Prediction: Ethiopian Coffee vs Negelle Arsi
Team pages: Ethiopian Coffee · Negelle Arsi
- Negelle Arsi0-1Ethiopian Coffee
- Ethiopian Coffee2-1Negelle Arsi
| Ethiopian Coffee | Draw | Negelle Arsi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 35% | 30% |
| Market | 35% | 35% | 30% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Ethiopian Coffee: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ethiopian Coffee | Negelle Arsi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 0.8 | 0.9 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.2 | 1.3 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.4 | 5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ethiopian Coffee 2–0–0 Negelle Arsi
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/02/26 Ethiopia Premier League | Negelle Arsi | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Ethiopian Coffee |
| 23/10/25 Ethiopia Premier League | Ethiopian Coffee | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Negelle Arsi |
Standings · Ethiopia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | Ethiopian Insurance FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Halaba City | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Adama City | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 5 | Ethio Electric FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Shaggar City | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Ethiopian Coffee | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Bahir Dar Kenema FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Mechal SC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Negelle Arsi | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 10 | Wolaita Dicha | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 12 | Welwalo Adigrat | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 13 | Fasil Kenema | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Kedus Giorgis | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 15 | Hadiya Hossana | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 15 | Hawassa City FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 17 | Sidama Bunna | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 | Gamo Chencha | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ethiopian Coffee | Negelle Arsi |
|---|---|---|
| Kedus Giorgis | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Wolaita Dicha | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 3-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Sidama Bunna | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Hawassa City FC | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Shire Endaselassie FC | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Mechal SC | 1-1 D | 0-4 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 3 L | 2 W 4 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Negelle Arsi (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ethiopian Coffee
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Kedus Giorgis Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 11/10 | Shaggar City Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 03/07 | Wolaita Dicha Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 26/06 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC Ethiopia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 20/06 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 14/06 | Sidama Bunna Ethiopia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 28/05 | Hawassa City FC Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 20/05 | Fasil Kenema Ethiopia Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 14/05 | Shire Endaselassie FC Ethiopia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | Mechal SC Ethiopia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
Negelle Arsi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Ethio Electric FC Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 10/10 | Kedus Giorgis Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 01/07 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC Ethiopia Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 26/06 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank Ethiopia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 20/06 | Sidama Bunna Ethiopia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 15/06 | Hawassa City FC Ethiopia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 04/06 | Wolaita Dicha Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 21/05 | Shire Endaselassie FC Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 14/05 | Mechal SC Ethiopia Premier League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 11/05 | Dire Dawa Ethiopia Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ethiopian Coffee vs Negelle Arsi?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ethiopian Coffee win (35%). Probabilities: Ethiopian Coffee 35%, draw 35%, Negelle Arsi 30%.
How many goals are expected in Ethiopian Coffee vs Negelle Arsi?
The model expects 1.89 goals (Ethiopian Coffee 0.99 · Negelle Arsi 0.9), with a 51% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Ethiopian Coffee vs Negelle Arsi?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.