Prediction: East Fife vs Alloa
- Alloa0-0East Fife
- Alloa2-0East Fife
- East Fife0-2Alloa
- Alloa1-1East Fife
- East Fife0-1Alloa
- Alloa0-0East Fife
| East Fife | Draw | Alloa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 31% | 31% |
| Market | 39% | 28% | 33% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alloa (rating 1457 vs 1499).
- H2H favours Alloa: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| East Fife | Alloa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.1 | 0.9 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0 / 0.3 | 0.3 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/70/30% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 3.7 | 2.6 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0 | 4.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · East Fife 0–3–3 Alloa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/26 Scotland League One | Alloa | 0-0 HT 0-0 | East Fife |
| 18/04/26 Scotland League One | Alloa | 2-0 HT 1-0 | East Fife |
| 28/02/26 Scotland League One | East Fife | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Alloa |
| 18/10/25 Scotland League One | Alloa | 1-1 HT 0-0 | East Fife |
| 09/08/25 Scotland League One | East Fife | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Alloa |
| 16/07/24 Scotland League Cup | Alloa | 0-0 HT 0-0 | East Fife |
Standings · Scotland League One
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ross County | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 5 | 25 |
| 2 | Hamilton | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 25 |
| 3 | East Kilbride | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 17 |
| 4 | Montrose | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 15 |
| 5 | Airdrieonians | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 13 |
| 6 | Queen of South | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 27 | 10 |
| 7 | East Fife | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 9 |
| 8 | Alloa | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 9 |
| 9 | Peterhead | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 7 |
| 10 | Cove Rangers | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 6 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | East Fife | Alloa |
|---|---|---|
| Cove Rangers | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| East Kilbride | 0-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Montrose | 1-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Queen of South | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Ross County | 2-2 D | 1-4 L |
| Airdrieonians | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Hamilton | 0-0 D | 0-3 L |
| Peterhead | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 5 D 3 L | 2 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Alloa (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
East Fife
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Cove Rangers Scotland League One |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 03/10 | East Kilbride Scotland League One |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 19/09 | Montrose Scotland League One |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | Queen of South Scotland League One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 05/09 | Ross County Scotland League One |
0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 29/08 | Airdrieonians Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 10 | D |
| 22/08 | Hamilton Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 15/08 | Peterhead Scotland League One |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 08/08 | Cove Rangers Scotland League One |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 01/08 | Alloa Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
Alloa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Hamilton Scotland League One |
0-3 | 0-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 03/10 | Ross County Scotland League One |
0-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 19/09 | East Kilbride Scotland League One |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 12/09 | Airdrieonians Scotland League One |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | Cove Rangers Scotland League One |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 29/08 | Peterhead Scotland League One |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 22/08 | Queen of South Scotland League One |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | Montrose Scotland League One |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | Hamilton Scotland League One |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 01/08 | East Fife Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in East Fife vs Alloa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a East Fife win (38%). Probabilities: East Fife 38%, draw 29%, Alloa 32%.
How many goals are expected in East Fife vs Alloa?
The model expects 2.23 goals (East Fife 1.17 · Alloa 1.06), with a 56% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in East Fife vs Alloa?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.