Prediction: Hamilton vs East Fife
Team pages: Hamilton · East Fife
- East Fife0-0Hamilton
- East Fife0-3Hamilton
- Hamilton1-0East Fife
- East Fife1-1Hamilton
- Hamilton1-2East Fife
| Hamilton | Draw | East Fife | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 22% | 9% |
| Market | 70% | 19% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hamilton (rating 1669 vs 1436).
- H2H favours Hamilton: 2-2-1.
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hamilton | East Fife | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 0.3 | 0.8 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.1 | 0 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 80/20/0% | 0/60/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.9 / 6.7 | 2.2 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0 | 4.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hamilton 2–2–1 East Fife
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08/26 Scotland League One | East Fife | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Hamilton |
| 07/03/26 Scotland League One | East Fife | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Hamilton |
| 17/02/26 Scotland League One | Hamilton | 1-0 HT 1-0 | East Fife |
| 01/11/25 Scotland League One | East Fife | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Hamilton |
| 16/08/25 Scotland League One | Hamilton | 1-2 HT 1-0 | East Fife |
Standings · Scotland League One
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ross County | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 38 | 6 | 28 |
| 2 | Hamilton | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 3 | 28 |
| 3 | East Kilbride | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 18 |
| 4 | Montrose | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 20 | 16 |
| 5 | Airdrieonians | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 13 |
| 6 | Alloa | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 12 |
| 7 | Peterhead | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 10 |
| 8 | Queen of South | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 10 |
| 9 | East Fife | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 9 |
| 10 | Cove Rangers | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 6 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hamilton | East Fife |
|---|---|---|
| Airdrieonians | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Alloa | 3-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Peterhead | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Queen of South | 4-1 W | 1-1 D |
| East Kilbride | 1-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Cove Rangers | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Montrose | 5-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 7 W 0 D 0 L | 0 W 3 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Hamilton (7 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hamilton
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Airdrieonians Scotland League One |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 10/10 | Alloa Scotland League One |
3-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 03/10 | Peterhead Scotland League One |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 19/09 | Queen of South Scotland League One |
3-1 | 4-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 05/09 | East Kilbride Scotland League One |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 29/08 | Cove Rangers Scotland League One |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | East Fife Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 15/08 | Airdrieonians Scotland League One |
1-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 08/08 | Alloa Scotland League One |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 01/08 | Montrose Scotland League One |
2-0 | 5-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
East Fife
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Alloa Scotland League One |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 10/10 | Cove Rangers Scotland League One |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 03/10 | East Kilbride Scotland League One |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 19/09 | Montrose Scotland League One |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | Queen of South Scotland League One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 05/09 | Ross County Scotland League One |
0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 29/08 | Airdrieonians Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 10 | D |
| 22/08 | Hamilton Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 15/08 | Peterhead Scotland League One |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 08/08 | Cove Rangers Scotland League One |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hamilton vs East Fife?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hamilton win (70%). Probabilities: Hamilton 70%, draw 20%, East Fife 10%.
How many goals are expected in Hamilton vs East Fife?
The model expects 2.48 goals (Hamilton 1.92 · East Fife 0.57), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Hamilton vs East Fife?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.