Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 19/10, 01:00
Prediction: Houston Dynamo II vs Los Angeles FC II
Team pages: Houston Dynamo II · Los Angeles FC II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.39Total
Houston Dynamo II1.97
Los Angeles FC II1.42
1X2
Houston Dynamo II
Draw
Los Angeles FC II
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Houston Dynamo II
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Los Angeles FC II
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Houston Dynamo II
3–1–2
Los Angeles FC II
(6 last)
- Los Angeles FC II3-1Houston Dynamo II
- Houston Dynamo II1-0Los Angeles FC II
- Houston Dynamo II2-1Los Angeles FC II
- Los Angeles FC II3-2Houston Dynamo II
- Los Angeles FC II0-2Houston Dynamo II
- Houston Dynamo II0-0Los Angeles FC II
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Houston Dynamo II 1447 · Los Angeles FC II 1523
| Houston Dynamo II | Draw | Los Angeles FC II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 24% | 27% |
| Market | 50% | 23% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.39 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Los Angeles FC II (rating 1447 vs 1523).
- H2H favours Houston Dynamo II: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Houston Dynamo II | Los Angeles FC II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.7 | 2.2 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 1.3 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 5.8 | 2.6 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.4 | 3.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Houston Dynamo II 3–1–2 Los Angeles FC II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Los Angeles FC II | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Houston Dynamo II |
| 07/04/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Houston Dynamo II | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Los Angeles FC II |
| 29/07/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Houston Dynamo II | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Los Angeles FC II |
| 24/03/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Los Angeles FC II | 3-2 HT 1-2 | Houston Dynamo II |
| 04/06/23 USA MLS Next Pro League | Los Angeles FC II | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Houston Dynamo II |
| 17/04/23 USA MLS Next Pro League | Houston Dynamo II | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Los Angeles FC II |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 54 | 21 | 65 |
| 2 | Portland Timbers II | 28 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 37 | 29 | 57 |
| 3 | Ventura County FC | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 36 | 53 |
| 4 | Houston Dynamo II | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 53 | 33 | 52 |
| 5 | Minnesota United FC II | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 43 | 39 | 45 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC II | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 50 | 48 | 45 |
| 7 | St Louis City II | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 42 | 40 | 44 |
| 8 | The Town | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 51 | 36 | 42 |
| 9 | Tacoma Defiance | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 40 | 44 | 41 |
| 10 | North Texas SC | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 42 | 41 | 40 |
| 11 | Real Monarchs SLC | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 38 | 55 | 33 |
| 12 | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 39 | 62 | 27 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City II | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 36 | 75 | 23 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids II | 28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 28 | 52 | 21 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Houston Dynamo II | Los Angeles FC II |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting Kansas City II | 2-3 L | 5-1 W |
| North Texas SC | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Minnesota United FC II | 0-2 L | 2-3 L |
| The Town | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| Ventura County FC | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 3 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Los Angeles FC II (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Houston Dynamo II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 14/09 | North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 10/09 | North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 05/09 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 31/08 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 24/08 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 20/08 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 15/08 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 12 | 1 | L |
| 09/08 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 01/08 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
Los Angeles FC II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 14/09 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-0 | 5-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 31/08 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 27/08 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-2 | 1-4 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 21/08 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 17/08 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 4-3 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 01/08 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 26/07 | North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Houston Dynamo II vs Los Angeles FC II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Houston Dynamo II win (50%). Probabilities: Houston Dynamo II 50%, draw 23%, Los Angeles FC II 27%.
How many goals are expected in Houston Dynamo II vs Los Angeles FC II?
The model expects 3.39 goals (Houston Dynamo II 1.97 · Los Angeles FC II 1.42), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Houston Dynamo II vs Los Angeles FC II?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.