Prediction: Ethio Electric FC vs Negelle Arsi
Team pages: Ethio Electric FC · Negelle Arsi
- Negelle Arsi0-2Ethio Electric FC
- Ethio Electric FC0-0Negelle Arsi
| Ethio Electric FC | Draw | Negelle Arsi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 35% | 33% |
| Market | 33% | 34% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ethio Electric FC | Negelle Arsi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1 | 1.1 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 3.9 | 1.3 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.1 | 5.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ethio Electric FC 1–1–0 Negelle Arsi
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/26 Ethiopia Premier League | Negelle Arsi | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Ethio Electric FC |
| 07/11/25 Ethiopia Premier League | Ethio Electric FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Negelle Arsi |
Standings · Ethiopia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ethiopian Insurance FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Adama City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Bahir Dar Kenema FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Mechal SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Shaggar City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Halaba City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Negelle Arsi | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Kedus Giorgis | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Welwalo Adigrat | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Fasil Kenema | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Wolaita Dicha | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Ethio Electric FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | Ethiopian Coffee | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | Hadiya Hossana | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | Hawassa City FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | Sidama Bunna | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 | Gamo Chencha | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ethio Electric FC | Negelle Arsi |
|---|---|---|
| Sidama Bunna | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Hawassa City FC | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Wolaita Dicha | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 0-0 D | 0-3 L |
| Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Dire Dawa | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Welwalo Adigrat | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Shire Endaselassie FC | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 3 L | 4 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Negelle Arsi (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ethio Electric FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Adama City Ethiopia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 05/07 | Sidama Bunna Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 28/06 | Hawassa City FC Ethiopia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 22/06 | Wolaita Dicha Ethiopia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 16/06 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 29/05 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank Ethiopia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 20/05 | Dire Dawa Ethiopia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 11 | D |
| 16/05 | Welwalo Adigrat Ethiopia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Fasil Kenema Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 05/05 | Shire Endaselassie FC Ethiopia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
Negelle Arsi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Kedus Giorgis Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 01/07 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC Ethiopia Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 26/06 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank Ethiopia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 20/06 | Sidama Bunna Ethiopia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 15/06 | Hawassa City FC Ethiopia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 04/06 | Wolaita Dicha Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 21/05 | Shire Endaselassie FC Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 14/05 | Mechal SC Ethiopia Premier League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 11/05 | Dire Dawa Ethiopia Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 06/05 | Welwalo Adigrat Ethiopia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ethio Electric FC vs Negelle Arsi?
According to our model, the most likely result is a draw (34%). Probabilities: Ethio Electric FC 33%, draw 34%, Negelle Arsi 33%.
How many goals are expected in Ethio Electric FC vs Negelle Arsi?
The model expects 1.89 goals (Ethio Electric FC 0.94 · Negelle Arsi 0.95), with a 55% chance of over 1.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Ethio Electric FC vs Negelle Arsi?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.