Football · Hungary NB III · 18/10, 11:00

Prediction: Nyiregyhaza II vs Kisvarda II

Team pages: Nyiregyhaza II · Kisvarda II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.46Total

Nyiregyhaza II0.81

Kisvarda II2.65

1X2

9% 14% 76%

Nyiregyhaza II Draw Kisvarda II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

0-2 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Nyiregyhaza II 0-0-10 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLLLL

Kisvarda II 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DWWDDLWDWW

Head-to-head

Nyiregyhaza II 0–3 Kisvarda II (3 last)

Nyiregyhaza II0-2Kisvarda II
Kisvarda II1-0Nyiregyhaza II
Nyiregyhaza II0-1Kisvarda II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nyiregyhaza II 1366 · Kisvarda II 1568

	Nyiregyhaza II	Draw	Kisvarda II
Our model	8%	16%	76%
Market	10%	13%	77%

Estimated total (ours) 3.46 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kisvarda II (rating 1366 vs 1568).
H2H favours Kisvarda II: 3-0-0.
High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Nyiregyhaza II	Kisvarda II
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 2.9	1.7 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.5	0.9 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/30/70%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.3	4.2 / 6.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	4 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

19.00

X7.00

21.17

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2.25)1.85

2 (-2.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.85

Under 3.751.95

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:42

	Bet365	Best now
1	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00
X	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00
2	1.17 → 1.17	Bet365 1.17

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
14:58 +44’	9.00	7.00	1.17

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Nyiregyhaza II 0–0–3 Kisvarda II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/03/26 Hungary NB III	Nyiregyhaza II	0-2 HT 0-1	Kisvarda II
31/08/25 Hungary NB III	Kisvarda II	1-0 HT 0-0	Nyiregyhaza II
27/04/25 Hungary NB III	Nyiregyhaza II	0-1 HT 0-1	Kisvarda II

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, North East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ozd Sajovolgye	11	9	0	2	35	9	27
2	Cigand SE	11	8	2	1	25	9	26
3	DEAC	11	7	2	2	29	14	23
4	Kisvarda II	11	5	5	1	18	11	20
5	Debreceni II	11	6	1	4	29	21	19
6	Godolloi SK	11	6	1	4	17	12	19
7	Egri FC	11	5	2	4	13	22	17
8	FC Tiszaujvaros	11	5	1	5	15	14	16
9	Fuzesabonyi SC	11	5	1	5	11	12	16
10	Diosgyori VTK II	11	4	4	3	19	17	16
11	Mateszalkai MTK	11	4	4	3	17	15	16
12	Hajdunanas FK	11	3	1	7	18	30	10
13	Salgotarjani BTC	11	3	0	8	8	19	9
14	Tiszafured VSE	11	3	0	8	6	18	9
15	Tarpa SC	11	2	0	9	8	25	6
16	Nyiregyhaza II	11	1	0	10	10	30	3

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nyiregyhaza II	Kisvarda II
Tarpa SC	0-2 L	3-0 W
Tiszafured VSE	1-2 L	2-0 W
Cigand SE	1-5 L	1-1 D
FC Tiszaujvaros	2-3 L	1-0 W
Ozd Sajovolgye	0-5 L	2-3 L
Egri FC	1-2 L	1-1 D
Fuzesabonyi SC	0-1 L	1-0 W
DEAC	2-4 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 8 L	4 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Kisvarda II (8 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nyiregyhaza II

LLLLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Debreceni II Hungary NB III	0-3	0-4	–	–	L
03/10	Salgotarjani BTC Hungary NB III	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
26/09	Tarpa SC Hungary NB III	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
19/09	Tiszafured VSE Hungary NB III	0-2	1-2	–	–	L
06/09	Cigand SE Hungary NB III	1-2	1-5	6	4	L
29/08	FC Tiszaujvaros Hungary NB III	1-2	2-3	–	–	L
26/08	Ozd Sajovolgye Hungary NB III	0-2	0-5	5	1	L
15/08	Egri FC Hungary NB III	0-2	1-2	–	–	L
12/08	Fuzesabonyi SC Hungary NB III	0-1	0-1	5	5	L
08/08	DEAC Hungary NB III	1-1	2-4	–	–	L

Kisvarda II

DWWDDLWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Tarpa SC Hungary NB III	2-0	3-0	6	5	W
03/10	Tiszafured VSE Hungary NB III	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
27/09	Cigand SE Hungary NB III	1-0	1-1	4	0	D
20/09	FC Tiszaujvaros Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	11	5	W
06/09	Ozd Sajovolgye Hungary NB III	0-1	2-3	–	–	L
29/08	Egri FC Hungary NB III	1-0	1-1	9	7	D
26/08	DEAC Hungary NB III	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
15/08	Fuzesabonyi SC Hungary NB III	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
12/08	Hajdunanas FK Hungary NB III	2-0	3-2	4	5	W
09/08	Diosgyori VTK II Hungary NB III	1-1	2-2	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nyiregyhaza II vs Kisvarda II?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Kisvarda II win (76%). Probabilities: Nyiregyhaza II 9%, draw 14%, Kisvarda II 76%.

How many goals are expected in Nyiregyhaza II vs Kisvarda II?

The model expects 3.46 goals (Nyiregyhaza II 0.81 · Kisvarda II 2.65), with a 54% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Nyiregyhaza II vs Kisvarda II?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.