Prediction: Adama City vs Shaggar City
Team pages: Adama City · Shaggar City
- Adama City3-3Shaggar City
- Shaggar City0-0Adama City
| Adama City | Draw | Shaggar City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 34% | 34% |
| Market | 32% | 33% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Adama City | Shaggar City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.9 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.3 | 0.3 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.2 | 2.7 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.1 | 4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Adama City 0–2–0 Shaggar City
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/02/26 Ethiopia Premier League | Adama City | 3-3 HT 1-0 | Shaggar City |
| 23/10/25 Ethiopia Premier League | Shaggar City | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Adama City |
Standings · Ethiopia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ethiopian Insurance FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Adama City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Bahir Dar Kenema FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Mechal SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Shaggar City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Halaba City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Negelle Arsi | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Kedus Giorgis | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Welwalo Adigrat | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Fasil Kenema | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Wolaita Dicha | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Ethio Electric FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | Ethiopian Coffee | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | Hadiya Hossana | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | Hawassa City FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | Sidama Bunna | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 | Gamo Chencha | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Adama City | Shaggar City |
|---|---|---|
| Hawassa City FC | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Sidama Bunna | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Welwalo Adigrat | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Fasil Kenema | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Shire Endaselassie FC | 4-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Mechal SC | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 2 L | 4 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Adama City (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adama City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Ethio Electric FC Ethiopia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 02/07 | Hawassa City FC Ethiopia Premier League |
3-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 28/06 | Wolaita Dicha Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 21/06 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 15/06 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank Ethiopia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 30/05 | Sidama Bunna Ethiopia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 21/05 | Welwalo Adigrat Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 16/05 | Fasil Kenema Ethiopia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | Shire Endaselassie FC Ethiopia Premier League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 0 | 8 | W |
| 04/05 | Mechal SC Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
Shaggar City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Ethiopian Coffee Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 02/07 | Shire Endaselassie FC Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/06 | Mechal SC Ethiopia Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 20/06 | Dire Dawa Ethiopia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 16/06 | Welwalo Adigrat Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 29/05 | Fasil Kenema Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 20/05 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 15/05 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank Ethiopia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Sidama Bunna Ethiopia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 04/05 | Hawassa City FC Ethiopia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adama City vs Shaggar City?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Shaggar City win (34%). Probabilities: Adama City 32%, draw 34%, Shaggar City 34%.
How many goals are expected in Adama City vs Shaggar City?
The model expects 1.97 goals (Adama City 0.96 · Shaggar City 1.01), with a 51% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Adama City vs Shaggar City?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.