Football · Paraguay Division Profesional · 17/10, 00:20

Prediction: Deportivo Recoleta vs Rubio Nu

Team pages: Deportivo Recoleta · Rubio Nu

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.64Total

Deportivo Recoleta1.35

Rubio Nu1.29

1X2

37% 28% 34%

Deportivo Recoleta Draw Rubio Nu

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Deportivo Recoleta 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLLLDL

Rubio Nu 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WDLWLLLDWD

Head-to-head

Deportivo Recoleta 3–2–1 Rubio Nu (6 last)

Rubio Nu1-3Deportivo Recoleta
Deportivo Recoleta1-0Rubio Nu
Rubio Nu1-1Deportivo Recoleta
Deportivo Recoleta2-0Rubio Nu
Rubio Nu2-2Deportivo Recoleta
Deportivo Recoleta1-3Rubio Nu

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo Recoleta 1445 · Rubio Nu 1469

	Deportivo Recoleta	Draw	Rubio Nu
Our model	37%	29%	34%
Market	37%	28%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 2.64 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Deportivo Recoleta: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportivo Recoleta	Rubio Nu
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.9	1.3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.6	1.9 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.4	4.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.40

X3.20

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.82

2 (0)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
23:05 +6’	2.40	3.20	2.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Recoleta 3–2–1 Rubio Nu

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/08/26 Paraguay Division Profesional	Rubio Nu	1-3 HT 0-1	Deportivo Recoleta
27/03/26 Paraguay Division Profesional	Deportivo Recoleta	1-0 HT 0-0	Rubio Nu
30/01/26 Paraguay Division Profesional	Rubio Nu	1-1 HT 1-1	Deportivo Recoleta
28/07/24 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Deportivo Recoleta	2-0 HT 1-0	Rubio Nu
19/04/24 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Rubio Nu	2-2 HT 1-1	Deportivo Recoleta
29/08/23 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Deportivo Recoleta	1-3 HT 1-1	Rubio Nu

Standings · Paraguay Division Profesional

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Deportivo Recoleta	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cerro Porteno	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Guarani Asuncion	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Olimpia Asuncion	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	2 de Mayo	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Libertad Asuncion	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Nacional Asuncion	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Rubio Nu	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sportivo San Lorenzo	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sportivo Ameliano	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sportivo Luqueno	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sportivo Trinidense	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Deportivo Recoleta	Rubio Nu
Libertad Asuncion	1-2 L	2-4 L
Sportivo San Lorenzo	0-0 D	3-1 W
Sportivo Luqueno	0-1 L	1-2 L
Sportivo Trinidense	1-3 L	0-0 D
Guarani Asuncion	0-2 L	3-2 W
Cerro Porteno	1-3 L	0-1 L
Olimpia Asuncion	1-2 L	0-0 D
Sportivo Ameliano	1-3 L	2-1 W
2 de Mayo	1-2 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 8 L	3 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Rubio Nu (7 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportivo Recoleta

WLLLLLLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/10	Libertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	1-1	1-2	11	4	L
28/09	Sportivo San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional	0-0	0-0	5	1	D
20/09	Sportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional	0-0	0-1	10	4	L
12/09	Sportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional	0-0	1-3	1	7	L
07/09	Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	0-1	0-2	3	0	L
03/09	Cerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional	0-3	1-3	6	2	L
29/08	Olimpia Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	0-2	1-2	4	5	L
22/08	Sportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional	1-1	1-3	3	5	L
14/08	2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional	0-2	1-2	8	1	L
07/08	Rubio Nu Paraguay Division Profesional	1-0	3-1	5	5	W

Rubio Nu

WDLWLLLDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Olimpia Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
06/10	Sportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional	1-0	2-1	5	7	W
26/09	2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional	1-1	2-2	3	3	D
19/09	Cerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional	0-1	0-1	5	5	L
13/09	Nacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
06/09	Libertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	1-2	2-4	5	3	L
01/09	Sportivo San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional	1-1	3-1	5	7	W
28/08	Sportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional	0-1	1-2	5	5	L
21/08	Sportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional	0-0	0-0	4	7	D
15/08	Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	1-0	3-2	4	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Recoleta vs Rubio Nu?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Recoleta win (37%). Probabilities: Deportivo Recoleta 37%, draw 28%, Rubio Nu 34%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Recoleta vs Rubio Nu?

The model expects 2.64 goals (Deportivo Recoleta 1.35 · Rubio Nu 1.29), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Recoleta vs Rubio Nu?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.