Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 31/10, 16:00

Prediction: Redditch vs Needham Market

Team pages: Redditch · Needham Market

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.16Total

Redditch1.49

Needham Market1.67

1X2

33% 26% 41%

Redditch Draw Needham Market

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Redditch 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DLLWLWDWDW

Needham Market 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WDWWLDWWWD

Head-to-head

Redditch 3–3 Needham Market (6 last)

Redditch2-1Needham Market
Needham Market2-1Redditch
Redditch3-0Needham Market
Needham Market3-0Redditch
Needham Market1-0Redditch
Redditch3-1Needham Market

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Redditch 1527 · Needham Market 1528

	Redditch	Draw	Needham Market
Our model	33%	26%	41%
Market	33%	26%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 3.16 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Redditch	Needham Market
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.6	2.5 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.7	1.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	56/33/11%	56/11/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.4	2.1 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.3	2.1 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.50

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.80

2 (-0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
12:29 +16’	2.70	3.50	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Redditch 3–0–3 Needham Market

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/03/26 England Southern Premier League Central	Redditch	2-1 HT 0-1	Needham Market
08/11/25 England Southern Premier League Central	Needham Market	2-1 HT 1-1	Redditch
27/04/24 England Southern Premier League Central	Redditch	3-0 HT 2-0	Needham Market
19/03/24 England Southern Premier League Central	Needham Market	3-0 HT 1-0	Redditch
14/03/23 England Southern Premier League Central	Needham Market	1-0 HT 0-0	Redditch
12/12/22 England Southern Premier League Central	Redditch	3-1 HT 2-1	Needham Market

Standings · England Southern Premier League Central

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Bedford	14	10	2	2	37	17	32
2	Bury Town	14	10	1	3	24	20	31
3	Bromsgrove	13	8	4	1	23	13	28
4	Rushall Olympic	15	9	0	6	32	24	27
5	Kettering	13	7	4	2	25	11	25
6	Needham Market	14	7	3	4	29	20	24
7	Alvechurch	13	6	5	2	24	12	23
8	Peterborough Sports	14	6	5	3	27	23	23
9	Anstey Nomads	12	5	5	2	22	18	20
10	Halesowen	12	6	2	4	16	18	20
11	Stourbridge	13	5	4	4	15	16	19
12	Racing Club Warwick	14	4	5	5	21	19	17
13	Redditch	12	4	5	3	19	17	17
14	Leiston	12	4	3	5	22	23	15
15	Hitchin	14	3	4	7	16	20	13
16	Bishop's Stortford	14	4	1	9	17	24	13
17	Stratford Town	14	2	7	5	18	26	13
18	Banbury	14	3	4	7	16	26	13
19	Worcester City	12	2	4	6	11	16	10
20	Leamington	14	2	4	8	19	26	10
21	Leighton Town	13	1	3	9	14	27	6
22	Stamford	14	1	1	12	4	35	4

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Redditch	Needham Market
Leamington	2-2 D	2-1 W
Bishop's Stortford	3-1 W	2-1 W
Peterborough Sports	2-2 D	3-3 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 0 L	2 W 1 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Redditch

DLLWLWDWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/10	Racing Club Warwick England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	2-1	3	4	W
13/10	Leamington England Southern Premier League Central	2-0	2-2	8	6	D
10/10	Bishop's Stortford England Southern Premier League Central	–	3-1	–	–	W
29/09	Peterborough Sports England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	2-2	1	5	D
21/09	Racing Club Warwick England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	2-1	7	2	W
12/09	Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	1-2	2	4	L
31/08	Halesowen England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	3-1	2	11	W
29/08	Leiston England Southern Premier League Central	0-3	1-3	9	8	L
22/08	Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	1-2	2	1	L
15/08	Hitchin England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	1-1	6	2	D

Needham Market

WDWWLDWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/10	Leighton Town England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	1-1	9	2	D
20/10	Bishop's Stortford England Southern Premier League Central	2-0	2-1	5	0	W
17/10	Leamington England Southern Premier League Central	2-1	2-1	1	6	W
13/10	Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central	3-0	5-0	10	2	W
10/10	Anstey Nomads England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	1-1	2	2	D
03/10	Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central	1-3	3-5	0	5	L
29/09	Stamford England Southern Premier League Central	4-0	4-0	5	2	W
12/09	Worcester City England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	2-0	3	3	W
31/08	Peterborough Sports England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	3-3	4	2	D
29/08	Stratford Town England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Redditch vs Needham Market?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Needham Market win (41%). Probabilities: Redditch 33%, draw 26%, Needham Market 41%.

How many goals are expected in Redditch vs Needham Market?

The model expects 3.16 goals (Redditch 1.49 · Needham Market 1.67), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Redditch vs Needham Market?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.