Football · England League 2 · 31/10, 16:00

Prediction: Tranmere vs Cheltenham

Team pages: Tranmere · Cheltenham

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.04Total
Tranmere1.84
Cheltenham1.2
1X2
51% 26% 24%
Tranmere Draw Cheltenham
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Tranmere 2-5-3 (W-D-L)
DWLDDLDLWD
Cheltenham 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WDWDWLLLWW
Head-to-head
Tranmere 3–3 Cheltenham (6 last)
  • Cheltenham1-3Tranmere
  • Tranmere3-2Cheltenham
  • Tranmere2-0Cheltenham
  • Cheltenham1-0Tranmere
  • Cheltenham4-0Tranmere
  • Tranmere0-3Cheltenham
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tranmere 1516 · Cheltenham 1497
TranmereDrawCheltenham
Our model51%25%24%
Market51%26%23%
Estimated total (ours) 3.04 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

TranmereCheltenham
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.31.7 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.11.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/40/10%50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 4.61.7 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.9 / 0.24.6 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tranmere 3–0–3 Cheltenham

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DateHomeScoreAway
21/04/26
England League 2
Cheltenham1-3
HT 1-0
Tranmere
15/11/25
England League 2
Tranmere3-2
HT 2-1
Cheltenham
28/03/25
England League 2
Tranmere2-0
HT 1-0
Cheltenham
22/11/24
England League 2
Cheltenham1-0
HT 0-0
Tranmere
02/04/21
England League 2
Cheltenham4-0
HT 3-0
Tranmere
19/09/20
England League 2
Tranmere0-3
HT 0-3
Cheltenham

Standings · England League 2

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Salford City 12813 191225
2 Barnet 11641 241622
3 Cheltenham 13634 222221
4 Crewe 13562 161621
5 York 12552 211320
6 Walsall 11470 16719
7 Chesterfield 13544 231719
8 Exeter 13544 10719
9 Accrington Stanley 13463 221618
10 Shrewsbury 13535 162018
11 Grimsby 13454 191617
12 Gillingham 13454 181817
13 Tranmere 13373 161616
14 Swindon 13445 131616
15 Bristol Rovers 13517 162016
16 Newport County 13364 161615
17 Rochdale 13436 152215
18 Fleetwood Town 13355 151714
19 Northampton 11344 8813
20 Oldham 12336 141812
21 Colchester 12264 111612
22 Rotherham 13265 172312
23 Port Vale 11335 61212
24 Crawley Town 11137 12216

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentTranmereCheltenham
Crawley Town 1-1 D 3-1 W
Chesterfield 2-4 L 2-1 W
Oldham 2-0 W 1-4 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 1 L 2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Cheltenham (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tranmere

DWLDDLDLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/10 Crawley Town
England League 2
0-0 1-1 153 D
20/10 Northampton
England League 2
1-0 1-0 62 W
17/10 Barnet
England League 2
1-0 1-2 25 L
10/10 Rochdale
England League 2
1-0 1-1 51 D
03/10 Chesterfield
England League 2
0-1 2-4 16 L
26/09 Walsall
England League 2
0-0 1-1 63 D
19/09 Exeter
England League 2
0-0 0-0 25 D
12/09 Gillingham
England League 2
0-0 0-2 55 L
05/09 Oldham
England League 2
1-0 2-0 25 W
01/09 Rotherham
England League 2
1-0 2-2 26 D

Cheltenham

WDWDWLLLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/10 Newport County
England League 2
1-0 1-0 15 W
20/10 Fleetwood Town
England League 2
3-0 4-2 65 W
17/10 Oldham
England League 2
1-3 1-4 52 L
10/10 Salford City
England League 2
0-0 0-2 410 L
03/10 Accrington Stanley
England League 2
0-0 0-2 26 L
26/09 Chesterfield
England League 2
2-0 2-1 24 W
19/09 Colchester
England League 2
0-0 1-1 98 D
12/09 Crawley Town
England League 2
2-1 3-1 36 W
05/09 Grimsby
England League 2
2-0 2-2 32 D
01/09 York
England League 2
1-1 3-2 41 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tranmere vs Cheltenham?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tranmere win (51%). Probabilities: Tranmere 51%, draw 26%, Cheltenham 24%.

How many goals are expected in Tranmere vs Cheltenham?

The model expects 3.04 goals (Tranmere 1.84 · Cheltenham 1.2), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Tranmere vs Cheltenham?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.