Football · Hungary NB III · 11/10, 17:00

Prediction: Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE vs MTE 1904

Team pages: Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE · MTE 1904

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.19Total

Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE1.95

MTE 19041.24

1X2

53% 23% 24%

Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE Draw MTE 1904

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

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MTE 1904 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE 2–1–2 MTE 1904 (5 last)

Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE1-0MTE 1904
Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE0-0MTE 1904
MTE 19040-2Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE
MTE 19042-0Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE
Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE0-2MTE 1904

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE 1620 · MTE 1904 1476

	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE	Draw	MTE 1904
Our model	53%	24%	23%
Market	54%	22%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 3.19 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE (rating 1620 vs 1476).
High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE	MTE 1904
Goals for / against (FT)	3 / 0.9	1.5 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.8	0.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.7 / 6.1	2.5 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.2	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.67

X4.00

23.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.90

2 (+0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
02:56 +35’	1.67	4.00	3.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE 2–1–2 MTE 1904

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Hungary NB III	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE	1-0 HT 1-0	MTE 1904
24/01/26 Europe Friendlies	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE	0-0 HT 0-0	MTE 1904
26/10/25 Hungary NB III	MTE 1904	0-2 HT 0-0	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE
13/04/25 Hungary NB III	MTE 1904	2-0 HT 1-0	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE
29/09/24 Hungary NB III	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE	0-2 HT 0-0	MTE 1904

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, North West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Tatabanya	11	8	2	1	28	8	26
2	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE	10	7	3	0	30	9	24
3	Dorogi FC	10	7	2	1	29	8	23
4	Sarisapi BSE	11	6	2	3	18	17	20
5	Bicskei TC	11	6	0	5	26	23	18
6	SC Sopron	11	5	3	3	18	13	18
7	MTE 1904	10	4	3	3	15	12	15
8	Komarom VSE	11	4	3	4	16	18	15
9	Györi ETO II	10	4	2	4	15	12	14
10	Puskas Academy II	10	4	1	5	19	19	13
11	Zalaegerszegi TE II	11	4	1	6	18	21	13
12	Papai Perutz	11	3	2	6	9	21	11
13	Veszprem FC	10	2	4	4	15	22	10
14	Kiraly SZE	10	1	4	5	11	19	7
15	Balatonalmadi SE	10	1	2	7	10	29	5
16	1908 SZAC Budapest	11	0	2	9	6	32	2

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE	MTE 1904
Dorogi FC	2-2 D	0-1 L
Papai Perutz	4-0 W	0-0 D
Zalaegerszegi TE II	1-1 D	1-3 L
Komarom VSE	1-0 W	0-0 D
1908 SZAC Budapest	6-1 W	5-1 W
Veszprem FC	4-2 W	1-1 D
Kiraly SZE	3-0 W	3-2 W
Sarisapi BSE	2-1 W	3-0 W
Balatonalmadi SE	6-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	7 W 2 D 0 L	4 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE (8 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Dorogi FC Hungary NB III	1-2	2-2	1	8	D
27/09	Papai Perutz Hungary NB III	1-0	4-0	6	4	W
19/09	Zalaegerszegi TE II Hungary NB III	1-1	1-1	5	3	D
06/09	Komarom VSE Hungary NB III	0-0	1-0	5	1	W
30/08	1908 SZAC Budapest Hungary NB III	2-1	6-1	11	4	W
26/08	Veszprem FC Hungary NB III	3-2	4-2	9	1	W
15/08	Kiraly SZE Hungary NB III	1-0	3-0	8	2	W
12/08	Sarisapi BSE Hungary NB III	2-0	2-1	8	3	W
09/08	Balatonalmadi SE Hungary NB III	2-1	6-1	3	2	W
26/07	SC Sopron Hungary NB III	0-1	1-1	5	8	D

MTE 1904

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Puskas Academy II Hungary NB III	1-3	1-4	7	1	L
27/09	Dorogi FC Hungary NB III	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
19/09	Papai Perutz Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
05/09	Zalaegerszegi TE II Hungary NB III	0-1	1-3	–	–	L
29/08	Komarom VSE Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	6	6	D
26/08	1908 SZAC Budapest Hungary NB III	1-0	5-1	6	5	W
15/08	Veszprem FC Hungary NB III	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
12/08	Balatonalmadi SE Hungary NB III	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
08/08	Kiraly SZE Hungary NB III	0-1	3-2	4	2	W
25/07	Sarisapi BSE Hungary NB III	1-0	3-0	2	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE vs MTE 1904?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE win (53%). Probabilities: Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE 53%, draw 23%, MTE 1904 24%.

How many goals are expected in Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE vs MTE 1904?

The model expects 3.19 goals (Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE 1.95 · MTE 1904 1.24), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE vs MTE 1904?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.