Football · Paraguay Division Profesional · 18/10, 00:20

Prediction: Olimpia Asuncion vs 2 de Mayo

Team pages: Olimpia Asuncion · 2 de Mayo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.94Total

Olimpia Asuncion2.1

2 de Mayo0.84

1X2

65% 22% 13%

Olimpia Asuncion Draw 2 de Mayo

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

2-0 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Olimpia Asuncion 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

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2 de Mayo 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Olimpia Asuncion 1–3–2 2 de Mayo (6 last)

2 de Mayo1-0Olimpia Asuncion
Olimpia Asuncion4-12 de Mayo
2 de Mayo1-1Olimpia Asuncion
Olimpia Asuncion3-32 de Mayo
2 de Mayo3-2Olimpia Asuncion
2 de Mayo0-0Olimpia Asuncion

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Olimpia Asuncion 1588 · 2 de Mayo 1517

	Olimpia Asuncion	Draw	2 de Mayo
Our model	65%	22%	13%
Market	65%	22%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 2.94 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Olimpia Asuncion (rating 1588 vs 1517).
H2H favours 2 de Mayo: 2-3-1.
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Olimpia Asuncion	2 de Mayo
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 0.6	1.2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.3	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 6.8	1.2 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.2	4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.38

X4.10

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.90

2 (+1.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.38 → 1.38	Bet365 1.38
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
23:18 +2’	1.38	4.10	7.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Olimpia Asuncion 1–3–2 2 de Mayo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/08/26 Paraguay Division Profesional	2 de Mayo	1-0 HT 0-0	Olimpia Asuncion
28/03/26 Paraguay Division Profesional	Olimpia Asuncion	4-1 HT 1-0	2 de Mayo
29/01/26 Paraguay Division Profesional	2 de Mayo	1-1 HT 0-0	Olimpia Asuncion
26/11/25 Paraguay Division Profesional	Olimpia Asuncion	3-3 HT 2-1	2 de Mayo
07/09/25 Paraguay Division Profesional	2 de Mayo	3-2 HT 1-1	Olimpia Asuncion
18/05/25 Paraguay Division Profesional	2 de Mayo	0-0 HT 0-0	Olimpia Asuncion

Standings · Paraguay Division Profesional

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Deportivo Recoleta	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cerro Porteno	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Guarani Asuncion	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Olimpia Asuncion	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	2 de Mayo	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Libertad Asuncion	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Nacional Asuncion	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Rubio Nu	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sportivo San Lorenzo	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sportivo Ameliano	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sportivo Luqueno	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sportivo Trinidense	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Olimpia Asuncion	2 de Mayo
Rubio Nu	0-0 D	2-2 D
Nacional Asuncion	1-1 D	0-3 L
Libertad Asuncion	1-0 W	0-2 L
Sportivo San Lorenzo	3-0 W	2-1 W
Sportivo Luqueno	3-0 W	2-2 D
Sportivo Trinidense	2-1 W	1-0 W
Guarani Asuncion	1-1 D	0-0 D
Deportivo Recoleta	2-1 W	2-1 W
Cerro Porteno	2-1 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	6 W 3 D 0 L	4 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Olimpia Asuncion (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Olimpia Asuncion

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Rubio Nu Paraguay Division Profesional	0-0	0-0	11	4	D
07/10	Nacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	0-1	1-1	6	4	D
29/09	Libertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	1-0	1-0	5	9	W
20/09	Sportivo San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional	2-0	3-0	7	4	W
13/09	Sportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional	2-0	3-0	2	4	W
06/09	Sportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional	1-0	2-1	6	6	W
02/09	Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	0-1	1-1	7	5	D
29/08	Deportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional	2-0	2-1	6	5	W
23/08	Cerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional	0-1	2-1	10	3	W
16/08	Sportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional	0-0	2-1	8	7	W

2 de Mayo

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/10	Cerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional	1-0	2-0	1	3	W
26/09	Rubio Nu Paraguay Division Profesional	1-1	2-2	2	3	D
18/09	Nacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	0-2	0-3	11	7	L
11/09	Libertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	0-1	0-2	3	6	L
05/09	Sportivo San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional	1-1	2-1	3	7	W
01/09	Sportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional	0-1	2-2	7	5	D
29/08	Sportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
25/08	Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	0-0	0-0	5	1	D
14/08	Deportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional	2-0	2-1	0	1	W
08/08	Olimpia Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	0-0	1-0	3	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Olimpia Asuncion vs 2 de Mayo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Olimpia Asuncion win (65%). Probabilities: Olimpia Asuncion 65%, draw 22%, 2 de Mayo 13%.

How many goals are expected in Olimpia Asuncion vs 2 de Mayo?

The model expects 2.94 goals (Olimpia Asuncion 2.1 · 2 de Mayo 0.84), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Olimpia Asuncion vs 2 de Mayo?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.