Football · Northern Ireland Championship · 24/10, 16:00

Prediction: Annagh United vs Queens University

Team pages: Annagh United · Queens University

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.69Total

Annagh United1.67

Queens University1.02

1X2

52% 26% 22%

Annagh United Draw Queens University

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Annagh United 6-4-0 (W-D-L)

DWWWWDWDDW

Queens University 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWWWWLLWLD

Head-to-head

Annagh United 3–3 Queens University (6 last)

Annagh United0-4Queens University
Queens University1-0Annagh United
Annagh United0-2Queens University
Queens University0-1Annagh United
Annagh United2-0Queens University
Queens University2-4Annagh United

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Annagh United 1528 · Queens University 1544

	Annagh United	Draw	Queens University
Our model	51%	27%	22%
Market	52%	25%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 2.69 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Annagh United	Queens University
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 0.9	1.8 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/44/22%	14/71/14%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.2	1.9 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.7 / 0.2	4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.70

X3.60

23.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.98

2 (+0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.93

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70
X	3.60 → 3.60	Pinn 3.62
2	3.90 → 3.90	Pinn 4.12 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.2% Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
13:22 +5’	1.70	3.60	3.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
04:14 +35’	1.65	3.62	4.12

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Annagh United 3–0–3 Queens University

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Northern Ireland Championship	Annagh United	0-4	Queens University
31/01/26 Northern Ireland Championship	Queens University	1-0 HT 1-0	Annagh United
08/11/25 Northern Ireland Championship	Annagh United	0-2	Queens University
04/10/25 Northern Ireland Championship	Queens University	0-1 HT 0-1	Annagh United
05/11/24 Northern Ireland League Cup	Annagh United	2-0 HT 1-0	Queens University
05/03/22 Northern Ireland Championship	Queens University	2-4	Annagh United

Standings · Northern Ireland Championship

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Newington FC	13	8	2	3	29	22	26
2	Annagh United	12	7	4	1	28	15	25
3	Glenavon	12	7	3	2	30	14	24
4	Ballinamallard Utd	13	6	3	4	20	18	21
5	Queens University	12	6	2	4	21	9	20
6	Institute	12	6	2	4	22	17	20
7	Newry City	13	5	4	4	20	22	19
8	Warrenpoint Town	12	5	3	4	21	17	18
9	HW Welders	12	5	1	6	18	20	16
10	Ards FC	12	4	3	5	14	15	15
11	Loughgall	12	3	5	4	16	22	14
12	Moyola Park	12	4	2	6	14	24	14
13	Rathfriland Rangers	12	4	0	8	12	23	12
14	Dundela	12	2	5	5	19	24	11
15	Strabane Athletic	13	2	4	7	11	22	10
16	Armagh City	12	0	5	7	10	21	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Annagh United	Queens University
Institute	5-0 W	4-1 W
Newry City	1-1 D	1-1 D
Ards FC	2-1 W	3-0 W
Ballinamallard Utd	3-1 W	0-1 L
Moyola Park	2-0 W	0-1 L
Dundela	2-2 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 0 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Annagh United (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Annagh United

DWWWWDWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Armagh City Northern Ireland Championship	1-0	3-1	9	2	W
10/10	Glenavon Northern Ireland Championship	1-1	1-1	3	9	D
03/10	Warrenpoint Town Northern Ireland Championship	0-0	1-1	4	5	D
26/09	Institute Northern Ireland Championship	3-0	5-0	7	7	W
18/09	Newry City Northern Ireland Championship	1-0	1-1	3	4	D
12/09	HW Welders Northern Ireland Championship	0-1	3-1	6	7	W
04/09	Ards FC Northern Ireland Championship	0-0	2-1	4	7	W
29/08	Ballinamallard Utd Northern Ireland Championship	–	3-1	–	–	W
22/08	Moyola Park Northern Ireland Championship	0-0	2-0	5	6	W
15/08	Dundela Northern Ireland Championship	1-2	2-2	6	6	D

Queens University

LWWWWLLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Newry City Northern Ireland Championship	1-1	1-1	5	4	D
10/10	Ballinamallard Utd Northern Ireland Championship	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
03/10	Dundela Northern Ireland Championship	0-0	2-0	5	4	W
26/09	Moyola Park Northern Ireland Championship	0-0	0-1	7	4	L
19/09	Rathfriland Rangers Northern Ireland Championship	–	0-1	–	–	L
12/09	Loughgall Northern Ireland Championship	–	1-0	–	–	W
05/09	Strabane Athletic Northern Ireland Championship	–	6-0	–	–	W
28/08	Ards FC Northern Ireland Championship	2-0	3-0	1	7	W
22/08	Institute Northern Ireland Championship	1-1	4-1	5	4	W
15/08	Newington FC Northern Ireland Championship	0-2	1-2	4	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Annagh United vs Queens University?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Annagh United win (52%). Probabilities: Annagh United 52%, draw 26%, Queens University 22%.

How many goals are expected in Annagh United vs Queens University?

The model expects 2.69 goals (Annagh United 1.67 · Queens University 1.02), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Annagh United vs Queens University?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.