Football · Hungary NB III · 18/10, 13:00

Prediction: 1908 SZAC Budapest vs Balatonalmadi SE

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.23Total

1908 SZAC Budapest1.68

Balatonalmadi SE1.55

1X2

40% 26% 35%

1908 SZAC Budapest Draw Balatonalmadi SE

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

1908 SZAC Budapest 0-1-9 (W-D-L)

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Balatonalmadi SE 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · 1908 SZAC Budapest 1385 · Balatonalmadi SE 1421

	1908 SZAC Budapest	Draw	Balatonalmadi SE
Our model	40%	25%	35%
Market	40%	26%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 3.23 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	1908 SZAC Budapest	Balatonalmadi SE
Goals for / against (FT)	0.5 / 3.1	0.9 / 2.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 1.1	0.6 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/20/70%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 3.7	2 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.3	4.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.50

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.80

2 (0)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
15:49 +14’	2.25	3.50	2.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, North West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Dorogi FC	11	8	2	1	31	9	26
2	FC Tatabanya	11	8	2	1	28	8	26
3	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE	11	7	4	0	31	10	25
4	Sarisapi BSE	11	6	2	3	18	17	20
5	Bicskei TC	11	6	0	5	26	23	18
6	SC Sopron	11	5	3	3	18	13	18
7	Puskas Academy II	11	5	1	5	24	21	16
8	MTE 1904	11	4	4	3	16	13	16
9	Komarom VSE	11	4	3	4	16	18	15
10	Györi ETO II	11	4	2	5	16	14	14
11	Zalaegerszegi TE II	11	4	1	6	18	21	13
12	Veszprem FC	11	3	4	4	19	22	13
13	Papai Perutz	11	3	2	6	9	21	11
14	Kiraly SZE	11	1	4	6	13	24	7
15	Balatonalmadi SE	11	1	2	8	10	33	5
16	1908 SZAC Budapest	11	0	2	9	6	32	2

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	1908 SZAC Budapest	Balatonalmadi SE
SC Sopron	0-3 L	2-1 W
FC Tatabanya	1-3 L	0-4 L
Bicskei TC	0-2 L	2-4 L
Györi ETO II	0-0 D	0-2 L
Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE	1-6 L	1-6 L
MTE 1904	1-5 L	0-1 L
Dorogi FC	0-7 L	1-4 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 6 L	1 W 0 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Balatonalmadi SE (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

1908 SZAC Budapest

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Sarisapi BSE Hungary NB III	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
04/10	SC Sopron Hungary NB III	0-1	0-3	5	4	L
26/09	FC Tatabanya Hungary NB III	0-3	1-3	2	4	L
20/09	Bicskei TC Hungary NB III	0-1	0-2	7	3	L
06/09	Györi ETO II Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	7	2	D
30/08	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE Hungary NB III	1-2	1-6	2	4	L
26/08	MTE 1904 Hungary NB III	0-1	1-5	2	5	L
16/08	Dorogi FC Hungary NB III	0-2	0-7	–	–	L
12/08	Zalaegerszegi TE II Hungary NB III	0-0	0-1	1	2	L
08/08	Papai Perutz Hungary NB III	1-0	1-2	–	–	L

Balatonalmadi SE

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Veszprem FC Hungary NB III	0-3	0-4	1	4	L
03/10	Kiraly SZE Hungary NB III	2-1	2-2	5	7	D
27/09	Puskas Academy II Hungary NB III	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
05/09	SC Sopron Hungary NB III	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
30/08	FC Tatabanya Hungary NB III	0-1	0-4	5	7	L
26/08	Bicskei TC Hungary NB III	1-1	2-4	–	–	L
16/08	Györi ETO II Hungary NB III	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
12/08	MTE 1904 Hungary NB III	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
09/08	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE Hungary NB III	1-2	1-6	0	2	L
25/07	Dorogi FC Hungary NB III	1-2	1-4	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in 1908 SZAC Budapest vs Balatonalmadi SE?

According to our model, the most likely result is a 1908 SZAC Budapest win (40%). Probabilities: 1908 SZAC Budapest 40%, draw 26%, Balatonalmadi SE 35%.

How many goals are expected in 1908 SZAC Budapest vs Balatonalmadi SE?

The model expects 3.23 goals (1908 SZAC Budapest 1.68 · Balatonalmadi SE 1.55), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in 1908 SZAC Budapest vs Balatonalmadi SE?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.