Queens University	11	6	1	4	20	8	19
5	Newry City	11	5	3	3	19	19	18
6	Warrenpoint Town	11	5	2	4	19	15	17
7	Institute	11	5	2	4	20	17	17
8	Ballinamallard Utd	11	5	2	4	17	16	17
9	HW Welders	11	5	1	5	18	16	16
10	Ards FC	11	4	3	4	14	13	15
11	Moyola Park	11	4	2	5	12	21	14
12	Loughgall	11	3	4	4	15	21	13
13	Dundela	11	2	5	4	19	23	11
14	Strabane Athletic	11	2	3	6	10	20	9
15	Rathfriland Rangers	11	3	0	8	11	23	9
16	Armagh City	11	0	5	6	9	18	5

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Armagh City	Annagh United
Rathfriland Rangers	1-2 L	4-2 W
Dundela	0-2 L	2-2 D
Institute	3-5 L	5-0 W
Newry City	2-2 D	1-1 D
Moyola Park	0-1 L	2-0 W
Glenavon	2-2 D	1-1 D
HW Welders	0-1 L	3-1 W
Warrenpoint Town	0-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 6 L	4 W 4 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Annagh United (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Armagh City

LLDLDLDLDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	Rathfriland Rangers Northern Ireland Championship	0-2	1-2	5	8	L
02/10	Strabane Athletic Northern Ireland Championship	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
26/09	Dundela Northern Ireland Championship	0-0	0-2	8	4	L
19/09	Loughgall Northern Ireland Championship	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
12/09	Institute Northern Ireland Championship	–	3-5	–	–	L
04/09	Newry City Northern Ireland Championship	0-1	2-2	3	7	D
28/08	Moyola Park Northern Ireland Championship	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
22/08	Glenavon Northern Ireland Championship	–	2-2	–	–	D
15/08	HW Welders Northern Ireland Championship	–	0-1	–	–	L
11/08	Warrenpoint Town Northern Ireland Championship	–	0-2	–	–	L

Annagh United

WDWWWWDWDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Glenavon Northern Ireland Championship	1-1	1-1	3	9	D
03/10	Warrenpoint Town Northern Ireland Championship	0-0	1-1	4	5	D
26/09	Institute Northern Ireland Championship	3-0	5-0	7	7	W
18/09	Newry City Northern Ireland Championship	1-0	1-1	3	4	D
12/09	HW Welders Northern Ireland Championship	0-1	3-1	6	7	W
04/09	Ards FC Northern Ireland Championship	0-0	2-1	4	7	W
29/08	Ballinamallard Utd Northern Ireland Championship	–	3-1	–	–	W
22/08	Moyola Park Northern Ireland Championship	0-0	2-0	5	6	W
15/08	Dundela Northern Ireland Championship	1-2	2-2	6	6	D
11/08	Rathfriland Rangers Northern Ireland Championship	–	4-2	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Armagh City vs Annagh United?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Annagh United win (68%). Probabilities: Armagh City 12%, draw 20%, Annagh United 68%.

How many goals are expected in Armagh City vs Annagh United?

The model expects 2.95 goals (Armagh City 0.8 · Annagh United 2.15), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Armagh City vs Annagh United?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.