Prediction: Airdrieonians vs Hamilton
Team pages: Airdrieonians · Hamilton
- Hamilton4-0Airdrieonians
- Airdrieonians4-0Hamilton
- Airdrieonians2-1Hamilton
- Hamilton3-2Airdrieonians
- Airdrieonians0-4Hamilton
- Hamilton2-2Airdrieonians
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Hamilton | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 29% | 46% |
| Market | 26% | 26% | 47% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hamilton (rating 1546 vs 1603).
- H2H favours Hamilton: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Airdrieonians | Hamilton | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.3 | 2.2 / 0.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 1.2 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 70/20/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 4.2 | 3.4 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6 / 0 | 3.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Airdrieonians 2–1–3 Hamilton
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08/26 Scotland League One | Hamilton | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Airdrieonians |
| 29/11/25 Scotland FA Cup | Airdrieonians | 4-0 HT 0-0 | Hamilton |
| 08/03/25 Scotland Championship | Airdrieonians | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Hamilton |
| 28/12/24 Scotland Championship | Hamilton | 3-2 HT 2-2 | Airdrieonians |
| 02/11/24 Scotland Championship | Airdrieonians | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Hamilton |
| 31/08/24 Scotland Championship | Hamilton | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Airdrieonians |
Standings · Scotland League One
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ross County | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 5 | 25 |
| 2 | Hamilton | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 25 |
| 3 | East Kilbride | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 17 |
| 4 | Montrose | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 15 |
| 5 | Airdrieonians | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 13 |
| 6 | Queen of South | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 27 | 10 |
| 7 | East Fife | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 9 |
| 8 | Alloa | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 9 |
| 9 | Peterhead | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 7 |
| 10 | Cove Rangers | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 6 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Airdrieonians | Hamilton |
|---|---|---|
| East Kilbride | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Montrose | 1-0 W | 5-0 W |
| Peterhead | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Alloa | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Queen of South | 1-2 L | 4-1 W |
| East Fife | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Cove Rangers | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 1 L | 6 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Hamilton (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Airdrieonians
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | East Kilbride Scotland League One |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 03/10 | Montrose Scotland League One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 19/09 | Peterhead Scotland League One |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 12/09 | Alloa Scotland League One |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Queen of South Scotland League One |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 29/08 | East Fife Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 10 | D |
| 22/08 | Ross County Scotland League One |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | Hamilton Scotland League One |
0-1 | 0-4 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 08/08 | East Kilbride Scotland League One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 01/08 | Cove Rangers Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
Hamilton
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Alloa Scotland League One |
3-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 03/10 | Peterhead Scotland League One |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 19/09 | Queen of South Scotland League One |
3-1 | 4-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 05/09 | East Kilbride Scotland League One |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 29/08 | Cove Rangers Scotland League One |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | East Fife Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 15/08 | Airdrieonians Scotland League One |
1-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 08/08 | Alloa Scotland League One |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 01/08 | Montrose Scotland League One |
2-0 | 5-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | Inverness CT Scotland League One |
0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Airdrieonians vs Hamilton?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Hamilton win (46%). Probabilities: Airdrieonians 26%, draw 28%, Hamilton 46%.
How many goals are expected in Airdrieonians vs Hamilton?
The model expects 2.39 goals (Airdrieonians 0.98 · Hamilton 1.41), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Airdrieonians vs Hamilton?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.