Football · England Southern Premier League South · 03/11, 20:45

Prediction: Plymouth Parkway vs Uxbridge

Team pages: Plymouth Parkway · Uxbridge

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.98Total

Plymouth Parkway1.49

Uxbridge1.49

1X2

37% 26% 37%

Plymouth Parkway Draw Uxbridge

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Plymouth Parkway 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Uxbridge 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Plymouth Parkway 1–1 Uxbridge (2 last)

Uxbridge1-2Plymouth Parkway
Plymouth Parkway0-3Uxbridge

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Plymouth Parkway 1531 · Uxbridge 1602

	Plymouth Parkway	Draw	Uxbridge
Our model	37%	27%	37%
Market	38%	25%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 2.98 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Uxbridge (rating 1531 vs 1602).
Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Plymouth Parkway	Uxbridge
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.3	2.2 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.3	0.7 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/67/0%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 4.7	2.2 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	3.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.38

X3.60

22.38

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.38 → 2.38	Bet365 2.38
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.38 → 2.38	Bet365 2.38

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
12:49 +4’	2.38	3.60	2.38

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Plymouth Parkway 1–0–1 Uxbridge

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/01/26 England Southern Premier League South	Uxbridge	1-2 HT 0-0	Plymouth Parkway
08/11/25 England Southern Premier League South	Plymouth Parkway	0-3 HT 0-1	Uxbridge

Standings · England Southern Premier League South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Uxbridge	13	10	2	1	27	8	32
2	Hanworth Villa	15	9	3	3	31	18	30
3	Bath City	14	9	2	3	20	10	29
4	Poole Town	14	9	1	4	24	16	28
5	Plymouth Parkway	14	8	2	4	29	18	26
6	Chichester City	15	8	1	6	27	25	25
7	Gosport Borough	15	7	3	5	25	20	24
8	Chertsey Town	14	6	5	3	31	23	23
9	Wimborne Town	13	6	4	3	22	9	22
10	Taunton Town	13	6	1	6	32	26	19
11	Frome Town	14	5	4	5	22	19	19
12	Berkhamsted	14	5	3	6	18	20	18
13	Sholing	13	4	4	5	18	20	16
14	Evesham United	14	5	1	8	18	28	16
15	Basingstoke	15	4	3	8	24	31	15
16	Hanwell Town	13	3	5	5	18	18	14
17	Yate Town	14	3	5	6	16	27	14
18	Bracknell Town	15	4	2	9	16	33	14
19	Havant and W	15	3	3	9	20	32	12
20	Gloucester	12	2	5	5	17	21	11
21	Malvern Town	14	3	2	9	21	38	11
22	Chippenham Town	13	2	3	8	11	27	9

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Plymouth Parkway	Uxbridge
Basingstoke	0-2 L	2-0 W
Wimborne Town	2-1 W	0-0 D
Chichester City	1-3 L	5-0 W
Evesham United	3-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Plymouth Parkway

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Hanworth Villa England Southern Premier League South	–	2-4	–	–	L
27/10	Gloucester England Southern Premier League South	0-0	1-0	7	4	W
24/10	Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South	–	0-2	–	–	L
13/10	Wimborne Town England Southern Premier League South	1-1	2-1	6	2	W
10/10	Chichester City England Southern Premier League South	–	1-3	–	–	L
29/09	Gloucester England Southern Premier League South	1-0	1-1	1	3	D
22/09	Frome Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-0	–	–	W
12/09	Sholing England Southern Premier League South	–	3-1	–	–	W
31/08	Poole Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-0	–	–	W
29/08	Evesham United England Southern Premier League South	–	3-1	–	–	W

Uxbridge

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Yate Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-0	–	–	W
27/10	Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South	–	2-0	–	–	W
20/10	Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South	1-0	3-0	3	5	W
10/10	Evesham United England Southern Premier League South	0-0	1-0	9	2	W
29/09	Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South	1-0	2-1	9	3	W
15/09	Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South	0-0	0-1	0	5	L
12/09	Chichester City England Southern Premier League South	2-0	5-0	6	1	W
31/08	Wimborne Town England Southern Premier League South	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
29/08	Bath City England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W
22/08	Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South	–	5-4	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Plymouth Parkway vs Uxbridge?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Plymouth Parkway win (37%). Probabilities: Plymouth Parkway 37%, draw 26%, Uxbridge 37%.

How many goals are expected in Plymouth Parkway vs Uxbridge?

The model expects 2.98 goals (Plymouth Parkway 1.49 · Uxbridge 1.49), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Plymouth Parkway vs Uxbridge?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.