Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 24/10, 16:00

Prediction: Bishop's Stortford vs Real Bedford

Team pages: Bishop's Stortford · Real Bedford

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.82Total

Bishop's Stortford1.3

Real Bedford2.52

1X2

17% 20% 63%

Bishop's Stortford Draw Real Bedford

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Bishop's Stortford 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

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Real Bedford 8-2-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWDWD

Head-to-head

Bishop's Stortford 1–1–2 Real Bedford (4 last)

Real Bedford4-0Bishop's Stortford
Bishop's Stortford0-5Real Bedford
Bishop's Stortford1-0Real Bedford
Real Bedford1-1Bishop's Stortford

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bishop's Stortford 1416 · Real Bedford 1602

	Bishop's Stortford	Draw	Real Bedford
Our model	17%	19%	63%
Market	16%	21%	62%

Estimated total (ours) 3.82 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Real Bedford (rating 1416 vs 1602).
H2H favours Real Bedford: 2-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bishop's Stortford	Real Bedford
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.9	3 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 1	1.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/33/67%	38/63/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.7	3.8 / 6.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.7 / 0	3.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

15.50

X4.20

21.44

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)1.90

2 (-1.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	1.44 → 1.44	Bet365 1.44

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
16:10 +5’	5.50	4.20	1.44

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bishop's Stortford 1–1–2 Real Bedford

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/04/26 England Southern Premier League Central	Real Bedford	4-0 HT 1-0	Bishop's Stortford
17/02/26 England Southern Premier League Central	Bishop's Stortford	0-5 HT 0-1	Real Bedford
02/09/25 England FA Cup Qualification	Bishop's Stortford	1-0	Real Bedford
30/08/25 England FA Cup Qualification	Real Bedford	1-1 HT 1-0	Bishop's Stortford

Standings · England Southern Premier League Central

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Bedford	12	10	2	0	36	13	32
2	Bury Town	13	10	1	2	23	15	31
3	Bromsgrove	12	8	3	1	21	11	27
4	Rushall Olympic	14	9	0	5	30	21	27
5	Needham Market	13	7	2	4	28	19	23
6	Peterborough Sports	13	6	5	2	25	18	23
7	Kettering	12	6	4	2	22	9	22
8	Alvechurch	11	6	3	2	18	6	21
9	Anstey Nomads	11	5	4	2	20	16	19
10	Racing Club Warwick	13	4	5	4	20	17	17
11	Halesowen	11	5	2	4	13	16	17
12	Stourbridge	12	4	4	4	14	16	16
13	Redditch	11	3	5	3	17	16	14
14	Banbury	13	3	4	6	16	23	13
15	Leiston	11	3	3	5	17	21	12
16	Stratford Town	12	2	5	5	12	20	11
17	Leamington	13	2	4	7	17	23	10
18	Bishop's Stortford	12	3	1	8	14	22	10
19	Hitchin	13	2	4	7	11	19	10
20	Worcester City	11	1	4	6	8	16	7
21	Leighton Town	12	1	2	9	13	26	5
22	Stamford	13	0	1	12	3	35	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bishop's Stortford	Real Bedford
Redditch	1-3 L	2-1 W
Bury Town	1-2 L	2-2 D
Stamford	3-0 W	4-0 W
Bromsgrove	0-3 L	1-1 D
Halesowen	0-1 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 4 L	3 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Real Bedford (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bishop's Stortford

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/10	Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central	0-2	1-2	6	0	L
17/10	Racing Club Warwick England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-4	–	–	L
10/10	Redditch England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-3	–	–	L
29/09	Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	1-2	1	3	L
19/09	Stamford England Southern Premier League Central	–	3-0	–	–	W
12/09	Leamington England Southern Premier League Central	–	3-1	–	–	W
31/08	Hitchin England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-0	–	–	W
29/08	Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	0-3	4	2	L
22/08	Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-3	–	–	L
15/08	Halesowen England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-1	–	–	L

Real Bedford

WWWWWWWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/10	Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	2-2	9	5	D
17/10	Stamford England Southern Premier League Central	–	4-0	–	–	W
10/10	Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-1	–	–	D
29/09	Leiston England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	3-2	10	5	W
22/09	Stourbridge England Southern Premier League Central	2-1	4-1	8	4	W
12/09	Redditch England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	2-1	5	4	W
31/08	Leighton Town England Southern Premier League Central	3-0	3-2	3	5	W
29/08	Halesowen England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	2-0	3	3	W
22/08	Stratford Town England Southern Premier League Central	2-0	6-1	9	5	W
15/08	Banbury England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	3-1	7	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bishop's Stortford vs Real Bedford?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Real Bedford win (63%). Probabilities: Bishop's Stortford 17%, draw 20%, Real Bedford 63%.

How many goals are expected in Bishop's Stortford vs Real Bedford?

The model expects 3.82 goals (Bishop's Stortford 1.3 · Real Bedford 2.52), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Bishop's Stortford vs Real Bedford?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.