Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 31/10, 16:00

Prediction: Stratford Town vs Hitchin

Team pages: Stratford Town · Hitchin

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.81Total

Stratford Town1.65

Hitchin1.16

1X2

48% 26% 26%

Stratford Town Draw Hitchin

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Stratford Town 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

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Hitchin 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Stratford Town 2–1–3 Hitchin (6 last)

Stratford Town1-1Hitchin
Hitchin0-1Stratford Town
Hitchin3-4Stratford Town
Stratford Town0-1Hitchin
Hitchin1-0Stratford Town
Stratford Town1-2Hitchin

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Stratford Town 1477 · Hitchin 1454

	Stratford Town	Draw	Hitchin
Our model	48%	27%	26%
Market	49%	25%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.81 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Hitchin: 3-1-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Stratford Town	Hitchin
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.6	1.2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.8	0.2 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/100/0%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.8	2.6 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0	0.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.60

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.88

2 (+0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
11:30 +2’	1.85	3.60	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Stratford Town 2–1–3 Hitchin

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/03/25 England Southern Premier League Central	Stratford Town	1-1	Hitchin
23/11/24 England Southern Premier League Central	Hitchin	0-1	Stratford Town
10/02/24 England Southern Premier League Central	Hitchin	3-4	Stratford Town
31/10/23 England Southern Premier League Central	Stratford Town	0-1 HT 0-0	Hitchin
25/03/23 England Southern Premier League Central	Hitchin	1-0	Stratford Town
25/10/22 England Southern Premier League Central	Stratford Town	1-2	Hitchin

Standings · England Southern Premier League Central

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Bedford	14	10	2	2	37	17	32
2	Bury Town	14	10	1	3	24	20	31
3	Bromsgrove	13	8	4	1	23	13	28
4	Rushall Olympic	15	9	0	6	32	24	27
5	Kettering	13	7	4	2	25	11	25
6	Needham Market	14	7	3	4	29	20	24
7	Alvechurch	13	6	5	2	24	12	23
8	Peterborough Sports	14	6	5	3	27	23	23
9	Anstey Nomads	12	5	5	2	22	18	20
10	Halesowen	12	6	2	4	16	18	20
11	Stourbridge	13	5	4	4	15	16	19
12	Racing Club Warwick	14	4	5	5	21	19	17
13	Redditch	12	4	5	3	19	17	17
14	Leiston	12	4	3	5	22	23	15
15	Hitchin	14	3	4	7	16	20	13
16	Bishop's Stortford	14	4	1	9	17	24	13
17	Stratford Town	14	2	7	5	18	26	13
18	Banbury	14	3	4	7	16	26	13
19	Worcester City	12	2	4	6	11	16	10
20	Leamington	14	2	4	8	19	26	10
21	Leighton Town	13	1	3	9	14	27	6
22	Stamford	14	1	1	12	4	35	4

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Stratford Town	Hitchin
Peterborough Sports	1-1 D	0-1 L
Stamford	0-0 D	3-0 W
Leamington	2-1 W	0-4 L
Kettering	0-1 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Stratford Town

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/10	Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-2	–	–	D
24/10	Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central	2-2	4-4	4	3	D
17/10	Peterborough Sports England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-1	–	–	D
13/10	Stamford England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	0-0	8	1	D
10/10	Leamington England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-1	–	–	W
29/09	Banbury England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	3-2	3	2	W
22/09	Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	2-3	4	3	L
12/09	Kettering England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-1	–	–	L
31/08	Racing Club Warwick England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-0	–	–	D
29/08	Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-2	–	–	L

Hitchin

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central	–	5-1	–	–	W
20/10	Stamford England Southern Premier League Central	–	3-0	–	–	W
17/10	Halesowen England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	1-2	5	1	L
10/10	Peterborough Sports England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	0-1	5	1	L
03/10	Leamington England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	0-4	6	0	L
29/09	Leighton Town England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	1-0	7	0	W
22/09	Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-1	–	–	L
12/09	Stourbridge England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	1-1	4	2	D
31/08	Bishop's Stortford England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-2	–	–	L
29/08	Kettering England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stratford Town vs Hitchin?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Stratford Town win (48%). Probabilities: Stratford Town 48%, draw 26%, Hitchin 26%.

How many goals are expected in Stratford Town vs Hitchin?

The model expects 2.81 goals (Stratford Town 1.65 · Hitchin 1.16), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Stratford Town vs Hitchin?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.