Football · Scotland League One · 24/10, 16:00

Prediction: Montrose vs Peterhead

Team pages: Montrose · Peterhead

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.43Total

Montrose1.33

Peterhead1.11

1X2

41% 28% 31%

Montrose Draw Peterhead

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Montrose 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Peterhead 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Montrose 3–3–0 Peterhead (6 last)

Peterhead0-3Montrose
Peterhead1-1Montrose
Montrose1-1Peterhead
Peterhead1-1Montrose
Montrose2-1Peterhead
Peterhead2-3Montrose

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Montrose 1504 · Peterhead 1473

	Montrose	Draw	Peterhead
Our model	40%	30%	30%
Market	42%	27%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.43 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Montrose: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Montrose	Peterhead
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.5	0.9 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	0.1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.9 / 2.6	2 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0	4.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.40

22.88

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
00:21 +6’	2.15	3.40	2.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Montrose 3–3–0 Peterhead

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/09/26 Scotland League One	Peterhead	0-3 HT 0-2	Montrose
21/03/26 Scotland League One	Peterhead	1-1 HT 0-1	Montrose
10/02/26 Scotland League One	Montrose	1-1 HT 1-0	Peterhead
15/11/25 Scotland League One	Peterhead	1-1 HT 0-0	Montrose
30/08/25 Scotland League One	Montrose	2-1 HT 2-1	Peterhead
30/11/24 Scotland FA Cup	Peterhead	2-3 HT 1-2	Montrose

Standings · Scotland League One

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ross County	10	9	1	0	38	6	28
2	Hamilton	10	9	1	0	23	3	28
3	East Kilbride	11	5	3	3	20	15	18
4	Montrose	11	5	1	5	14	20	16
5	Airdrieonians	11	3	4	4	10	15	13
6	Alloa	11	3	3	5	12	13	12
7	Peterhead	11	3	1	7	9	17	10
8	Queen of South	11	3	1	7	12	34	10
9	East Fife	11	1	6	4	8	14	9
10	Cove Rangers	11	1	3	7	9	18	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Montrose	Peterhead
East Kilbride	1-1 D	1-3 L
Airdrieonians	0-1 L	1-2 L
East Fife	2-1 W	2-1 W
Cove Rangers	2-1 W	2-0 W
Queen of South	2-1 W	0-1 L
Alloa	0-3 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Montrose

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	East Kilbride Scotland League One	0-0	1-1	1	5	D
10/10	Ross County Scotland League One	0-3	0-5	1	5	L
03/10	Airdrieonians Scotland League One	0-0	0-1	2	7	L
19/09	East Fife Scotland League One	1-0	2-1	1	4	W
12/09	Cove Rangers Scotland League One	1-0	2-1	7	0	W
05/09	Peterhead Scotland League One	2-0	3-0	0	5	W
29/08	Queen of South Scotland League One	1-0	2-1	4	7	W
22/08	East Kilbride Scotland League One	2-0	3-0	1	5	W
15/08	Alloa Scotland League One	0-2	0-3	5	4	L
08/08	Ross County Scotland League One	1-1	1-2	4	7	L

Peterhead

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Cove Rangers Scotland League One	0-0	2-0	6	6	W
10/10	Queen of South Scotland League One	0-0	0-1	3	6	L
03/10	Hamilton Scotland League One	0-0	1-2	2	2	L
19/09	Airdrieonians Scotland League One	0-1	1-2	9	6	L
12/09	East Kilbride Scotland League One	0-1	1-3	2	6	L
05/09	Montrose Scotland League One	0-2	0-3	4	5	L
29/08	Alloa Scotland League One	0-1	1-1	4	5	D
22/08	Cove Rangers Scotland League One	0-0	0-3	4	4	L
15/08	East Fife Scotland League One	0-0	2-1	5	5	W
08/08	Queen of South Scotland League One	1-0	1-0	2	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Montrose vs Peterhead?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Montrose win (41%). Probabilities: Montrose 41%, draw 28%, Peterhead 31%.

How many goals are expected in Montrose vs Peterhead?

The model expects 2.43 goals (Montrose 1.33 · Peterhead 1.11), with a 57% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Montrose vs Peterhead?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.