Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 24/10, 16:00

Prediction: Stratford Town vs Alvechurch

Team pages: Stratford Town · Alvechurch

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.66Total

Stratford Town1.19

Alvechurch1.47

1X2

30% 28% 43%

Stratford Town Draw Alvechurch

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Stratford Town 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLLDLLWWDD

Alvechurch 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWDDLD

Head-to-head

Stratford Town 5–1 Alvechurch (6 last)

Stratford Town2-1Alvechurch
Alvechurch1-2Stratford Town
Stratford Town3-0Alvechurch
Alvechurch1-2Stratford Town
Stratford Town3-2Alvechurch
Alvechurch1-0Stratford Town

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Stratford Town 1473 · Alvechurch 1570

	Stratford Town	Draw	Alvechurch
Our model	29%	28%	42%
Market	30%	27%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alvechurch (rating 1473 vs 1570).
H2H favours Stratford Town: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Stratford Town	Alvechurch
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.9	1.8 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 1.2	0 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/60/40%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.4	3 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0	3.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.00

X3.30

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.90

2 (-0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.95

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
15:17 +4’	3.00	3.30	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Stratford Town 5–0–1 Alvechurch

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/12/25 England Southern Premier League Central	Stratford Town	2-1 HT 2-0	Alvechurch
25/08/25 England Southern Premier League Central	Alvechurch	1-2	Stratford Town
21/04/25 England Southern Premier League Central	Stratford Town	3-0	Alvechurch
26/12/24 England Southern Premier League Central	Alvechurch	1-2	Stratford Town
16/12/23 England Southern Premier League Central	Stratford Town	3-2	Alvechurch
19/08/23 England Southern Premier League Central	Alvechurch	1-0	Stratford Town

Standings · England Southern Premier League Central

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Bedford	12	10	2	0	36	13	32
2	Bury Town	13	10	1	2	23	15	31
3	Bromsgrove	12	8	3	1	21	11	27
4	Rushall Olympic	14	9	0	5	30	21	27
5	Needham Market	13	7	2	4	28	19	23
6	Peterborough Sports	13	6	5	2	25	18	23
7	Kettering	12	6	4	2	22	9	22
8	Alvechurch	11	6	3	2	18	6	21
9	Anstey Nomads	11	5	4	2	20	16	19
10	Racing Club Warwick	13	4	5	4	20	17	17
11	Halesowen	11	5	2	4	13	16	17
12	Stourbridge	12	4	4	4	14	16	16
13	Redditch	11	3	5	3	17	16	14
14	Banbury	13	3	4	6	16	23	13
15	Leiston	11	3	3	5	17	21	12
16	Stratford Town	12	2	5	5	12	20	11
17	Leamington	13	2	4	7	17	23	10
18	Bishop's Stortford	12	3	1	8	14	22	10
19	Hitchin	13	2	4	7	11	19	10
20	Worcester City	11	1	4	6	8	16	7
21	Leighton Town	12	1	2	9	13	26	5
22	Stamford	13	0	1	12	3	35	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Stratford Town	Alvechurch
Stamford	0-0 D	4-0 W
Racing Club Warwick	0-0 D	2-0 W
Needham Market	1-2 L	2-0 W
Bury Town	1-3 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Alvechurch (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Stratford Town

LLLDLLWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Peterborough Sports England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-1	–	–	D
13/10	Stamford England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	0-0	8	1	D
10/10	Leamington England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-1	–	–	W
29/09	Banbury England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	3-2	3	2	W
22/09	Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	2-3	4	3	L
12/09	Kettering England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-1	–	–	L
31/08	Racing Club Warwick England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-0	–	–	D
29/08	Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-2	–	–	L
22/08	Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central	0-2	1-6	2	5	L
15/08	Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central	0-3	1-3	5	3	L

Alvechurch

WWWWWWDDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/10	Halesowen England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	1-1	2	2	D
10/10	Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-1	–	–	L
29/09	Stourbridge England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-0	–	–	D
22/09	Anstey Nomads England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	2-2	5	5	D
12/09	Stamford England Southern Premier League Central	–	4-0	–	–	W
31/08	Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-0	–	–	W
29/08	Racing Club Warwick England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-0	–	–	W
22/08	Bishop's Stortford England Southern Premier League Central	–	3-0	–	–	W
15/08	Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-0	–	–	W
11/08	Worcester City England Southern Premier League Central	–	3-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stratford Town vs Alvechurch?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Alvechurch win (43%). Probabilities: Stratford Town 30%, draw 28%, Alvechurch 43%.

How many goals are expected in Stratford Town vs Alvechurch?

The model expects 2.66 goals (Stratford Town 1.19 · Alvechurch 1.47), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Stratford Town vs Alvechurch?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.