Football · England League 2 · 03/11, 20:45

Prediction: Northampton vs Oldham

Team pages: Northampton · Oldham

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.28Total
Northampton1.23
Oldham1.05
1X2
39% 30% 31%
Northampton Draw Oldham
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Northampton 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
DDWLLDWLWD
Oldham 1-3-6 (W-D-L)
DLLLLDWLDL
Head-to-head
Northampton 4–1–1 Oldham (6 last)
  • Oldham3-1Northampton
  • Oldham0-2Northampton
  • Northampton2-1Oldham
  • Oldham2-2Northampton
  • Oldham2-5Northampton
  • Northampton2-1Oldham
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Northampton 1495 · Oldham 1461
NorthamptonDrawOldham
Our model39%31%30%
Market40%29%31%
Estimated total (ours) 2.28 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Northampton: 4-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

NorthamptonOldham
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 0.80.8 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.50.5 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 5.31.8 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 0.23.3 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Northampton 4–1–1 Oldham

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DateHomeScoreAway
01/11/25
England FA Cup
Oldham3-1
HT 2-0
Northampton
15/04/22
England League 2
Oldham0-2
HT 0-1
Northampton
23/11/21
England League 2
Northampton2-1
HT 2-0
Oldham
02/11/19
England League 2
Oldham2-2
HT 0-1
Northampton
04/05/19
England League 2
Oldham2-5
HT 1-3
Northampton
27/10/18
England League 2
Northampton2-1
HT 2-0
Oldham

Standings · England League 2

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Salford City 141013 251531
2 Barnet 13751 281826
3 Walsall 13571 211222
4 Crewe 14572 171722
5 Cheltenham 14635 232521
6 Grimsby 14554 241820
7 York 14554 242120
8 Gillingham 14554 201920
9 Accrington Stanley 14473 231719
10 Chesterfield 14545 242119
11 Tranmere 14473 191719
12 Exeter 14545 11919
13 Swindon 14545 151719
14 Newport County 14464 201718
15 Shrewsbury 14536 172218
16 Fleetwood Town 14455 181817
17 Bristol Rovers 14518 172316
18 Port Vale 12435 101415
19 Rochdale 14437 172615
20 Northampton 12354 9914
21 Oldham 13337 141912
22 Rotherham 14266 182512
23 Colchester 13265 121912
24 Crawley Town 12237 13219

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentNorthamptonOldham
Accrington Stanley 1-1 D 0-0 D
Tranmere 0-1 L 0-2 L
Crawley Town 1-1 D 0-1 L
Record vs common 0 W 2 D 1 L 0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Northampton (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Northampton

DDWLLDWLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/10 Accrington Stanley
England League 2
0-1 1-1 63 D
24/10 Colchester
England League 2
1-0 2-0 73 W
20/10 Tranmere
England League 2
0-1 0-1 92 L
17/10 Grimsby
England League 2
1-0 2-0 77 W
10/10 York
England League 2
1-0 1-1 43 D
19/09 Rotherham
England League 2
0-0 0-1 54 L
12/09 Shrewsbury
England League 2
0-2 0-2 52 L
05/09 Newport County
England League 2
0-0 1-0 25 W
01/09 Crawley Town
England League 2
1-0 1-1 43 D
29/08 Gillingham
England League 2
1-1 1-1 46 D

Oldham

DLLLLDWLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/10 Crawley Town
England League 2
0-0 0-1 27 L
24/10 Barnet
England League 2
0-1 1-1 73 D
20/10 Walsall
England League 2
0-2 0-3 17 L
17/10 Cheltenham
England League 2
3-1 4-1 42 W
10/10 Accrington Stanley
England League 2
0-0 0-0 25 D
26/09 Salford City
England League 2
1-2 1-4 112 L
19/09 Rochdale
England League 2
0-1 0-2 60 L
12/09 Chesterfield
England League 2
0-1 1-2 15 L
05/09 Tranmere
England League 2
0-1 0-2 105 L
01/09 Fleetwood Town
England League 2
1-0 1-1 41 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Northampton vs Oldham?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Northampton win (39%). Probabilities: Northampton 39%, draw 30%, Oldham 31%.

How many goals are expected in Northampton vs Oldham?

The model expects 2.28 goals (Northampton 1.23 · Oldham 1.05), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Northampton vs Oldham?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.