Football · Scotland League One · 24/10, 16:00
Prediction: Alloa vs Queen of South
Team pages: Alloa · Queen of South
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.99Total
Alloa1.84
Queen of South1.15
1X2
Alloa
Draw
Queen of South
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Alloa
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Queen of South
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Alloa
2–4
Queen of South
(6 last)
- Queen of South0-2Alloa
- Alloa1-4Queen of South
- Queen of South1-2Alloa
- Alloa0-2Queen of South
- Queen of South1-0Alloa
- Queen of South3-2Alloa
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alloa 1491 · Queen of South 1476
| Alloa | Draw | Queen of South | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 25% | 23% |
| Market | 53% | 24% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.99 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Queen of South: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Alloa | Queen of South | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.3 | 1.1 / 2.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.8 | 0.3 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/10/60% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.3 | 1.4 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.1 | 4.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alloa 2–0–4 Queen of South
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08/26 Scotland League One | Queen of South | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Alloa |
| 02/05/26 Scotland League One | Alloa | 1-4 HT 1-1 | Queen of South |
| 14/02/26 Scotland League One | Queen of South | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Alloa |
| 13/12/25 Scotland League One | Alloa | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Queen of South |
| 04/10/25 Scotland League One | Queen of South | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Alloa |
| 15/03/25 Scotland League One | Queen of South | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Alloa |
Standings · Scotland League One
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ross County | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 38 | 6 | 28 |
| 2 | Hamilton | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 3 | 28 |
| 3 | East Kilbride | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 18 |
| 4 | Montrose | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 20 | 16 |
| 5 | Airdrieonians | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 13 |
| 6 | Alloa | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 12 |
| 7 | Peterhead | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 10 |
| 8 | Queen of South | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 10 |
| 9 | East Fife | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 9 |
| 10 | Cove Rangers | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 6 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Alloa | Queen of South |
|---|---|---|
| East Fife | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Hamilton | 0-3 L | 1-4 L |
| Ross County | 1-4 L | 1-7 L |
| Airdrieonians | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Cove Rangers | 1-1 D | 4-3 W |
| Peterhead | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Montrose | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 3 L | 3 W 1 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alloa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | East Fife Scotland League One |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 10/10 | Hamilton Scotland League One |
0-3 | 0-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 03/10 | Ross County Scotland League One |
0-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 19/09 | East Kilbride Scotland League One |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 12/09 | Airdrieonians Scotland League One |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | Cove Rangers Scotland League One |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 29/08 | Peterhead Scotland League One |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 22/08 | Queen of South Scotland League One |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | Montrose Scotland League One |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | Hamilton Scotland League One |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
Queen of South
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Ross County Scotland League One |
0-5 | 1-7 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 10/10 | Peterhead Scotland League One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 03/10 | Cove Rangers Scotland League One |
2-0 | 4-3 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 19/09 | Hamilton Scotland League One |
1-3 | 1-4 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 15/09 | Ross County Scotland League One |
0-2 | 0-8 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | East Fife Scotland League One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 05/09 | Airdrieonians Scotland League One |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 29/08 | Montrose Scotland League One |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 22/08 | Alloa Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Peterhead Scotland League One |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alloa vs Queen of South?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Alloa win (53%). Probabilities: Alloa 53%, draw 25%, Queen of South 23%.
How many goals are expected in Alloa vs Queen of South?
The model expects 2.99 goals (Alloa 1.84 · Queen of South 1.15), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Alloa vs Queen of South?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.