Prediction: Peterhead vs Cove Rangers
Team pages: Peterhead · Cove Rangers
- Cove Rangers3-0Peterhead
- Cove Rangers2-1Peterhead
- Peterhead0-4Cove Rangers
- Cove Rangers1-2Peterhead
- Peterhead3-1Cove Rangers
- Cove Rangers1-1Peterhead
| Peterhead | Draw | Cove Rangers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 29% | 33% |
| Market | 39% | 26% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cove Rangers (rating 1444 vs 1506).
- H2H favours Cove Rangers: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Peterhead | Cove Rangers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.7 | 0.9 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.5 | 0.2 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.8 | 1.7 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0 | 3.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Peterhead 2–1–3 Cove Rangers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08/26 Scotland League One | Cove Rangers | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Peterhead |
| 07/03/26 Scotland League One | Cove Rangers | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Peterhead |
| 27/12/25 Scotland League One | Peterhead | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Cove Rangers |
| 01/11/25 Scotland League One | Cove Rangers | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Peterhead |
| 23/08/25 Scotland League One | Peterhead | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Cove Rangers |
| 11/07/23 Club Friendly List | Cove Rangers | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Peterhead |
Standings · Scotland League One
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ross County | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 5 | 25 |
| 2 | Hamilton | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 25 |
| 3 | East Kilbride | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 17 |
| 4 | Montrose | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 15 |
| 5 | Airdrieonians | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 13 |
| 6 | Queen of South | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 27 | 10 |
| 7 | East Fife | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 9 |
| 8 | Alloa | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 9 |
| 9 | Peterhead | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 7 |
| 10 | Cove Rangers | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 6 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Peterhead | Cove Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Queen of South | 0-1 L | 3-4 L |
| Hamilton | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Airdrieonians | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| East Kilbride | 1-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Montrose | 0-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Alloa | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| East Fife | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Ross County | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 6 L | 0 W 3 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Peterhead (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Peterhead
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Queen of South Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 03/10 | Hamilton Scotland League One |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 19/09 | Airdrieonians Scotland League One |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 12/09 | East Kilbride Scotland League One |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 05/09 | Montrose Scotland League One |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 29/08 | Alloa Scotland League One |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 22/08 | Cove Rangers Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | East Fife Scotland League One |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 08/08 | Queen of South Scotland League One |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 01/08 | Ross County Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
Cove Rangers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | East Fife Scotland League One |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 03/10 | Queen of South Scotland League One |
0-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 19/09 | Ross County Scotland League One |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 12/09 | Montrose Scotland League One |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 05/09 | Alloa Scotland League One |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 29/08 | Hamilton Scotland League One |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Peterhead Scotland League One |
0-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 15/08 | East Kilbride Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 08/08 | East Fife Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 01/08 | Airdrieonians Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Peterhead vs Cove Rangers?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Peterhead win (38%). Probabilities: Peterhead 38%, draw 28%, Cove Rangers 34%.
How many goals are expected in Peterhead vs Cove Rangers?
The model expects 2.52 goals (Peterhead 1.31 · Cove Rangers 1.21), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Peterhead vs Cove Rangers?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.