Football · England League 2 · 31/10, 16:00
Prediction: Salford City vs Exeter
Team pages: Salford City · Exeter
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.14Total
Salford City1.45
Exeter0.7
1X2
Salford City
Draw
Exeter
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Salford City
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Exeter
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Salford City
0–2–3
Exeter
(5 last)
- Exeter0-0Salford City
- Salford City1-2Exeter
- Exeter1-0Salford City
- Salford City2-2Exeter
- Salford City0-1Exeter
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Salford City 1569 · Exeter 1533
| Salford City | Draw | Exeter | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 29% | 17% |
| Market | 56% | 25% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.14 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Exeter: 3-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Salford City | Exeter | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.1 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/70/0% | 10/80/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 6.3 | 1.8 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.2 | 3.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Salford City 0–2–3 Exeter
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/03/22 England League 2 | Exeter | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Salford City |
| 30/10/21 England League 2 | Salford City | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Exeter |
| 27/03/21 England League 2 | Exeter | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Salford City |
| 12/09/20 England League 2 | Salford City | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Exeter |
| 14/12/19 England League 2 | Salford City | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Exeter |
Standings · England League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 25 |
| 2 | Barnet | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 16 | 22 |
| 3 | Cheltenham | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 22 | 21 |
| 4 | Crewe | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 21 |
| 5 | York | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 20 |
| 6 | Walsall | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 16 | 7 | 19 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 17 | 19 |
| 8 | Exeter | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 19 |
| 9 | Accrington Stanley | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 16 | 18 |
| 10 | Shrewsbury | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 20 | 18 |
| 11 | Grimsby | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 17 |
| 12 | Gillingham | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Tranmere | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 16 |
| 14 | Swindon | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 16 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 20 | 16 |
| 16 | Newport County | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 15 |
| 17 | Rochdale | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 22 | 15 |
| 18 | Fleetwood Town | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 14 |
| 19 | Northampton | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 13 |
| 20 | Oldham | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 12 |
| 21 | Colchester | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 12 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 23 | 12 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 6 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Salford City | Exeter |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol Rovers | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Rotherham | 3-3 D | 1-0 W |
| Port Vale | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Shrewsbury | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Salford City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Bristol Rovers England League 2 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 17/10 | Crawley Town England League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 10/10 | Cheltenham England League 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 10 | W |
| 03/10 | Fleetwood Town England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 2 | W |
| 26/09 | Oldham England League 2 |
2-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 19/09 | Swindon England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Rotherham England League 2 |
2-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 05/09 | Port Vale England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 01/09 | Newport County England League 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Shrewsbury England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
Exeter
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Crewe England League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 17/10 | Colchester England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 10/10 | Shrewsbury England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 03/10 | Rotherham England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 26/09 | Bristol Rovers England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 19/09 | Tranmere England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 12/09 | Port Vale England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | Walsall England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 01/09 | Barnet England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | York England League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Salford City vs Exeter?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Salford City win (55%). Probabilities: Salford City 55%, draw 27%, Exeter 18%.
How many goals are expected in Salford City vs Exeter?
The model expects 2.14 goals (Salford City 1.45 · Exeter 0.7), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Salford City vs Exeter?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.