Football · Hungary NB III · 18/10, 12:30

Prediction: Debreceni II vs Salgotarjani BTC

Team pages: Debreceni II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.29Total

Debreceni II2.34

Salgotarjani BTC0.95

1X2

67% 20% 13%

Debreceni II Draw Salgotarjani BTC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

2-0 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Debreceni II 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Salgotarjani BTC 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Debreceni II 1–2 Salgotarjani BTC (3 last)

Debreceni II2-0Salgotarjani BTC
Debreceni II2-3Salgotarjani BTC
Debreceni II2-3Salgotarjani BTC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Debreceni II 1521 · Salgotarjani BTC 1442

	Debreceni II	Draw	Salgotarjani BTC
Our model	67%	20%	13%
Market	67%	20%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 3.29 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Debreceni II (rating 1521 vs 1442).
H2H favours Salgotarjani BTC: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Debreceni II	Salgotarjani BTC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1.9	0.7 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 1	0.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.7 / 6.7	0 / 1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0	2 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.33

X4.50

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.90

2 (+1.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.33	Bet365 1.33
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
15:49 +7’	1.33	4.50	7.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Debreceni II 1–0–2 Salgotarjani BTC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/03/25 Hungary NB III	Debreceni II	2-0 HT 1-0	Salgotarjani BTC
07/04/24 Hungary NB III	Debreceni II	2-3 HT 2-2	Salgotarjani BTC
13/09/20 Hungary NB III	Debreceni II	2-3 HT 1-1	Salgotarjani BTC

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, North East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ozd Sajovolgye	11	9	0	2	35	9	27
2	Cigand SE	11	8	2	1	25	9	26
3	DEAC	11	7	2	2	29	14	23
4	Kisvarda II	11	5	5	1	18	11	20
5	Debreceni II	11	6	1	4	29	21	19
6	Godolloi SK	11	6	1	4	17	12	19
7	Egri FC	11	5	2	4	13	22	17
8	FC Tiszaujvaros	11	5	1	5	15	14	16
9	Fuzesabonyi SC	11	5	1	5	11	12	16
10	Diosgyori VTK II	11	4	4	3	19	17	16
11	Mateszalkai MTK	11	4	4	3	17	15	16
12	Hajdunanas FK	11	3	1	7	18	30	10
13	Salgotarjani BTC	11	3	0	8	8	19	9
14	Tiszafured VSE	11	3	0	8	6	18	9
15	Tarpa SC	11	2	0	9	8	25	6
16	Nyiregyhaza II	11	1	0	10	10	30	3

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Debreceni II	Salgotarjani BTC
Nyiregyhaza II	4-0 W	1-0 W
Tarpa SC	2-1 W	2-1 W
Tiszafured VSE	3-1 W	1-2 L
Cigand SE	2-4 L	0-2 L
FC Tiszaujvaros	3-1 W	1-0 W
Diosgyori VTK II	0-0 D	0-1 L
DEAC	2-3 L	1-4 L
Fuzesabonyi SC	1-2 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Debreceni II (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Debreceni II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Nyiregyhaza II Hungary NB III	3-0	4-0	–	–	W
03/10	Tarpa SC Hungary NB III	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
26/09	Tiszafured VSE Hungary NB III	2-1	3-1	4	5	W
19/09	Cigand SE Hungary NB III	1-3	2-4	–	–	L
05/09	FC Tiszaujvaros Hungary NB III	2-0	3-1	11	6	W
29/08	Ozd Sajovolgye Hungary NB III	1-2	2-5	–	–	L
26/08	Egri FC Hungary NB III	1-1	5-2	5	4	W
19/08	Diosgyori VTK II Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
15/08	DEAC Hungary NB III	0-1	2-3	–	–	L
08/08	Fuzesabonyi SC Hungary NB III	1-1	1-2	–	–	L

Salgotarjani BTC

LWLLLLWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	DEAC Hungary NB III	1-3	1-4	–	–	L
03/10	Nyiregyhaza II Hungary NB III	0-0	1-0	1	2	W
26/09	Fuzesabonyi SC Hungary NB III	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
19/09	Tarpa SC Hungary NB III	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
05/09	Diosgyori VTK II Hungary NB III	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
29/08	Tiszafured VSE Hungary NB III	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
26/08	Hajdunanas FK Hungary NB III	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
16/08	Cigand SE Hungary NB III	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
12/08	FC Tiszaujvaros Hungary NB III	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
08/08	Mateszalkai MTK Hungary NB III	1-0	1-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Debreceni II vs Salgotarjani BTC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Debreceni II win (67%). Probabilities: Debreceni II 67%, draw 20%, Salgotarjani BTC 13%.

How many goals are expected in Debreceni II vs Salgotarjani BTC?

The model expects 3.29 goals (Debreceni II 2.34 · Salgotarjani BTC 0.95), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Debreceni II vs Salgotarjani BTC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.