Football · Ethiopia Premier League · 26/10, 13:00
Prediction: Kedus Giorgis vs Shaggar City
Team pages: Kedus Giorgis · Shaggar City
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Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.61Total
Kedus Giorgis1.07
Shaggar City0.54
1X2
Kedus Giorgis
Draw
Shaggar City
Markets
Under 1.5 goals 51%
Not both to score 57%
Most likely score
0-0 21%
Recent form · 10 last
Kedus Giorgis
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Shaggar City
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Kedus Giorgis
0–2
Shaggar City
(2 last)
- Shaggar City1-0Kedus Giorgis
- Kedus Giorgis0-1Shaggar City
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kedus Giorgis 1495 · Shaggar City 1529
| Kedus Giorgis | Draw | Shaggar City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 36% | 17% |
| Market | 49% | 31% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.61 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Shaggar City: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kedus Giorgis | Shaggar City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.3 | 0.2 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.4 | 2.6 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.3 | 3.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kedus Giorgis 0–0–2 Shaggar City
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/26 Ethiopia Premier League | Shaggar City | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Kedus Giorgis |
| 03/11/25 Ethiopia Premier League | Kedus Giorgis | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Shaggar City |
Standings · Ethiopia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 2 | Ethio Electric FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Bahir Dar Kenema FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Mechal SC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Negelle Arsi | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| 6 | Halaba City | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | Adama City | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 8 | Ethiopian Insurance FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Shaggar City | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Fasil Kenema | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Ethiopian Coffee | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 3 |
| 12 | Kedus Giorgis | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| 13 | Hawassa City FC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 14 | Hadiya Hossana | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| 15 | Wolaita Dicha | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 17 | Sidama Bunna | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 | Gamo Chencha | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Kedus Giorgis | Shaggar City |
|---|---|---|
| Adama City | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Ethiopian Coffee | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Welwalo Adigrat | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Fasil Kenema | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Shire Endaselassie FC | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Mechal SC | 3-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Dire Dawa | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 1 L | 4 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kedus Giorgis
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Adama City Ethiopia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 17/10 | Ethiopian Coffee Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 10/10 | Negelle Arsi Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 02/07 | Welwalo Adigrat Ethiopia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 26/06 | Fasil Kenema Ethiopia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 21/06 | Shire Endaselassie FC Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | D |
| 14/06 | Mechal SC Ethiopia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 28/05 | Dire Dawa Ethiopia Premier League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 20/05 | Hawassa City FC Ethiopia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 14/05 | Wolaita Dicha Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
Shaggar City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Ethio Electric FC Ethiopia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 16/10 | Adama City Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 11/10 | Ethiopian Coffee Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 02/07 | Shire Endaselassie FC Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/06 | Mechal SC Ethiopia Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 20/06 | Dire Dawa Ethiopia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 16/06 | Welwalo Adigrat Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 29/05 | Fasil Kenema Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 20/05 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 15/05 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank Ethiopia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kedus Giorgis vs Shaggar City?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Kedus Giorgis win (48%). Probabilities: Kedus Giorgis 48%, draw 33%, Shaggar City 19%.
How many goals are expected in Kedus Giorgis vs Shaggar City?
The model expects 1.61 goals (Kedus Giorgis 1.07 · Shaggar City 0.54), with a 61% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Kedus Giorgis vs Shaggar City?
The model gives a 57% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.