Football · England League 2 · 31/10, 16:00

Prediction: Fleetwood Town vs Bristol Rovers

Team pages: Fleetwood Town · Bristol Rovers

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.33Total

Fleetwood Town1.16

Bristol Rovers1.17

1X2

35% 29% 36%

Fleetwood Town Draw Bristol Rovers

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Fleetwood Town 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

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Bristol Rovers 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Fleetwood Town 2–2–2 Bristol Rovers (6 last)

Bristol Rovers1-0Fleetwood Town
Fleetwood Town2-1Bristol Rovers
Fleetwood Town0-0Bristol Rovers
Bristol Rovers0-2Fleetwood Town
Fleetwood Town1-2Bristol Rovers
Bristol Rovers2-2Fleetwood Town

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fleetwood Town 1465 · Bristol Rovers 1462

	Fleetwood Town	Draw	Bristol Rovers
Our model	34%	31%	35%
Market	36%	28%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 2.33 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Fleetwood Town	Bristol Rovers
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.5	0.7 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.8	0.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.4	2.2 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.2	4.6 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.30

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.95

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.88

Under 2.51.98

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:42

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Pinn 2.77 ★
X	3.30 → 3.30	Pinn 3.33
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.5% Pinnacle margin 6.1%

Time*	1	X	2
00:31 +10’	2.55	3.30	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:26 +256’	2.77	3.33	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Fleetwood Town 2–2–2 Bristol Rovers

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/04/26 England League 2	Bristol Rovers	1-0 HT 0-0	Fleetwood Town
09/08/25 England League 2	Fleetwood Town	2-1 HT 2-0	Bristol Rovers
12/03/24 England League 1	Fleetwood Town	0-0 HT 0-0	Bristol Rovers
06/02/24 England League 1	Bristol Rovers	0-2 HT 0-1	Fleetwood Town
10/04/23 England League 1	Fleetwood Town	1-2 HT 1-0	Bristol Rovers
12/11/22 England League 1	Bristol Rovers	2-2 HT 0-1	Fleetwood Town

Standings · England League 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Salford City	12	8	1	3	19	12	25
2	Barnet	11	6	4	1	24	16	22
3	Cheltenham	13	6	3	4	22	22	21
4	Crewe	13	5	6	2	16	16	21
5	York	12	5	5	2	21	13	20
6	Walsall	11	4	7	0	16	7	19
7	Chesterfield	13	5	4	4	23	17	19
8	Exeter	13	5	4	4	10	7	19
9	Accrington Stanley	13	4	6	3	22	16	18
10	Shrewsbury	13	5	3	5	16	20	18
11	Grimsby	13	4	5	4	19	16	17
12	Gillingham	13	4	5	4	18	18	17
13	Tranmere	13	3	7	3	16	16	16
14	Swindon	13	4	4	5	13	16	16
15	Bristol Rovers	13	5	1	7	16	20	16
16	Newport County	13	3	6	4	16	16	15
17	Rochdale	13	4	3	6	15	22	15
18	Fleetwood Town	13	3	5	5	15	17	14
19	Northampton	11	3	4	4	8	8	13
20	Oldham	12	3	3	6	14	18	12
21	Colchester	12	2	6	4	11	16	12
22	Rotherham	13	2	6	5	17	23	12
23	Port Vale	11	3	3	5	6	12	12
24	Crawley Town	11	1	3	7	12	21	6

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fleetwood Town	Bristol Rovers
Exeter	1-2 L	1-0 W
Rotherham	2-0 W	1-0 W
Salford City	0-1 L	1-2 L
Barnet	1-3 L	1-3 L
Shrewsbury	2-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Fleetwood Town (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fleetwood Town

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Exeter England League 2	0-0	1-2	5	2	L
20/10	Cheltenham England League 2	0-3	2-4	5	5	L
17/10	Rotherham England League 2	0-0	2-0	9	8	W
10/10	Walsall England League 2	0-0	1-1	7	7	D
03/10	Salford City England League 2	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
26/09	Rochdale England League 2	1-2	1-2	5	3	L
19/09	Barnet England League 2	1-1	1-3	6	6	L
12/09	Newport County England League 2	0-1	1-1	3	5	D
05/09	Shrewsbury England League 2	1-0	2-0	3	8	W
01/09	Oldham England League 2	0-1	1-1	7	1	D

Bristol Rovers

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Swindon England League 2	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
20/10	Salford City England League 2	0-2	1-2	7	7	L
17/10	Shrewsbury England League 2	0-0	0-1	3	7	L
10/10	Barnet England League 2	1-0	1-3	8	5	L
03/10	Crewe England League 2	0-2	1-3	5	8	L
26/09	Exeter England League 2	0-0	1-0	6	2	W
19/09	Gillingham England League 2	0-0	0-3	1	3	L
12/09	Grimsby England League 2	0-2	0-2	8	6	L
05/09	Rotherham England League 2	1-0	1-0	10	4	W
01/09	Colchester England League 2	1-0	2-0	3	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fleetwood Town vs Bristol Rovers?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Bristol Rovers win (36%). Probabilities: Fleetwood Town 35%, draw 29%, Bristol Rovers 36%.

How many goals are expected in Fleetwood Town vs Bristol Rovers?

The model expects 2.33 goals (Fleetwood Town 1.16 · Bristol Rovers 1.17), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Fleetwood Town vs Bristol Rovers?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.