Football · Ethiopia Premier League · 22/10, 14:00
Prediction: Wolaita Dicha vs Bahir Dar Kenema FC
Team pages: Wolaita Dicha · Bahir Dar Kenema FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.5Total
Wolaita Dicha0.85
Bahir Dar Kenema FC0.65
1X2
Wolaita Dicha
Draw
Bahir Dar Kenema FC
Markets
Under 1.5 goals 55%
Not both to score 57%
Most likely score
0-0 24%
Recent form · 10 last
Wolaita Dicha
3-6-1 (W-D-L)
Bahir Dar Kenema FC
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Wolaita Dicha
1–3–2
Bahir Dar Kenema FC
(6 last)
- Bahir Dar Kenema FC0-2Wolaita Dicha
- Wolaita Dicha0-0Bahir Dar Kenema FC
- Wolaita Dicha0-4Bahir Dar Kenema FC
- Bahir Dar Kenema FC0-0Wolaita Dicha
- Bahir Dar Kenema FC0-0Wolaita Dicha
- Wolaita Dicha0-1Bahir Dar Kenema FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Wolaita Dicha 1526 · Bahir Dar Kenema FC 1492
| Wolaita Dicha | Draw | Bahir Dar Kenema FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 39% | 25% |
| Market | 40% | 32% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.5 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 80%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Bahir Dar Kenema FC: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Wolaita Dicha | Bahir Dar Kenema FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.1 | 0.3 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/80/0% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 4.3 | 0.8 / 3.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0 | 3.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Wolaita Dicha 1–3–2 Bahir Dar Kenema FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06/26 Ethiopia Premier League | Bahir Dar Kenema FC | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Wolaita Dicha |
| 20/01/26 Ethiopia Premier League | Wolaita Dicha | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Bahir Dar Kenema FC |
| 12/06/25 Ethiopia Premier League | Wolaita Dicha | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Bahir Dar Kenema FC |
| 03/11/24 Ethiopia Premier League | Bahir Dar Kenema FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Wolaita Dicha |
| 24/05/24 Ethiopia Premier League | Bahir Dar Kenema FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Wolaita Dicha |
| 17/02/24 Ethiopia Premier League | Wolaita Dicha | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Bahir Dar Kenema FC |
Standings · Ethiopia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | Ethiopian Insurance FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Halaba City | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Adama City | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 5 | Ethio Electric FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Shaggar City | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Ethiopian Coffee | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Bahir Dar Kenema FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Mechal SC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Negelle Arsi | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 10 | Wolaita Dicha | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 12 | Welwalo Adigrat | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 13 | Fasil Kenema | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Kedus Giorgis | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 15 | Hadiya Hossana | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 15 | Hawassa City FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 17 | Sidama Bunna | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 | Gamo Chencha | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Wolaita Dicha
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Hadiya Hossana Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 10/10 | Fasil Kenema Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 03/07 | Ethiopian Coffee Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 28/06 | Adama City Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 22/06 | Ethio Electric FC Ethiopia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 16/06 | Bahir Dar Kenema FC Ethiopia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/06 | Negelle Arsi Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 19/05 | Ethiopian Insurance FC Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 14/05 | Kedus Giorgis Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 10/05 | Arba Minch Ethiopia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
Bahir Dar Kenema FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Halaba City Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 11/10 | Hadiya Hossana Ethiopia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/07 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank Ethiopia Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 28/06 | Sidama Bunna Ethiopia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 21/06 | Hawassa City FC Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 16/06 | Wolaita Dicha Ethiopia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 30/05 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 19/05 | Mechal SC Ethiopia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 15/05 | Dire Dawa Ethiopia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | Welwalo Adigrat Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Wolaita Dicha vs Bahir Dar Kenema FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Wolaita Dicha win (38%). Probabilities: Wolaita Dicha 38%, draw 35%, Bahir Dar Kenema FC 27%.
How many goals are expected in Wolaita Dicha vs Bahir Dar Kenema FC?
The model expects 1.5 goals (Wolaita Dicha 0.85 · Bahir Dar Kenema FC 0.65), with a 57% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Wolaita Dicha vs Bahir Dar Kenema FC?
The model gives a 57% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.