Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 31/10, 16:00

Prediction: Stourbridge vs Kettering

Team pages: Stourbridge · Kettering

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.93Total

Stourbridge1.38

Kettering1.55

1X2

33% 26% 41%

Stourbridge Draw Kettering

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Stourbridge 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DLDLDLWWLW

Kettering 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DDWWLWDLWW

Head-to-head

Stourbridge 2–1–3 Kettering (6 last)

Stourbridge1-1Kettering
Kettering5-0Stourbridge
Stourbridge1-3Kettering
Kettering2-0Stourbridge
Stourbridge2-1Kettering
Kettering2-4Stourbridge

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Stourbridge 1514 · Kettering 1566

	Stourbridge	Draw	Kettering
Our model	33%	27%	40%
Market	33%	26%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 2.93 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kettering (rating 1514 vs 1566).
H2H favours Kettering: 3-1-2.
High corners: 13 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Stourbridge	Kettering
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.3	2.2 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	1.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/17/50%	67/0/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.8 / 7.5	2.7 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.2	3.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.50

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.80

2 (-0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
12:36 +9’	2.70	3.50	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Stourbridge 2–1–3 Kettering

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/02/26 England Southern Premier League Central	Stourbridge	1-1	Kettering
29/11/25 England Southern Premier League Central	Kettering	5-0	Stourbridge
15/02/25 England Southern Premier League Central	Stourbridge	1-3 HT 0-1	Kettering
22/10/24 England Southern Premier League Central	Kettering	2-0 HT 0-0	Stourbridge
13/01/24 England Southern Premier League Central	Stourbridge	2-1	Kettering
12/08/23 England Southern Premier League Central	Kettering	2-4 HT 2-1	Stourbridge

Standings · England Southern Premier League Central

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Bedford	14	10	2	2	37	17	32
2	Bury Town	14	10	1	3	24	20	31
3	Bromsgrove	13	8	4	1	23	13	28
4	Rushall Olympic	15	9	0	6	32	24	27
5	Kettering	13	7	4	2	25	11	25
6	Needham Market	14	7	3	4	29	20	24
7	Alvechurch	13	6	5	2	24	12	23
8	Peterborough Sports	14	6	5	3	27	23	23
9	Anstey Nomads	12	5	5	2	22	18	20
10	Halesowen	12	6	2	4	16	18	20
11	Stourbridge	13	5	4	4	15	16	19
12	Racing Club Warwick	14	4	5	5	21	19	17
13	Redditch	12	4	5	3	19	17	17
14	Leiston	12	4	3	5	22	23	15
15	Hitchin	14	3	4	7	16	20	13
16	Bishop's Stortford	14	4	1	9	17	24	13
17	Stratford Town	14	2	7	5	18	26	13
18	Banbury	14	3	4	7	16	26	13
19	Worcester City	12	2	4	6	11	16	10
20	Leamington	14	2	4	8	19	26	10
21	Leighton Town	13	1	3	9	14	27	6
22	Stamford	14	1	1	12	4	35	4

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Stourbridge

DLDLDLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/10	Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	1-0	6	2	W
17/10	Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-2	–	–	L
13/10	Worcester City England Southern Premier League Central	2-0	3-1	6	5	W
10/10	Leighton Town England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-1	–	–	W
03/10	Racing Club Warwick England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	0-1	12	6	L
29/09	Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-0	–	–	D
22/09	Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central	1-2	1-4	4	4	L
12/09	Hitchin England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	1-1	9	2	D
01/09	Leamington England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	0-2	8	2	L
29/08	Banbury England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-1	–	–	D

Kettering

DDWWLWDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/10	Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central	0-2	3-2	2	6	W
20/10	Leiston England Southern Premier League Central	2-0	4-0	7	2	W
13/10	Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	1-2	2	4	L
10/10	Halesowen England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-1	–	–	D
29/09	Anstey Nomads England Southern Premier League Central	4-1	4-1	3	3	W
22/09	Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central	1-2	2-3	11	3	L
12/09	Stratford Town England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-0	–	–	W
31/08	Stamford England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	5-0	8	6	W
29/08	Hitchin England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-1	–	–	D
22/08	Peterborough Sports England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-0	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stourbridge vs Kettering?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Kettering win (41%). Probabilities: Stourbridge 33%, draw 26%, Kettering 41%.

How many goals are expected in Stourbridge vs Kettering?

The model expects 2.93 goals (Stourbridge 1.38 · Kettering 1.55), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Stourbridge vs Kettering?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.