Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 31/10, 16:00

Prediction: Rushall Olympic vs Racing Club Warwick

Team pages: Rushall Olympic · Racing Club Warwick

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.37Total

Rushall Olympic1.96

Racing Club Warwick1.42

1X2

50% 23% 27%

Rushall Olympic Draw Racing Club Warwick

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Rushall Olympic 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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Racing Club Warwick 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rushall Olympic 1509 · Racing Club Warwick 1479

	Rushall Olympic	Draw	Racing Club Warwick
Our model	49%	24%	27%
Market	50%	22%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 3.37 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Rushall Olympic	Racing Club Warwick
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.8	1.6 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.9 / 0.6	1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	88/0/13%	29/29/43%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.5 / 6.3	1.6 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.3	3.9 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.80

X4.00

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
12:12 +33’	1.80	4.00	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · England Southern Premier League Central

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Bedford	14	10	2	2	37	17	32
2	Bury Town	14	10	1	3	24	20	31
3	Bromsgrove	13	8	4	1	23	13	28
4	Rushall Olympic	15	9	0	6	32	24	27
5	Kettering	13	7	4	2	25	11	25
6	Needham Market	14	7	3	4	29	20	24
7	Alvechurch	13	6	5	2	24	12	23
8	Peterborough Sports	14	6	5	3	27	23	23
9	Anstey Nomads	12	5	5	2	22	18	20
10	Halesowen	12	6	2	4	16	18	20
11	Stourbridge	13	5	4	4	15	16	19
12	Racing Club Warwick	14	4	5	5	21	19	17
13	Redditch	12	4	5	3	19	17	17
14	Leiston	12	4	3	5	22	23	15
15	Hitchin	14	3	4	7	16	20	13
16	Bishop's Stortford	14	4	1	9	17	24	13
17	Stratford Town	14	2	7	5	18	26	13
18	Banbury	14	3	4	7	16	26	13
19	Worcester City	12	2	4	6	11	16	10
20	Leamington	14	2	4	8	19	26	10
21	Leighton Town	13	1	3	9	14	27	6
22	Stamford	14	1	1	12	4	35	4

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Rushall Olympic	Racing Club Warwick
Anstey Nomads	2-3 L	2-3 L
Worcester City	1-0 W	2-2 D
Halesowen	0-1 L	5-1 W
Alvechurch	0-1 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Rushall Olympic (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rushall Olympic

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/10	Kettering England Southern Premier League Central	2-0	2-3	5	6	L
20/10	Leamington England Southern Premier League Central	2-1	3-1	9	6	W
17/10	Leighton Town England Southern Premier League Central	3-0	3-0	7	3	W
13/10	Anstey Nomads England Southern Premier League Central	2-1	2-3	4	3	L
10/10	Worcester City England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	1-0	6	4	W
03/10	Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central	3-1	5-3	6	5	W
29/09	Halesowen England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	0-1	4	6	L
22/09	Kettering England Southern Premier League Central	2-1	3-2	9	3	W
12/09	Peterborough Sports England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-4	–	–	L
31/08	Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-1	–	–	L

Racing Club Warwick

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/10	Redditch England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	1-2	6	4	L
20/10	Halesowen England Southern Premier League Central	5-0	5-1	4	4	W
17/10	Bishop's Stortford England Southern Premier League Central	–	4-2	–	–	W
10/10	Leiston England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
03/10	Stourbridge England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	1-0	1	6	W
29/09	Worcester City England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	2-2	5	1	D
21/09	Redditch England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	1-2	9	2	L
12/09	Anstey Nomads England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	2-3	2	7	L
31/08	Stratford Town England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-0	–	–	D
29/08	Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rushall Olympic vs Racing Club Warwick?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Rushall Olympic win (50%). Probabilities: Rushall Olympic 50%, draw 23%, Racing Club Warwick 27%.

How many goals are expected in Rushall Olympic vs Racing Club Warwick?

The model expects 3.37 goals (Rushall Olympic 1.96 · Racing Club Warwick 1.42), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Rushall Olympic vs Racing Club Warwick?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.