Football · Panama LPF · 18/10, 03:30

Prediction: Plaza Amador vs CD Arabe Unido

Team pages: Plaza Amador · CD Arabe Unido

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.76Total

Plaza Amador1.75

CD Arabe Unido1.01

1X2

54% 26% 21%

Plaza Amador Draw CD Arabe Unido

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Plaza Amador 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWLWDDWW

CD Arabe Unido 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

LDWWDWWWWD

Head-to-head

Plaza Amador 4–1–1 CD Arabe Unido (6 last)

CD Arabe Unido2-2Plaza Amador
CD Arabe Unido0-3Plaza Amador
Plaza Amador1-0CD Arabe Unido
Plaza Amador0-2CD Arabe Unido
CD Arabe Unido1-4Plaza Amador
CD Arabe Unido0-1Plaza Amador

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Plaza Amador 1582 · CD Arabe Unido 1540

	Plaza Amador	Draw	CD Arabe Unido
Our model	54%	26%	21%
Market	54%	26%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.76 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Plaza Amador (rating 1582 vs 1540).
H2H favours Plaza Amador: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Plaza Amador	CD Arabe Unido
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1.4	1.4 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.7	0.8 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.6	2.2 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0	6.1 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.67

X3.50

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.95

2 (+0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.77

Under 2.252.02

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 02:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.67▼	Pinn 1.84 ★
X	3.30 → 3.50▲	Bet365 3.50
2	3.60 → 4.33▲	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.7% Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
21:02 +15’	1.85	3.30	3.60
01:50 +14’	1.67▼	3.50▲	4.33▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
01:35 +29’	1.84	3.43	4.11

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Plaza Amador 4–1–1 CD Arabe Unido

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/07/26 Panama LPF	CD Arabe Unido	2-2 HT 2-0	Plaza Amador
03/05/26 Panama LPF	CD Arabe Unido	0-3 HT 0-0	Plaza Amador
13/02/26 Panama LPF	Plaza Amador	1-0 HT 1-0	CD Arabe Unido
12/10/25 Panama LPF	Plaza Amador	0-2 HT 0-1	CD Arabe Unido
20/07/25 Panama LPF	CD Arabe Unido	1-4 HT 0-1	Plaza Amador
27/04/25 Panama LPF	CD Arabe Unido	0-1 HT 0-0	Plaza Amador

Standings · Panama LPF · Apertura, East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Plaza Amador	11	7	3	1	26	16	24
2	CD Arabe Unido	11	6	4	1	16	8	22
3	UMECIT	11	4	4	3	10	9	16
4	Tauro FC	11	4	2	5	16	13	14
5	Alianza FC Panama	11	3	5	3	11	10	14
6	Sporting San Miguelito	11	3	4	4	12	13	13

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Plaza Amador	CD Arabe Unido
CD Universitario	2-1 W	0-0 D
Union Cocle	2-1 W	4-1 W
Veraguas CD	1-1 D	3-1 W
CA Independiente de la Chorrera	2-2 D	1-1 D
Herrera FC	4-1 W	2-1 W
San Francisco FC	1-4 L	2-1 W
UMECIT	3-0 W	0-0 D
Alianza FC Panama	4-2 W	0-1 L
Tauro FC	3-2 W	1-0 W
Sporting San Miguelito	2-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	7 W 2 D 1 L	6 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Plaza Amador (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Plaza Amador

WWWWLWDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	CD Universitario Panama LPF	0-1	2-1	5	5	W
27/09	Union Cocle Panama LPF	1-0	2-1	4	4	W
20/09	Veraguas CD Panama LPF	1-0	1-1	2	9	D
13/09	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Panama LPF	1-1	2-2	2	2	D
06/09	Herrera FC Panama LPF	2-1	4-1	7	3	W
30/08	San Francisco FC Panama LPF	1-2	1-4	4	2	L
24/08	UMECIT Panama LPF	0-0	3-0	0	2	W
17/08	Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF	3-1	4-2	7	6	W
09/08	Tauro FC Panama LPF	2-1	3-2	2	6	W
02/08	Sporting San Miguelito Panama LPF	1-0	2-0	3	0	W

CD Arabe Unido

LDWWDWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/10	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Panama LPF	1-1	1-1	2	9	D
26/09	Herrera FC Panama LPF	1-0	2-1	5	6	W
19/09	San Francisco FC Panama LPF	1-1	2-1	2	7	W
12/09	Union Cocle Panama LPF	1-0	4-1	7	4	W
05/09	Veraguas CD Panama LPF	2-0	3-1	7	7	W
30/08	CD Universitario Panama LPF	0-0	0-0	4	6	D
22/08	Sporting San Miguelito Panama LPF	1-0	1-0	0	6	W
18/08	Tauro FC Panama LPF	1-0	1-0	4	8	W
09/08	UMECIT Panama LPF	0-0	0-0	7	8	D
01/08	Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF	0-1	0-1	2	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Plaza Amador vs CD Arabe Unido?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Plaza Amador win (54%). Probabilities: Plaza Amador 54%, draw 26%, CD Arabe Unido 21%.

How many goals are expected in Plaza Amador vs CD Arabe Unido?

The model expects 2.76 goals (Plaza Amador 1.75 · CD Arabe Unido 1.01), with a 57% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Plaza Amador vs CD Arabe Unido?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.