Football · Hungary NB III · 18/10, 17:00

Prediction: Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE vs Puskas Academy II

Team pages: Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE · Puskas Academy II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.02Total

Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE2.45

Puskas Academy II1.57

1X2

56% 21% 23%

Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE Draw Puskas Academy II

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWDWDD

Puskas Academy II 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LLWWWLLDWW

Head-to-head

Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE 1–1–3 Puskas Academy II (5 last)

Puskas Academy II2-4Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE
Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE2-3Puskas Academy II
Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE0-2Puskas Academy II
Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE0-5Puskas Academy II
Puskas Academy II1-1Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE 1596 · Puskas Academy II 1509

	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE	Draw	Puskas Academy II
Our model	56%	20%	23%
Market	55%	22%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 4.02 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE (rating 1596 vs 1509).
H2H favours Puskas Academy II: 3-1-1.
High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE	Puskas Academy II
Goals for / against (FT)	3 / 0.9	2.3 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.8	0.9 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.1 / 6.5	3 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.2	4.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.61

X4.00

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.82

2 (+0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.93

Under 3.251.88

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 4.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
17:24 +15’	1.61	4.00	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE 1–1–3 Puskas Academy II

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Hungary NB III	Puskas Academy II	2-4 HT 2-2	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE
05/10/25 Hungary NB III	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE	2-3 HT 1-1	Puskas Academy II
20/04/25 Hungary NB III	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE	0-2 HT 0-1	Puskas Academy II
28/04/24 Hungary NB III	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE	0-5 HT 0-3	Puskas Academy II
15/10/23 Hungary NB III	Puskas Academy II	1-1 HT 0-0	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, North West

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Dorogi FC	11	8	2	1	31	9	26
2	FC Tatabanya	11	8	2	1	28	8	26
3	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE	11	7	4	0	31	10	25
4	Sarisapi BSE	12	6	2	4	18	18	20
5	MTE 1904	12	5	4	3	19	13	19
6	Bicskei TC	11	6	0	5	26	23	18
7	SC Sopron	12	5	3	4	19	16	18
8	Komarom VSE	12	5	3	4	17	18	18
9	Puskas Academy II	11	5	1	5	24	21	16
10	Zalaegerszegi TE II	12	5	1	6	21	22	16
11	Györi ETO II	12	4	2	6	16	17	14
12	Veszprem FC	12	3	4	5	20	25	13
13	Papai Perutz	11	3	2	6	9	21	11
14	Kiraly SZE	12	2	4	6	16	25	10
15	Balatonalmadi SE	11	1	2	8	10	33	5
16	1908 SZAC Budapest	11	0	2	9	6	32	2

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE	Puskas Academy II
MTE 1904	1-1 D	4-1 W
Dorogi FC	2-2 D	0-4 L
Papai Perutz	4-0 W	5-0 W
Zalaegerszegi TE II	1-1 D	3-2 W
Komarom VSE	1-0 W	1-2 L
Kiraly SZE	3-0 W	5-2 W
Sarisapi BSE	2-1 W	1-2 L
Balatonalmadi SE	6-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	5 W 3 D 0 L	4 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE

WWWWWWDWDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	MTE 1904 Hungary NB III	0-1	1-1	9	4	D
04/10	Dorogi FC Hungary NB III	1-2	2-2	1	8	D
27/09	Papai Perutz Hungary NB III	1-0	4-0	6	4	W
19/09	Zalaegerszegi TE II Hungary NB III	1-1	1-1	5	3	D
06/09	Komarom VSE Hungary NB III	0-0	1-0	5	1	W
30/08	1908 SZAC Budapest Hungary NB III	2-1	6-1	11	4	W
26/08	Veszprem FC Hungary NB III	3-2	4-2	9	1	W
15/08	Kiraly SZE Hungary NB III	1-0	3-0	8	2	W
12/08	Sarisapi BSE Hungary NB III	2-0	2-1	8	3	W
09/08	Balatonalmadi SE Hungary NB III	2-1	6-1	3	2	W

Puskas Academy II

LLWWWLLDWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Kiraly SZE Hungary NB III	3-2	5-2	3	5	W
03/10	MTE 1904 Hungary NB III	3-1	4-1	7	1	W
27/09	Balatonalmadi SE Hungary NB III	0-0	1-1	7	3	D
19/09	Dorogi FC Hungary NB III	0-2	0-4	–	–	L
06/09	Sarisapi BSE Hungary NB III	0-0	1-2	4	6	L
29/08	Papai Perutz Hungary NB III	2-0	5-0	6	7	W
26/08	SC Sopron Hungary NB III	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
15/08	Zalaegerszegi TE II Hungary NB III	0-1	3-2	–	–	W
12/08	Komarom VSE Hungary NB III	0-1	1-2	3	3	L
09/08	FC Tatabanya Hungary NB III	0-0	0-4	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE vs Puskas Academy II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE win (56%). Probabilities: Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE 56%, draw 21%, Puskas Academy II 23%.

How many goals are expected in Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE vs Puskas Academy II?

The model expects 4.02 goals (Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE 2.45 · Puskas Academy II 1.57), with a 56% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE vs Puskas Academy II?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.